NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
17.08.2026 18:00
De Vijverberg
Referee: Laurens Gerrets, Netherlands
De Graafschap
Match Timeline
Jong AZ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
J. Oerip · Assist: B. Kovacs
Jong AZ
🟨
15'
Donny Warmerdam
De Graafschap
🟨
15'
Ayoub Oufkir
Jong AZ
30'
D. Warmerdam
De Graafschap
🔄
46'
D. Eijken ↔ T. Mero
De Graafschap
🔄
46'
A. Natali ↔ M. Menu
Jong AZ
🔄
46'
M. Sin ↔ R. Robbemond
Jong AZ
🟨
51'
Gijs Bolk
De Graafschap
52'
B. Kovacs
Jong AZ
🔄
59'
N. Ahmeti ↔ J. Wieckhoff
De Graafschap
🔄
59'
J. Hardeman ↔ B. van Zijl
De Graafschap
🟨
74'
Fedde De Jong
De Graafschap
🔄
75'
S. De Grand ↔ K. Inge
Jong AZ
🔄
75'
H. de Wit ↔ T. de Wit
Jong AZ
75'
R. Robbemond
Jong AZ
🔄
79'
K. Symons ↔ B. Mambo
De Graafschap
84'
B. van Zijl · Assist: T. Mero
De Graafschap
🟨
85'
Bendegúz Kovács
Jong AZ
🔄
86'
D. Warmerdam ↔ N. Kaninda
De Graafschap
🔄
86'
B. Kovacs ↔ Y. van den Ban
Jong AZ
87'
A. Oufkir · Assist: Y. van den Ban
Jong AZ
🟨
90+4'
Julian Kania
De Graafschap
🟨
90+1'
Rowan Besselink
De Graafschap
90'
A. Oufkir · Assist: R. Robbemond
Jong AZ

De Graafschap vs Jong AZ Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.3%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
De Graafschap Win 36%
Draw 4.7%
Jong AZ Win 59.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
De Graafschap1.6
Jong AZ3.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
De Graafschap De Graafschap
WWDLW
14 GF / 24 GA
Jong AZ Jong AZ
WLDWL
21 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
3
3.43
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
3
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

De Graafschap De Graafschap 7 matches
Jong AZ Jong AZ 7 matches
De Graafschap Statistic Jong AZ
2 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 1
14 Goals For 21
24 Goals Against 7
2 Avg Goals Scored 3
3.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
3 Shots On Goal 5
16 Total Shots 8
3 Corners 5
64% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, De Graafschap won 7 times, Jong AZ won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:26 from De Graafschap's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: De Graafschap 4-3-3 / Jong AZ 4-3-3
H2H summary: De Graafschap wins 7, draws 3, Jong AZ wins 5

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 24:10 14 18
L W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 16:4 12 16
W W L W W
3 7 5 0 2 19:11 8 15
W W L W W
4 7 3 4 0 18:9 9 13
W W W D D
5 7 4 1 2 13:9 4 13
W L W W L
6 7 4 1 2 10:15 -5 13
L L D W W
7 9 4 1 4 22:17 5 13
W D L W W
8 7 3 3 1 7:5 2 12
D W D D W
9 7 4 0 3 17:17 0 12
L L W L W
10 9 3 3 3 14:16 -2 12
L D L W D
11 7 3 1 3 13:15 -2 10
W L L D W
12 7 3 1 3 11:13 -2 10
W W D L L
13 7 3 0 4 17:14 3 9
L W L W L
14 7 2 2 3 13:12 1 8
L W W L D
15 9 2 2 5 13:22 -9 8
D L L W D
16 7 2 1 4 12:16 -4 7
W L L L W
17 9 2 1 6 15:21 -6 7
L W W D L
18 7 2 0 5 8:12 -4 6
W L L W L
19 7 1 1 5 9:21 -12 4
L L L L L
20 7 1 1 5 8:20 -12 4
L W L L L
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)