Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
79.8%
|
1.22 | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
1.50 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.84 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.25 | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
5.50 |
Danubio
Cerro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Danubio
22 matches
Cerro
22 matches
| Danubio | Statistic | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 10 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 22 | Goals For | 14 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.64 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Cerro. Cerro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Danubio expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cerro in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, Danubio have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 22 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, while the 22:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 19 points from 22 games and a place of 15, Cerro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 14:34 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Danubio won 6 times, Cerro won 1 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:8 from Danubio's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
CA River Plate
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Miramar
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Rampla Juniors
Danubio
Juventud
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Plaza Colonia
Cerro
CA River Plate
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Cerro
Miramar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 43 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 41 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 34 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Danubio
Home
|
22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 22:30 | -8 | 22 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 22 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Cerro
Away
|
22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14:34 | -20 | 19 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 16 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18:35 | -17 | 16 |
L
L
W
L
L
|