RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE

22.08.2026 17:15

CSKA Moscow

3 - 2

Lokomotiv

VEB Arena

Referee: Kirill Levnikov, Russia

CSKA Moscow

Match Timeline

Lokomotiv

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 61.2%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 58.6%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	61.2%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.6%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	79.6%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

CSKA Moscow Win 61.2%

Draw 11.6%

Lokomotiv Win 27.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

CSKA Moscow1.26

Lokomotiv1.88

Recent Form (Last 5)

CSKA Moscow

WWDLW

25 GF / 25 GA

Lokomotiv

WLDWL

42 GF / 16 GA

Key Stats

1.56

Average Goals Scored

2.1

1.56

Average Goals Conceded

0.8

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.25

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Moscow 16 matches

Lokomotiv 20 matches

CSKA Moscow	Statistic	Lokomotiv
5	Wins	11
7	Draws	6
4	Losses	3
25	Goals For	42
25	Goals Against	16
1.56	Avg Goals Scored	2.1
1.56	Avg Goals Conceded	0.8
12	BTTS Yes	9
13	Over 1.5	17
8	Over 2.5	9
7	Over 3.5	7
2	Clean Sheets	11
3	Failed To Score	2
4.25	Shots On Goal	3
14.75	Total Shots	15.5
4	Corners	3.75
58.3%	Ball Possession	53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Moscow won 7 times, Lokomotiv won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:20 from CSKA Moscow's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)

Predicted formations: CSKA Moscow 4-4-2 / Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1

Missing players: CSKA Moscow 3, Lokomotiv 2

H2H summary: CSKA Moscow wins 7, draws 5, Lokomotiv wins 3

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Dynamo	10	7	1	2	15:8	7	22	W W W W W
2	CSKA Moscow Home	10	6	4	0	18:9	9	22	W W D W D
3	Zenit	10	7	0	3	22:11	11	21	W W W L W
4	FC Krasnodar	10	6	3	1	16:10	6	21	L D D D W
5	Spartak Moscow	10	6	2	2	17:8	9	20	D W W L D
6	Rubin	10	2	6	2	12:12	0	12	L D D D W
7	FC Orenburg	10	2	6	2	11:10	1	12	W D L D D
8	Baltika	10	3	3	4	14:12	2	12	D L D L W
9	Dinamo Makhachkala	10	4	0	6	15:20	-5	12	L L L W L
10	Krylia Sovetov	10	2	6	2	14:15	-1	12	D D W D D
11	Akhmat	10	2	5	3	13:13	0	11	D L W D D
12	FC Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11	W L L W L
13	Lokomotiv Away	10	2	4	4	13:11	2	10	W D L W L
14	Akron	10	1	5	4	11:19	-8	8	L W D D D
15	Rodina Moskva	10	1	2	7	10:25	-15	5	L D L L L
16	Fakel	10	0	3	7	6:18	-12	3	L L D L L

Premier League (Relegation)

Relegation - FNL