Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
66.2%
|
4.00 | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.5%
|
1.41 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.35 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.50 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
8.00 |
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cuiaba
12 matches
Vila Nova
12 matches
| Cuiaba | Statistic | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 8 | Goals For | 18 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 3.75 |
| 11.58 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 3.33 | Corners | 5.08 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Vila Nova carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 22 points while Cuiaba sit 15 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vila Nova. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control.
Cuiaba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 13 points from 11 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 6:5, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Hernandes (2 goals), Eric (1 goals), Joao Basso (1 goals), with creative support from Hernandes (1 assists), Joao Basso (1 assists), Pepê (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Vila Nova come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 22 points after 11 matches. The return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 17:11, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Rafael Silva (3 goals), Ryan (3 goals), Dellatorre (2 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (4 assists), Janderson (3 assists), Ryan (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 4 times, Vila Nova won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from Cuiaba's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Cuiaba
4
3
2
3
1
4
Lineups
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
CRB
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Criciuma
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
Goias
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
Ceara
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
CRB
Cuiaba
CRB
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
Criciuma
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
Ceara
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 25 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Vila Nova
Away
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 24 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 21 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 20 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 20 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:8 | 5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
Cuiaba
Home
|
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 15 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 8 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 3 |
L
L
L
D
L
|