20.09.2026 16:00
Referee: A. M. Matonte Cabrera

Danubio vs Wanderers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.8%
Odds 3.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.26
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.8%
3.44
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.26
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.36
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Danubio Win 20%
Draw 7.3%
Wanderers Win 72.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Danubio1.03
Wanderers1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Danubio Danubio
WWDLW
23 GF / 37 GA
Wanderers Wanderers
WLDWL
36 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
13
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Danubio Danubio 28 matches
Wanderers Wanderers 29 matches
Danubio Statistic Wanderers
4 Wins 12
13 Draws 7
11 Losses 10
23 Goals For 36
37 Goals Against 39
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
13 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Wanderers's more proactive style and Danubio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Danubio expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wanderers in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wanderers having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wanderers. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Wanderers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 43 points while Danubio sit 15 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Danubio Analysis

With 25 points from 28 games and a place of 15, Danubio still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 13 draws, and 11 defeats with a 23:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wanderers Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Wanderers have collected 43 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 35:34 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Danubio won 1 times, Wanderers won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Danubio's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
Predicted formations: Danubio 4-2-3-1 / Wanderers 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Danubio wins 1, draws 3, Wanderers wins 1

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 17 5 6 46:23 23 55
W W W L D
2 28 14 10 4 35:22 13 52
W L W D W
3 27 15 5 7 47:31 16 50
W W W W W
4 28 14 7 7 42:27 15 49
L W L D W
5 28 13 4 11 40:36 4 43
D D W W L
6 28 12 7 9 35:34 1 43
D L W L D
7 28 11 9 8 37:27 10 42
L W D W W
8 28 10 8 10 30:33 -3 38
D D L L L
9 28 9 7 12 36:35 1 34
L L L L L
10 28 8 9 11 28:30 -2 33
D L D D D
11 28 8 8 12 32:38 -6 32
D D W W L
12 28 7 11 10 23:30 -7 32
W D L D L
13 29 9 5 15 23:43 -20 32
L W W D L
14 29 8 6 15 28:40 -12 30
L L L D W
15 28 4 13 11 23:37 -14 25
D L L D D
16 29 7 4 18 23:42 -19 25
W L W W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)