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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
15.08.2026 13:15
VEB Arena
Referee: Inal Tanashev, Russia
CSKA Moscow
Match Timeline
Fakel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
27'
Igor Yurganov
Fakel
🟨
46'
Matheus Alves
CSKA Moscow
🔄
46'
T. Musaev ↔ L. Gondou
CSKA Moscow
🟨
52'
Vyacheslav Yakimov
Fakel
🟨
54'
Vladislav Torop
CSKA Moscow
🟨
54'
Axel Gnapi
Fakel
🔄
64'
A. Sutormin ↔ A. Bagamaev
Fakel
🔄
64'
N. Giorgobiani ↔ B. Magomedov
Fakel
🔄
65'
M. Popovic ↔ I. Firov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
66'
Matheus Alves ↔ D. Kozlov
CSKA Moscow
⚽
71'
I. Oblyakov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
73'
I. Alshin ↔ A. Kovalev
Fakel
🔄
73'
A. Gnapi Dable ↔ B. Pusi
Fakel
🟨
76'
Imran Firov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
84'
I. Yurganov ↔ M. Uridia
Fakel
🟨
90+4'
Albert Gabaraev
Fakel
🔄
90'
D. Krugovoy ↔ K. Glebov
CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow vs Fakel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CSKA Moscow Win 69.5%
Draw 5.4%
Fakel Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Moscow1.48
Fakel1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
WWDLW
24 GF / 25 GA
Fakel Fakel
WLDWL
22 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
12
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
7
4.67
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 15 matches
Fakel Fakel 14 matches
CSKA Moscow Statistic Fakel
4 Wins 4
7 Draws 6
4 Losses 4
24 Goals For 22
25 Goals Against 18
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
12 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 3
16.33 Total Shots 13
3 Corners 7.33
59% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Moscow won 6 times, Fakel won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:7 from CSKA Moscow's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Moscow 4-1-4-1 / Fakel 3-4-3
Missing players: CSKA Moscow 1, Fakel 2
H2H summary: CSKA Moscow wins 6, draws 4, Fakel wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 15:8 7 22
W W W W W
2 10 6 4 0 18:9 9 22
W W D W D
3 11 6 4 1 19:13 6 22
D L D D D
4 10 7 0 3 22:11 11 21
W W W L W
5 10 6 2 2 17:8 9 20
D W W L D
6 11 4 1 6 16:21 -5 13
D L L L W
7 10 3 3 4 14:12 2 12
D L D L W
8 10 2 6 2 12:12 0 12
L D D D W
9 10 2 6 2 11:10 1 12
W D L D D
10 11 2 6 3 15:17 -2 12
L D D W D
11 10 2 5 3 13:13 0 11
D L W D D
12 11 2 5 4 16:14 2 11
D W D L W
13 10 3 2 5 11:17 -6 11
W L L W L
14 11 1 6 4 12:20 -8 9
D L W D D
15
Fakel Away
11 1 3 7 8:19 -11 6
W L L D L
16 10 1 2 7 10:25 -15 5
L D L L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL