BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
National Stadium Vasil Levski
Referee: M. Velikov
CSKA Sofia
Match Timeline
CSKA 1948
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
D. Medina ↔ J. Carrion
CSKA 1948
34'
M. Diallo
CSKA 1948
🔄
54'
M. Brahimi ↔ I. Iliev
CSKA Sofia
🔄
63'
I. Solet ↔ A. Yordanov
CSKA Sofia
🔄
63'
F. Krebs ↔ B. Tsonev
CSKA 1948
66'
M. Ebong · Assist: Pastor
CSKA Sofia
🟨
72'
Petar Vitanov
CSKA 1948
🔄
74'
M. Diallo ↔ A. Iliev
CSKA 1948
🔄
74'
G. Rusev ↔ A. David
CSKA 1948
🔄
74'
E. Franco ↔ Frederic
CSKA 1948
🟨
80'
Lumbardh Dellova
CSKA Sofia
🔄
83'
L. Dellova ↔ I. Turitsov
CSKA Sofia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
58.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSKA Sofia Win 52.8%
Draw 15.7%
CSKA 1948 Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Sofia1.25
CSKA 19481.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WWDLW
46 GF / 26 GA
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
WLDWL
52 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.58
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
13
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
18
3.4
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 33 matches
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 33 matches
CSKA Sofia Statistic CSKA 1948
18 Wins 19
8 Draws 5
7 Losses 9
46 Goals For 52
26 Goals Against 34
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
13 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 8
14 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 9
3.4 Shots On Goal 3.5
11.8 Total Shots 8.93
4.47 Corners 3.8
42.9% Ball Possession 39.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CSKA 1948. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CSKA Sofia expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and CSKA 1948 in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA 1948 having the stronger overall control.

CSKA Sofia Analysis

CSKA Sofia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 62 points after 33 outings. With 18 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 46:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Pittas (8 goals), J. Eto'o (4 goals), Mohamed Brahimi (4 goals), with creative support from J. Eto'o (10 assists), Pastor (4 assists), I. Pittas (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

CSKA 1948 Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 62 points from 33 games, CSKA 1948 bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 19 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a 52:34 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on M. Diallo (17 goals), A. Iliev (6 goals), E. Franco (6 goals), with creative support from Frederic (6 assists), G. Rusev (6 assists), B. Tsonev (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Sofia won 10 times, CSKA 1948 won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:12 from CSKA Sofia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Sofia 4-1-4-1 / CSKA 1948 4-4-2
H2H summary: CSKA Sofia wins 10, draws 3, CSKA 1948 wins 2

Lineups

CSKA Sofia
Formation
CSKA 1948
F. Lapoukhov
F. Lapoukhov
Pastor
🎯
Pastor
T. Ivanov
T. Ivanov
F. Rodriguez
F. Rodriguez
L. Dellova
L. Dellova
M. Ebong
M. Ebong
M. Brahimi
M. Brahimi
I. Solet
I. Solet
P. Panayotov
P. Panayotov
A. Piedrahita
A. Piedrahita
I. Pittas
I. Pittas
P. Marinov
P. Marinov
D. Medina
D. Medina
A. Hoffmann
A. Hoffmann
L. Dvali
L. Dvali
D. Grivic
D. Grivic
P. Vitanov
P. Vitanov
F. Krebs
F. Krebs
G. Rusev
G. Rusev
B. Sobrero
B. Sobrero
E. Franco
E. Franco
M. Diallo
M. Diallo
CSKA Sofia 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
21
F. Lapoukhov
2
Pastor
🎯 66'
D
14
T. Ivanov
D
32
F. Rodriguez
D
5
L. Dellova
↓ 83' 🟨 80'
D
10
M. Ebong
⚽ 66'
M
11
M. Brahimi
↓ 54'
M
94
I. Solet
↓ 63'
M
30
P. Panayotov
M
77
A. Piedrahita
M
28
I. Pittas
F
Substitutes
25
D. Evtimov
G
3
A. Yordanov
↑ 63'
D
4
A. Lapena
D
7
O. Skarsem
M
19
I. Turitsov
↑ 83'
D
24
Y. Iliev
27
M. Papazov
M
73
I. Iliev
↑ 54'
M
34
V. Kaymakanov
M
CSKA 1948 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
P. Marinov
G
2
D. Medina
↓ 13'
D
4
A. Hoffmann
D
21
L. Dvali
D
96
D. Grivic
D
34
P. Vitanov
🟨 72'
M
23
F. Krebs
↓ 63'
M
11
G. Rusev
↓ 74'
M
20
B. Sobrero
77
E. Franco
↓ 74'
M
93
M. Diallo
⚽ 34' ↓ 74'
Substitutes
13
D. Sheytanov
G
88
A. Traore
D
9
A. Iliev
↑ 74'
F
10
B. Tsonev
↑ 63'
M
87
A. David
↑ 74'
F
14
K. Strinski
19
M. Boychev
67
Frederic
↑ 74'
M
3
J. Carrion
↑ 13'
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
23.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
20.07.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Odra Opole
3
2
W
24.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Polessya
0
4
L
20.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Brinje-Grosuplje
2
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
13.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
08.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
22.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
3
L
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
Last matches: CSKA 1948
22.07.26
UEF
CSKA 1948
Spartak Trnava
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
2
D
07.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Maribor
3
3
D
29.06.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
FK Partizan
3
0
W
21.06.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Drita
4
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
0
D
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
0
W
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
02.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
1
W
15.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
4
0
W
10.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
05.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
0
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
05.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
H2H: CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948
13.05.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
08.05.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
W
14.02.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
2
W
10.02.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
07.12.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
2
D
07.11.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
3
W
31.05.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
2
L
09.03.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
W
03.06.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
W
29.08.22
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
1
W
08.11.21
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
25.07.21
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
2
4
W
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
09.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
24.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Polessya
0
4
L
03.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
13.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
22.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Dunav Ruse
3
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Gangwon FC
5
2
W
21.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Mlada Boleslav
1
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Korona Kielce
0
2
L
03.12.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
1
W
22.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
02.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Montana
3
1
W
26.10.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Beroe
5
1
W
H2H at home: CSKA Sofia
13.05.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
10.02.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
07.12.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
2
D
31.05.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
2
L
17.09.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
W
03.06.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
29.08.22
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
1
W
08.11.21
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
Last matches: CSKA 1948
22.07.26
UEF
CSKA 1948
Spartak Trnava
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
2
D
07.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
02.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
1
W
15.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
4
0
W
05.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
0
3
L
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
05.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
06.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Montana
1
0
W
11.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Rapid
1
2
L
03.12.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
W
22.11.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Arda Kardzhali
0
3
L
03.11.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
19.10.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
W
25.09.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
31.08.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
1
2
L
24.08.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
H2H away: CSKA 1948
13.05.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
10.02.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
L
24.08.25
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
1
W
07.12.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
2
D
31.05.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
L
03.06.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
29.08.22
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
1
L
08.11.21
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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