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30.07.2026 18:00
Penalties 5-4
0 - 0
Vasil Levski National Sports Academy
Referee: Bram Van Driessche, Belgium
CSKA Sofia
Match Timeline
Qarabag
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
Bruno Jordão
CSKA Sofia
🟨
48'
Leandro Godoy
CSKA Sofia
🟨
50'
Marko Janković
Qarabag
🟨
55'
Bence Várkonyi
Qarabag
🔄
70'
Kady Borges ↔ R. Cephas
Qarabag
🔄
71'
B. Jordao ↔ J. Eto'o
CSKA Sofia
🟨
75'
James Eto'o
CSKA Sofia
🔄
82'
E. Cafarquliyev ↔ B. Langa
Qarabag
🔄
82'
O. Kashchuk ↔ J. Mouaddib
Qarabag
🔄
82'
B. Huseynov ↔ C. Makreckis
Qarabag
🔄
89'
L. Godoy ↔ J. Zwarts
CSKA Sofia
🔄
90+2'
A. Zoubir ↔ J. Montiel
Qarabag
🟨
95'
Ángelo Martino
CSKA Sofia
🔄
99'
A. Martino ↔ M. Brahimi
CSKA Sofia
🔄
100'
Z. Sawo ↔ M. Qurbanly
Qarabag
🟨
105+3'
Teodor Ivanov
CSKA Sofia
🟨
107'
Bruno Langa
Qarabag
🟨
112'
Joël Zwarts
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CSKA Sofia Win 54%
Draw 9.3%
Qarabag Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Sofia1.47
Qarabag2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
W D D W W
8 GF / 5 GA
Qarabag Qarabag
D W W L L
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
2.56
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
3
10
Over 2.5
7
3.8
Shots on Goal
1.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 14 matches
Qarabag Qarabag 9 matches
CSKA Sofia Statistic Qarabag
8 Wins 6
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 2
25 Goals For 23
19 Goals Against 9
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 2.56
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 3
11 Over 1.5 7
10 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 2
3.8 Shots On Goal 1.67
8.8 Total Shots 5.33
6 Corners 3
35.4% Ball Possession 16%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Sofia won 0 times, Qarabag won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from CSKA Sofia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Sofia 4-1-4-1 / Qarabag 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CSKA Sofia wins 0, draws 2, Qarabag wins 2

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:2 8 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 8:0 8 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 8:1 7 9
W W W
4 3 3 0 0 9:3 6 9
W W W
5 3 3 0 0 4:1 3 9
W W W
6 3 2 1 0 8:1 7 7
W D W
7 3 2 1 0 9:3 6 7
D W W
8 3 2 1 0 9:5 4 7
D W W
9 3 2 1 0 4:2 2 7
D W W
10 3 2 0 1 6:2 4 6
W W L
11 3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
L W W
12 3 2 0 1 5:6 -1 6
L W W
13 3 1 2 0 4:3 1 5
D W D
14 3 1 1 1 8:3 5 4
W D L
15 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
D L W
16 3 1 1 1 5:3 2 4
L D W
17 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
W D L
18 3 1 1 1 3:4 -1 4
L W D
19 3 1 1 1 1:3 -2 4
W L D
20 3 1 1 1 5:8 -3 4
W D L
21 3 1 1 1 3:6 -3 4
D L W
22 3 1 0 2 4:3 1 3
W L L
23 3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
W L L
24 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
L W L
25 3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
W L L
26 3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
L L W
27 3 1 0 2 4:6 -2 3
L W L
28 3 1 0 2 4:7 -3 3
L L W
29 3 0 1 2 2:7 -5 1
D L L
30 3 0 1 2 1:6 -5 1
L L D
31 3 0 1 2 2:9 -7 1
L D L
32 3 0 1 2 1:9 -8 1
D L L
33 3 0 0 3 2:7 -5 0
L L L
34 3 0 0 3 1:6 -5 0
L L L
35 3 0 0 3 3:9 -6 0
L L L
36 3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0
L L L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)