BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
National Stadium Vasil Levski
Referee: M. Grebencharski
CSKA Sofia
Match Timeline
Ludogorets
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
M. Brahimi · Assist: B. Jordao
CSKA Sofia
🟨
23'
Bernard Tekpetey
Ludogorets
🟨
56'
Bruno Jordão
CSKA Sofia
🟨
61'
Erick Marcus
Ludogorets
🔄
65'
Pastor ↔ L. Dellova
CSKA Sofia
🟨
66'
Alejandro Piedrahita
CSKA Sofia
🔄
70'
D. Duarte ↔ A. Salido Tajero
Ludogorets
🔄
73'
J. Eto'o ↔ P. Panayotov
CSKA Sofia
🔄
73'
A. Piedrahita ↔ Leo Pereira
CSKA Sofia
🟨
76'
Ángelo Martino
CSKA Sofia
🟨
79'
Hendrik Bonmann
Ludogorets
🔄
80'
Erick Marcus ↔ O. Verdon
Ludogorets
🟨
86'
Facundo Rodríguez
CSKA Sofia
🟨
90+1'
Anton Nedyalkov
Ludogorets
🔄
90+3'
M. Brahimi ↔ A. Yordanov
CSKA Sofia
🔄
90+3'
A. Martino ↔ I. Turitsov
CSKA Sofia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSKA Sofia Win 54.4%
Draw 0%
Ludogorets Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Sofia1.25
Ludogorets1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WWDLW
44 GF / 26 GA
Ludogorets Ludogorets
WLDWL
83 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.69
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
23
11
Over 2.5
27
3.64
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 31 matches
Ludogorets Ludogorets 49 matches
CSKA Sofia Statistic Ludogorets
16 Wins 24
8 Draws 13
7 Losses 12
44 Goals For 83
26 Goals Against 49
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 23
21 Over 1.5 36
11 Over 2.5 27
7 Over 3.5 13
12 Clean Sheets 21
8 Failed To Score 12
3.64 Shots On Goal 4.2
12.64 Total Shots 12.43
4.79 Corners 4.78
45.9% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CSKA Sofia expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Ludogorets in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ludogorets having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ludogorets. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

CSKA Sofia Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 56 points from 31 games, CSKA Sofia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 16 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 44:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Pittas (8 goals), J. Eto'o (4 goals), Petko Panayotov (3 goals), with creative support from J. Eto'o (9 assists), Pastor (4 assists), I. Pittas (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Ludogorets Analysis

Ludogorets come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 60 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, while the 58:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Chochev (16 goals), K. Duah (8 goals), P. Stanic (8 goals), with creative support from P. Stanic (9 assists), I. Chochev (5 assists), Erick Marcus (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Sofia won 2 times, Ludogorets won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:21 from CSKA Sofia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Sofia 4-1-4-1 / Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CSKA Sofia wins 2, draws 4, Ludogorets wins 9

Lineups

CSKA Sofia
Formation
Ludogorets
F. Lapoukhov
F. Lapoukhov
Pastor
Pastor
T. Ivanov
T. Ivanov
F. Rodriguez
F. Rodriguez
A. Martino
A. Martino
B. Jordao
🎯
B. Jordao
M. Brahimi
M. Brahimi
M. Ebong
M. Ebong
J. Eto'o
J. Eto'o
A. Piedrahita
A. Piedrahita
I. Pittas
I. Pittas
H. Bonmann
H. Bonmann
Son
Son
I. Nachmias
I. Nachmias
A. Nedyalkov
A. Nedyalkov
Vinicius Nogueira
Vinicius Nogueira
D. Duarte
D. Duarte
F. Kaloc
F. Kaloc
Erick Marcus
Erick Marcus
P. Stanic
P. Stanic
I. Chochev
I. Chochev
B. Tekpetey
B. Tekpetey
CSKA Sofia 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
21
F. Lapoukhov
2
Pastor
↓ 65'
D
14
T. Ivanov
D
32
F. Rodriguez
🟨 86'
D
17
A. Martino
↓ 90+3' 🟨 76'
D
6
B. Jordao
🎯 11' 🟨 56'
M
11
M. Brahimi
⚽ 11' ↓ 90+3'
M
10
M. Ebong
M
99
J. Eto'o
↓ 73'
77
A. Piedrahita
↓ 73' 🟨 66'
M
28
I. Pittas
F
Substitutes
25
D. Evtimov
G
3
A. Yordanov
↑ 90+3'
D
4
A. Lapena
D
5
L. Dellova
↑ 65'
D
9
L. Godoy
F
19
I. Turitsov
↑ 90+3'
D
30
P. Panayotov
↑ 73'
M
38
Leo Pereira
↑ 73'
M
94
I. Solet
M
Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
39
H. Bonmann
🟨 79'
G
17
Son
D
55
I. Nachmias
D
3
A. Nedyalkov
🟨 90+1'
D
27
Vinicius Nogueira
D
23
D. Duarte
↓ 70'
M
26
F. Kaloc
M
77
Erick Marcus
↓ 80' 🟨 61'
M
14
P. Stanic
M
18
I. Chochev
M
37
B. Tekpetey
🟨 23'
M
Substitutes
1
S. Padt
G
5
G. Terziev
D
7
A. Salido Tajero
↑ 70'
F
24
O. Verdon
↑ 80'
D
29
E. Bile
F
42
S. Shishkov
D
75
E. Syrov
76
K. Dimitrov
F
81
G. Penev
M
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
23.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
20.07.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Odra Opole
3
2
W
24.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Polessya
0
4
L
20.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Brinje-Grosuplje
2
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
13.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
08.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
22.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
3
L
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
Last matches: Ludogorets
23.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Teuta Durrës
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
FC Botosani
2
2
D
26.06.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
7
4
W
29.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
13.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
09.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
19.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
1
W
14.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Montana
3
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
H2H: CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
25.05.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
L
03.05.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
29.04.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
21.04.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
2
W
14.03.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
L
05.10.25
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
22.05.25
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
2
2
D
21.07.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
L
11.05.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
1
L
10.12.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
13.08.23
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
L
20.05.23
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
2
2
D
30.04.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
10.10.22
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
2
1
L
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
09.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
24.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Polessya
0
4
L
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
13.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
22.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Dunav Ruse
3
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Gangwon FC
5
2
W
21.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Mlada Boleslav
1
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Korona Kielce
0
2
L
03.12.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
1
W
22.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
02.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Montana
3
1
W
26.10.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Beroe
5
1
W
H2H at home: CSKA Sofia
03.05.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
29.04.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
05.10.25
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
24.11.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
2
2
D
10.12.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
30.04.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
Last matches: Ludogorets
23.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
09.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
19.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
1
W
09.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Montana
3
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
23.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Rangers
0
1
L
14.01.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Raków Częstochowa
2
2
D
11.01.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Paks
3
2
W
19.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Beroe
4
0
W
04.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
23.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
1
3
L
02.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
27.10.25
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
4
5
L
23.10.25
UEF
Ludogorets
BSC Young Boys
2
3
L
05.10.25
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
H2H away: Ludogorets
03.05.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
L
29.04.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
05.10.25
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
24.11.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
2
2
D
10.12.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
W
30.04.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
W

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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