RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
VEB Arena
Referee: I. Tanashev
CSKA Moscow
Match Timeline
Fakel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
27'
Igor Yurganov
Fakel
🟨
46'
Matheus Alves
CSKA Moscow
🔄
46'
T. Musaev ↔ L. Gondou
CSKA Moscow
🟨
52'
Vyacheslav Yakimov
Fakel
🟨
54'
Vladislav Torop
CSKA Moscow
🟨
54'
Axel Gnapi
Fakel
🔄
64'
A. Sutormin ↔ A. Bagamaev
Fakel
🔄
64'
N. Giorgobiani ↔ B. Magomedov
Fakel
🔄
65'
M. Popovic ↔ I. Firov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
66'
Matheus Alves ↔ D. Kozlov
CSKA Moscow
71'
I. Oblyakov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
73'
I. Alshin ↔ A. Kovalev
Fakel
🔄
73'
A. Gnapi Dable ↔ B. Pusi
Fakel
🟨
76'
Imran Firov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
84'
I. Yurganov ↔ M. Uridia
Fakel
🟨
90+4'
Albert Gabaraev
Fakel
🔄
90'
D. Krugovoy ↔ K. Glebov
CSKA Moscow

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 2.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
1.46
BTTS Yes
86%
2.06
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.93
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.40
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.20
Probability Distribution
CSKA Moscow Win 69.5%
Draw 5.4%
Fakel Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Moscow1.48
Fakel1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
WWDLW
24 GF / 25 GA
Fakel Fakel
WLDWL
22 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
12
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
7
4.67
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 15 matches
Fakel Fakel 14 matches
CSKA Moscow Statistic Fakel
4 Wins 4
7 Draws 6
4 Losses 4
24 Goals For 22
25 Goals Against 18
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
12 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 3
16.33 Total Shots 12
3 Corners 7.33
59% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Moscow won 6 times, Fakel won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:7 from CSKA Moscow's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Moscow 4-1-4-1 / Fakel 3-4-3
Missing players: CSKA Moscow 1, Fakel 2
H2H summary: CSKA Moscow wins 6, draws 4, Fakel wins 1
Stats
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
Fakel Fakel
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 4
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 0
6 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
448 Total passes 355
369 Passes accurate 257
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

