BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Pantanal
Referee: A. Policarpo Bento
Cuiaba
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Wallace
Botafogo SP
🔄
40'
Vitor Mendes ↔ Luis Soares
Cuiaba
🟨
45+4'
Rodrigo
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Rodrigo Rodrigues ↔ Eliel
Cuiaba
🟨
47'
Eric
Cuiaba
🔄
63'
David Miguel ↔ Weverson
Cuiaba
🔄
63'
Pepe ↔ Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
🔄
63'
Matheus Sales ↔ Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
🔄
63'
Jefferson Nem ↔ Kelvin
Botafogo SP
64'
Eric Melo · Assist: Hernades
Cuiaba
VAR
75'
Marco Antonio Batistussi
Botafogo SP
🟨
77'
Weverson
Cuiaba
78'
Luizao
Botafogo SP
🔄
82'
Pedro Henrique ↔ Gabriel Inocencio
Botafogo SP
🔄
82'
Marco Antonio ↔ Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP
🔄
84'
Hernades ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🟨
85'
Raul
Cuiaba
🔄
89'
Ze Hugo ↔ Marcio Maranhao
Botafogo SP
🟨
90+3'
Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP
🟨
90'
Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 0%
Draw 30.9%
Botafogo SP Win 69.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba0.64
Botafogo SP1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
2 GF / 2 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.4
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
0
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
3
3.2
Shots on Goal
2.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 5 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 5 matches
Cuiaba Statistic Botafogo SP
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
2 Goals For 8
2 Goals Against 5
0.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
0 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 1
3.2 Shots On Goal 2.6
11 Total Shots 10.2
1.2 Corners 5.8
44.6% Ball Possession 37.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Botafogo SP's more proactive style and Cuiaba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Botafogo SP in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo SP having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botafogo SP. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 6 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, together with goals at 0:2, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Hernandes (2 goals), with creative support from Eliel (1 assists), Weverson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo SP Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Botafogo SP have collected 7 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 7:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Everton Morelli (4 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Vilar (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (2 assists), Rafael Gava (2 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 4 times, Botafogo SP won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Cuiaba's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 3-4-1-2 / Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 4, draws 6, Botafogo SP wins 1
Stats
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 4
20 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 2
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
355 Total passes 267
265 Passes accurate 172
0.78 expected_goals 1.23
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cuiaba
Formation
Botafogo SP
Marcelo Carne
Marcelo Carne
Raylan
Raylan
Joao Basso
Joao Basso
Vitor Mendes
Vitor Mendes
Eric Melo
Eric Melo
Calebe Costa
Calebe Costa
Raul
Raul
Pepe
Pepe
David Miguel
David Miguel
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Hernades
🎯
Hernades
Jordan
Jordan
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Vilar
Vilar
Wallace
Wallace
Patrick Brey
Patrick Brey
Matheus Sales
Matheus Sales
Marco Antonio
Marco Antonio
Ze Hugo
Ze Hugo
Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Jefferson Nem
Jefferson Nem
Luizao
Luizao
Cuiaba 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
31
Marcelo Carne
G
37
Raylan
D
13
Joao Basso
D
4
Vitor Mendes
↓ 40'
D
14
Eric Melo
⚽ 64' 🟨 47'
D
5
Calebe Costa
M
30
Raul
🟨 85'
M
8
Pepe
↓ 63'
M
88
David Miguel
↓ 63'
M
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
↓ 46' 🟨 45+4'
F
10
Hernades
🎯 64' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
1
Joao Carlos
G
34
Jean
G
97
Luiz Otavio
53
Weverson
↑ 63' 🟨 77'
M
11
Eliel
↑ 46'
F
44
Gabriel Knesowitsch
D
91
Luis Soares
↑ 40'
D
2
Nino Paraiba
D
7
Y. Asad
F
6
Marlon
D
29
Vinicius Peixoto
↑ 63'
F
41
Kauan Cristtyan
↑ 84'
F
Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
Jordan
G
31
Pedro Henrique
↓ 82'
D
4
Vilar
D
13
Wallace
🟨 25'
D
6
Patrick Brey
D
16
Matheus Sales
↓ 63'
M
28
Marco Antonio
↓ 82'
M
30
Ze Hugo
↓ 89'
M
8
Everton Morelli
M
11
Jefferson Nem
↓ 63'
M
21
Luizao
⚽ 78'
F
Substitutes
25
Brenno Klippel
G
5
Leandro Maciel
↑ 63' 🟨 90'
M
7
Kelvin
↑ 63'
F
22
Gabriel Inocencio
↑ 82'
20
Marquinho
M
27
Darlan
D
19
Marcio Maranhao
↑ 89'
F
32
Thalles
F
26
Felipe Vieira
D
29
Thiago Moraes
↑ 82' 🟨 90+3'
M
Last matches: Cuiaba
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
Last matches: Botafogo SP
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
18.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
0
D
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
H2H: Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP
23.04.26
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.10.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
2
2
D
01.07.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
06.12.20
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
2
0
W
01.09.20
H2H
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
23.11.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
0
0
D
24.08.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
2
0
W
08.09.18
H2H
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
0
3
W
02.09.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
30.06.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
28.04.18
H2H
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
0
0
D
Last matches: Cuiaba
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cuiaba
23.04.26
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
01.07.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
06.12.20
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
2
0
W
24.08.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
2
0
W
02.09.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
30.06.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
Last matches: Botafogo SP
18.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
0
D
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
H2H away: Botafogo SP
23.04.26
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
01.07.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
0
1
W
06.12.20
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
2
0
L
24.08.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
2
0
L
02.09.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
30.06.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
2
1
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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