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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSKA Sofia Win 46.8%
Draw 18.7%
Qarabag Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Sofia1.21
Qarabag2.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WWDLW
11 GF / 12 GA
Qarabag Qarabag
WLDWL
11 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
3.67
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
4
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 7 matches
Qarabag Qarabag 3 matches
CSKA Sofia Statistic Qarabag
3 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
3 Losses 0
11 Goals For 11
12 Goals Against 2
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 3.67
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
4 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 3
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Sofia won 0 times, Qarabag won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from CSKA Sofia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Sofia 4-3-1-2 / Qarabag 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CSKA Sofia wins 0, draws 0, Qarabag wins 2
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
09.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Odra Opole
3
2
W
24.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Polessya
0
4
L
20.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Brinje-Grosuplje
2
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
13.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
08.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
22.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
3
L
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
Last matches: Qarabag
09.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
Vestri
3
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
6
L
27.06.26
Fri
Qarabag
WSG Wattens
4
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
2
3
L
18.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
1
6
L
28.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Liverpool
0
6
L
21.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Zaglebie Lubin
3
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
NK Osijek
3
1
W
12.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Neftchi
5
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Qarabag
Ajax
2
4
L
25.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Napoli
0
2
L
05.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Chelsea
2
2
D
22.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
Athletic Club
1
3
L
01.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
FC Copenhagen
2
0
W
16.09.25
UEF
Qarabag
Benfica
3
2
W
27.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
2
3
L
19.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
3
1
W
12.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Shkendija
5
1
W
H2H: CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag
27.06.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
04.07.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
1
L
07.07.21
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
1
L
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
09.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
24.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Polessya
0
4
L
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
03.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
13.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
22.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Dunav Ruse
3
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Gangwon FC
5
2
W
21.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Mlada Boleslav
1
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Korona Kielce
0
2
L
03.12.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
1
W
22.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
02.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Montana
3
1
W
H2H at home: CSKA Sofia
27.06.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
04.07.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
1
L
07.07.21
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
1
L
Last matches: Qarabag
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
0
1
L
27.06.26
Fri
Qarabag
WSG Wattens
4
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
2
3
L
28.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Liverpool
0
6
L
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Zaglebie Lubin
3
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
NK Osijek
3
1
W
25.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Napoli
0
2
L
22.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
Athletic Club
1
3
L
16.09.25
UEF
Qarabag
Benfica
3
2
W
19.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
3
1
W
05.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Shkendija
1
0
W
23.07.25
UEF
Qarabag
Shelbourne
3
0
W
H2H away: Qarabag
27.06.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
04.07.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
1
W
07.07.21
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
1
W