CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
CSKA Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
CSKA Sofia
22 matches
Cherno More Varna
18 matches
| CSKA Sofia | Statistic | Cherno More Varna |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 39 | Goals For | 25 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 1.9 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 1.3 | Corners | 0 |
| 16.2% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by CSKA Sofia's more proactive style and Cherno More Varna's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. CSKA Sofia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 13 points compared to Cherno More Varna in 9 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CSKA Sofia expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cherno More Varna in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cherno More Varna having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cherno More Varna. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. CSKA Sofia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
CSKA Sofia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 13 points after 5 outings. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:3, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 9, Cherno More Varna still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 7:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Sofia won 5 times, Cherno More Varna won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:10 from CSKA Sofia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 25 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
CSKA Sofia
Home
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:6 | 15 | 20 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Cherno More Varna
Away
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
W
|