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14.11.2026 19:00
De Vijverberg

De Graafschap vs FC OSS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.8%
1.18 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.40 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
De Graafschap Win 54.5%
Draw 22.3%
FC OSS Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
De Graafschap1.79
FC OSS1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
De Graafschap De Graafschap
W D L W D
8 GF / 7 GA
FC OSS FC OSS
D L D L W
8 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.53
2.63
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
17
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
14
4.23
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

De Graafschap De Graafschap 19 matches
FC OSS FC OSS 19 matches
De Graafschap Statistic FC OSS
6 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
10 Losses 12
30 Goals For 29
50 Goals Against 40
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
2.63 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
17 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 5
4.23 Shots On Goal 3.64
14.15 Total Shots 11.43
4.92 Corners 4.64
53% Ball Possession 39%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC OSS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with De Graafschap expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC OSS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC OSS having the stronger overall control.

De Graafschap Analysis

De Graafschap sit 15 with 15 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 17:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Warmerdam (4 goals), J. Kania (4 goals), Bjorn van Zijl (3 goals), with creative support from F. de Jong (3 assists), N. Martens (3 assists), M. Diemers (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC OSS Analysis

FC OSS sit 16 with 14 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 20:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Hinoke (5 goals), F. Nsingi (4 goals), M. de Lannoy (4 goals), with creative support from J. Mathieu (6 assists), F. Nsingi (2 assists), I. Pata (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, De Graafschap won 10 times, FC OSS won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:11 from De Graafschap's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: De Graafschap 4-2-3-1 / FC OSS 4-3-3
H2H summary: De Graafschap wins 10, draws 3, FC OSS wins 1

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
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