BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Pantanal
Referee: A. Policarpo Bento
Cuiaba
Match Timeline
CRB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
34'
Vinicius Peixoto · Assist: Joao Basso
Cuiaba
38'
Pepe
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Douglas Baggio ↔ Leo Campos
CRB
🔄
46'
Lucas Lovat ↔ Danielzinho
CRB
🟨
49'
Alan Empereur
Cuiaba
🔄
51'
Alan Empereur ↔ Vitor Mendes
Cuiaba
🔄
60'
Thiaguinho ↔ Vinicius Barata
CRB
🔄
60'
De Lucca ↔ Luiz Phellype
CRB
🔄
61'
Vinicius Peixoto ↔ Y. Asad
Cuiaba
🔄
72'
Pepe ↔ Weverson
Cuiaba
🔄
72'
Raylan ↔ Gabriel Knesowitsch
Cuiaba
🔄
72'
Rodrigo Rodrigues ↔ Victor Barbara
Cuiaba
🟨
73'
Marcelo Carné
Cuiaba
🔄
76'
Mikael ↔ Guilherme
CRB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds 3.25
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 34.9%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 37%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.2%
3.25
BTTS BTTS No
34.9%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
37%
1.45
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 28.8%
Draw 10.9%
CRB Win 60.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba0.84
CRB1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
4 GF / 5 GA
CRB CRB
WLDWL
17 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.4
Average Goals Scored
1.7
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
7
0
Over 2.5
7
3.7
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 10 matches
CRB CRB 10 matches
Cuiaba Statistic CRB
1 Wins 4
7 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
4 Goals For 17
5 Goals Against 15
0.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
2 BTTS Yes 7
4 Over 1.5 8
0 Over 2.5 7
0 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 1
7 Failed To Score 2
3.7 Shots On Goal 5.6
11.7 Total Shots 15.6
3 Corners 4.2
46.4% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features CRB's more proactive style and Cuiaba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. CRB look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CRB. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and CRB in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CRB having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 10 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 4:5 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Hernandes (2 goals), Eric (1 goals), Joao Basso (1 goals), with creative support from Hernandes (1 assists), Eliel (1 assists), Pepê (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

