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09.07.2026 18:00
Vasil Levski National Sports Academy
Referee: Visar Kastrati, Kosovo
CSKA Sofia
Match Timeline
Derry City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
I. Pittas · Assist: L. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
⚽
31'
L. Boyce · Assist: M. Duffy
Derry City
⚽
41'
B. Jordao · Assist: S. Sensi
CSKA Sofia
⚽
53'
I. Pittas · Assist: Pastor
CSKA Sofia
🔄
64'
C. Dummigan ↔ N. Twisk
Derry City
🔄
71'
C. Grogan ↔ J. Stott
Derry City
🔄
72'
L. Godoy ↔ J. Zwarts
CSKA Sofia
🔄
72'
I. Solet ↔ M. Brahimi
CSKA Sofia
🟨
75'
Barry Cotter
Derry City
🔄
83'
R. Slevin ↔ J. McClean
Derry City
🔄
85'
S. Sensi ↔ A. Piedrahita
CSKA Sofia
⚽
88'
J. Olayinka · Assist: P. McClean
Derry City

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CSKA Sofia Win 50.6%
Draw 18.8%
Derry City Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Sofia1.64
Derry City1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
W W L W W
11 GF / 8 GA
Derry City Derry City
L W D L W
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
5
BTTS Yes
17
7
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 9 matches
Derry City Derry City 27 matches
CSKA Sofia Statistic Derry City
5 Wins 6
1 Draws 11
3 Losses 10
17 Goals For 33
14 Goals Against 34
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
5 BTTS Yes 17
8 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 4.48
0 Total Shots 13
0 Corners 5.76
0% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Sofia won 2 times, Derry City won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from CSKA Sofia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Sofia 4-3-1-2 / Derry City 4-4-2
H2H summary: CSKA Sofia wins 2, draws 0, Derry City wins 0

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:2 8 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 8:0 8 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 8:1 7 9
W W W
4 3 3 0 0 9:3 6 9
W W W
5 3 3 0 0 4:1 3 9
W W W
6 3 2 1 0 8:1 7 7
W D W
7 3 2 1 0 9:3 6 7
D W W
8 3 2 1 0 9:5 4 7
D W W
9 3 2 1 0 4:2 2 7
D W W
10 3 2 0 1 6:2 4 6
W W L
11 3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
L W W
12 3 2 0 1 5:6 -1 6
L W W
13 3 1 2 0 4:3 1 5
D W D
14 3 1 1 1 8:3 5 4
W D L
15 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
D L W
16 3 1 1 1 5:3 2 4
L D W
17 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
W D L
18 3 1 1 1 3:4 -1 4
L W D
19 3 1 1 1 1:3 -2 4
W L D
20 3 1 1 1 5:8 -3 4
W D L
21 3 1 1 1 3:6 -3 4
D L W
22 3 1 0 2 4:3 1 3
W L L
23 3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
W L L
24 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
L W L
25 3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
W L L
26 3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
L L W
27 3 1 0 2 4:6 -2 3
L W L
28 3 1 0 2 4:7 -3 3
L L W
29 3 0 1 2 2:7 -5 1
D L L
30 3 0 1 2 1:6 -5 1
L L D
31 3 0 1 2 2:9 -7 1
L D L
32 3 0 1 2 1:9 -8 1
D L L
33 3 0 0 3 2:7 -5 0
L L L
34 3 0 0 3 1:6 -5 0
L L L
35 3 0 0 3 3:9 -6 0
L L L
36 3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0
L L L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)