09.07.2026 18:00
Vasil Levski National Sports Academy
Referee: Visar Kastrati, Kosovo
CSKA Sofia
Match Timeline
Derry City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
I. Pittas · Assist: L. Godoy
CSKA Sofia
31'
L. Boyce · Assist: M. Duffy
Derry City
41'
B. Jordao · Assist: S. Sensi
CSKA Sofia
53'
I. Pittas · Assist: Pastor
CSKA Sofia
🔄
64'
C. Dummigan ↔ N. Twisk
Derry City
🔄
71'
C. Grogan ↔ J. Stott
Derry City
🔄
72'
L. Godoy ↔ J. Zwarts
CSKA Sofia
🔄
72'
I. Solet ↔ M. Brahimi
CSKA Sofia
🟨
75'
Barry Cotter
Derry City
🔄
83'
R. Slevin ↔ J. McClean
Derry City
🔄
85'
S. Sensi ↔ A. Piedrahita
CSKA Sofia
88'
J. Olayinka · Assist: P. McClean
Derry City

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSKA Sofia Win 50.6%
Draw 18.8%
Derry City Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Sofia1.64
Derry City1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WWDLW
17 GF / 14 GA
Derry City Derry City
WLDWL
33 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
5
BTTS Yes
17
7
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
4.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 9 matches
Derry City Derry City 27 matches
CSKA Sofia Statistic Derry City
5 Wins 6
1 Draws 11
3 Losses 10
17 Goals For 33
14 Goals Against 34
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
5 BTTS Yes 17
8 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 4.24
0 Total Shots 12.48
0 Corners 5.6
0% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Sofia won 2 times, Derry City won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from CSKA Sofia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Sofia 4-3-1-2 / Derry City 4-4-2
H2H summary: CSKA Sofia wins 2, draws 0, Derry City wins 0

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)