CRB Analysis

So far, CRB have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 14 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 17:15 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mikael (6 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Hereda (3 assists), De Lucca (2 assists), Mikael (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 5 times, CRB won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:11 from Cuiaba's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 3-4-2-1 / CRB 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 5, draws 3, CRB wins 2
Stats
Cuiaba Cuiaba
CRB CRB
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 0
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 8
5 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
347 Total passes 529
286 Passes accurate 459
1.68 expected_goals 0.58
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cuiaba
Formation
CRB
Marcelo Carne
Marcelo Carne
Raylan
Raylan
Joao Basso
🎯
Joao Basso
Alan Empereur
Alan Empereur
Marlon
Marlon
Raul
Raul
Pepe
Pepe
Calebe Costa
Calebe Costa
David Miguel
David Miguel
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Vinicius Peixoto
Vinicius Peixoto
Vitor Caetano
Vitor Caetano
Hereda
Hereda
Henri
Henri
Fabio Alemao
Fabio Alemao
Lucas Lovat
Lucas Lovat
Pedro Castro
Pedro Castro
De Lucca
De Lucca
Crystopher Ribeiro
Crystopher Ribeiro
Thiaguinho
Thiaguinho
Mikael
Mikael
Douglas Baggio
Douglas Baggio
Cuiaba 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
31
Marcelo Carne
🟨 73'
G
37
Raylan
↓ 72'
D
13
Joao Basso
🎯 34'
D
33
Alan Empereur
↓ 51' 🟨 49'
D
6
Marlon
D
30
Raul
M
8
Pepe
⚽ 38' ↓ 72'
M
5
Calebe Costa
M
88
David Miguel
M
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
↓ 72'
M
29
Vinicius Peixoto
⚽ 34' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
1
Joao Carlos
G
4
Vitor Mendes
↑ 51'
D
53
Weverson
↑ 72'
M
44
Gabriel Knesowitsch
↑ 72'
D
91
Luis Soares
D
7
Y. Asad
↑ 61'
F
19
Mateus Santos
F
17
Victor Barbara
↑ 72'
M
14
Eric Melo
D
41
Kauan Cristtyan
F
CRB 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Vitor Caetano
G
32
Hereda
D
44
Henri
D
27
Fabio Alemao
D
36
Lucas Lovat
↓ 46'
D
21
Pedro Castro
M
45
De Lucca
↓ 60'
M
8
Crystopher Ribeiro
M
17
Thiaguinho
↓ 60'
F
28
Mikael
↓ 76'
F
7
Douglas Baggio
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
23
Fabio Henrique
G
20
Vinicius Barata
↑ 60'
F
77
Leo Campos
↑ 46'
D
50
Luizao
M
33
Lyncon
D
82
Wallace
D
19
Luiz Phellype
↑ 60'
F
10
Danielzinho
↑ 46'
M
6
Reverson
D
18
Geovane
M
16
Guilherme
F
Last matches: Cuiaba
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
Last matches: CRB
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
H2H: Cuiaba vs CRB
08.09.25
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
1
0
W
06.05.25
H2H
CRB
Cuiaba
1
1
D
29.01.21
H2H
CRB
Cuiaba
4
1
L
01.11.20
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
3
0
W
06.11.19
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
5
1
W
03.08.19
H2H
CRB
Cuiaba
0
1
W
04.10.14
H2H
CRB
Cuiaba
3
0
L
03.08.14
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
1
0
W
29.09.13
H2H
CRB
Cuiaba
1
1
D
31.07.13
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
1
1
D
Last matches: Cuiaba
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cuiaba
08.09.25
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
1
0
W
01.11.20
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
3
0
W
06.11.19
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
5
1
W
03.08.14
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
1
0
W
31.07.13
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
1
1
D
Last matches: CRB
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
H2H away: CRB
08.09.25
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
1
0
L
01.11.20
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
3
0
L
06.11.19
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
5
1
L
03.08.14
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
1
0
L
31.07.13
H2H
Cuiaba
CRB
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.93
Home 2.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.14
Draw 1.95
Home 3.42
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.56
Over 1.75 1.74
Over 2.0 2.07
Over 2.25 2.43
Over 2.5 2.79
Over 3.5 5.58
Under 0.5 6.23
Under 1.5 2.46
Under 1.75 2.14
Under 2.0 1.81
Under 2.25 1.58
Under 2.5 1.45
Under 3.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.88
Home 2.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 1.91
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.10
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.53
Over 2.5 2.70
Over 3.5 5.50
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.12
Draw 2.84
Home 2.49
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 1.79
Home 3.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.62
Draw 2.09
Home 2.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.09
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.31
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 1.75 1.67
Over 2.0 1.94
Over 2.25 2.26
Over 2.5 2.69
Over 2.75 3.20
Over 3.0 4.45
Over 3.25 4.83
Over 3.5 5.25
Over 3.75 7.22
Over 4.0 8.70
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 0.75 5.35
Under 1.0 4.65
Under 1.25 2.92
Under 1.5 2.30
Under 1.75 2.01
Under 2.0 1.73
Under 2.25 1.51
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 2.75 1.28
Under 3.0 1.15
Under 3.25 1.11
Under 3.5 1.09
Under 3.75 1.04
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.00
Home 2.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 1.96
Home 3.15
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.35
Draw 2.28
Home 2.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 1.75 1.63
Over 2.0 1.87
Over 2.25 2.20
Over 2.5 2.55
Over 2.75 3.05
Over 3.0 4.10
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 10.50
Under 0.5 6.75
Under 1.5 2.55
Under 1.75 2.23
Under 2.0 1.89
Under 2.25 1.64
Under 2.5 1.49
Under 2.75 1.35
Under 3.0 1.21
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 4.5 1.02

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 6 4 1 15:7 8 22
W W L W W
2 11 6 4 1 17:11 6 22
W W W L D
3 11 6 3 2 17:8 9 21
D W D W W
4 11 6 1 4 16:11 5 19
L W W W D
5 11 5 3 3 14:11 3 18
L W L D W
6 11 5 2 4 12:13 -1 17
D W W W L
7 11 4 5 2 14:11 3 17
D W D W D
8 11 4 5 2 13:10 3 17
W D D D D
9 11 4 5 2 13:11 2 17
W W D D D
10 11 4 4 3 9:6 3 16
W L D D D
11 11 4 4 3 12:14 -2 16
W D L L W
12
CRB Away
11 4 2 5 17:17 0 14
L W W W W
13 11 3 4 4 12:13 -1 13
L L W L L
14 11 3 4 4 10:11 -1 13
D L D W D
15 11 2 7 2 6:5 1 13
W L D D D
16 11 2 4 5 11:11 0 10
L L L D D
17 11 2 4 5 11:15 -4 10
L L L D D
18 11 2 2 7 12:19 -7 8
L L W L L
19 11 2 2 7 9:20 -11 8
L L L L W
20 11 0 3 8 6:22 -16 3
L L D L L