CSKA Moscow
Formation
Fakel
V. Torop
V. Torop
M. Gajic
M. Gajic
Joao Victor
Joao Victor
K. Danilov
K. Danilov
Moises
Moises
M. Kislyak
M. Kislyak
D. Krugovoy
D. Krugovoy
I. Oblyakov
I. Oblyakov
Matheus Alves
Matheus Alves
M. Popovic
M. Popovic
T. Musaev
T. Musaev
D. Frolkin
D. Frolkin
A. Gabaraev
A. Gabaraev
I. Yurganov
I. Yurganov
M. Bardachev
M. Bardachev
D. Todorovic
D. Todorovic
V. Yakimov
V. Yakimov
R. Netfullin
R. Netfullin
I. Alshin
I. Alshin
N. Giorgobiani
N. Giorgobiani
A. Gnapi Dable
A. Gnapi Dable
A. Sutormin
A. Sutormin
CSKA Moscow 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
49
V. Torop
🟨 54'
G
22
M. Gajic
D
4
Joao Victor
D
79
K. Danilov
D
27
Moises
D
31
M. Kislyak
M
3
D. Krugovoy
↓ 90'
M
10
I. Oblyakov
⚽ 71'
M
7
Matheus Alves
↓ 66' 🟨 46'
M
20
M. Popovic
↓ 65'
M
11
T. Musaev
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
99
N. Barovskiy
G
39
M. Borisko
G
90
M. Lukin
D
2
Matheus Reis
D
23
D. Abdulkadyrov
D
6
D. Barinov
M
18
D. Kozlov
↑ 66'
M
52
A. Bandikyan
M
32
L. Gondou
↑ 46'
F
17
K. Glebov
↑ 90'
F
37
Henrique Carmo
M
62
I. Firov
↑ 65' 🟨 76'
M
Fakel 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
D. Frolkin
G
5
A. Gabaraev
🟨 90+4'
D
20
I. Yurganov
↓ 84'
D
53
M. Bardachev
D
55
D. Todorovic
M
23
V. Yakimov
🟨 52'
M
52
R. Netfullin
M
10
I. Alshin
↓ 73'
M
99
N. Giorgobiani
↓ 64'
F
9
A. Gnapi Dable
↓ 73' 🟨 54'
F
11
A. Sutormin
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
96
I. Obukhov
G
35
V. Dorovskikh
G
44
Y. Zhuravlev
D
22
H. El Mhassani
8
A. Bagamaev
↑ 64'
M
18
K. Simonov
M
97
B. Magomedov
↑ 64'
M
17
A. Kovalev
↑ 73'
M
93
M. Uridia
↑ 84'
F
19
B. Pusi
↑ 73'
F
25
A. Belyaev
F
Last matches: CSKA Moscow
08.08.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
0
0
D
01.08.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
2
5
L
14.07.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Arsenal Tula
1
1
D
30.06.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Sochi
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akron
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
4
L
01.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akhmat
0
1
L
Last matches: Fakel
10.08.26
Pre
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pre
Fakel
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H: CSKA Moscow vs Fakel
15.08.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
1
0
W
17.02.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
1
1
D
08.12.24
H2H
Fakel
CSKA Moscow
0
1
W
26.10.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
4
1
W
05.02.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
1
0
W
11.11.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
04.10.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
09.08.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
0
2
L
02.04.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
CSKA Moscow
0
2
W
06.08.22
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
4
1
W
Last matches: CSKA Moscow
08.08.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
0
0
D
01.08.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Arsenal Tula
1
1
D
30.06.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Sochi
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
3
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
2
W
18.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
3
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
2
2
D
25.01.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Samarqand
3
4
L
29.11.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
31.10.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
0
W
05.10.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
3
2
W
H2H at home: CSKA Moscow
15.08.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
1
0
W
17.02.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
1
1
D
26.10.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
4
1
W
05.02.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
1
0
W
09.08.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
0
2
L
06.08.22
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
4
1
W
Last matches: Fakel
02.08.26
Pre
Fakel
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H away: Fakel
15.08.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
1
0
L
17.02.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
1
1
D
26.10.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
0
0
D
05.02.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.93
Draw 4.39
Home 1.46
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.39
Draw 2.42
Home 1.96
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.0 1.46
Over 2.25 1.69
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.18
Over 3.0 2.64
Over 3.5 3.31
Over 4.5 6.62
Under 1.5 3.55
Under 2.0 2.75
Under 2.25 2.19
Under 2.5 1.92
Under 2.75 1.70
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.49
Draw 4.66
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.80
Draw 2.31
Home 1.97
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.74
Home 1.76
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.00
Over 1.25 1.13
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 1.75 1.33
Over 2.0 1.42
Over 2.25 1.74
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 2.75 2.25
Over 3.0 2.57
Over 3.25 2.89
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 3.75 3.94
Over 4.0 5.45
Over 4.25 5.80
Over 4.5 6.25
Over 4.75 9.95
Over 5.0 11.00
Under 0.5 11.40
Under 0.75 8.90
Under 1.0 9.20
Under 1.25 4.82
Under 1.5 3.44
Under 1.75 3.06
Under 2.0 2.67
Under 2.25 2.26
Under 2.5 1.96
Under 2.75 1.75
Under 3.0 1.45
Under 3.25 1.34
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 4.75 1.02
Under 5.0 1.01

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:4 5 12
W W W W
2 4 3 0 1 12:2 10 9
W L W W
3 4 3 0 1 8:4 4 9
W L W W
4 4 3 0 1 9:6 3 9
W L W W
5 4 2 2 0 4:2 2 8
W D D W
6 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
L W W L
7 4 1 2 1 4:6 -2 5
D D L W
8 4 1 2 1 5:6 -1 5
D D W L
9 4 1 2 1 6:5 1 5
D D W L
10 4 1 1 2 4:6 -2 4
L W L D
11 4 1 1 2 7:11 -4 4
D W L L
12 4 0 3 1 3:4 -1 3
D D L D
13 4 0 2 2 2:4 -2 2
L D L D
14 4 0 2 2 2:7 -5 2
L L D D
15 4 0 2 2 4:10 -6 2
D D L L
16
Fakel Away
4 0 1 3 3:6 -3 1
L D L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL

Missing Players

CSKA Moscow 1 missing
-
I. Akinfeev
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Fakel 2 missing
-
S. Magkeev
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Turishchev
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT