BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Bistritsa Stadium
Referee: V. Minev
CSKA 1948
Match Timeline
Ludogorets
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Anton Nedyalkov
Ludogorets
🔄
46'
M. Diallo ↔ A. Iliev
CSKA 1948
🔄
46'
G. Rusev ↔ B. Sobrero
CSKA 1948
🔄
46'
E. Franco ↔ Frederic
CSKA 1948
🟨
55'
Filip Kaloč
Ludogorets
🟨
56'
Borislav Tsonev
CSKA 1948
🔄
56'
K. Duah ↔ E. Bile
Ludogorets
🔄
56'
F. Kaloc ↔ Pedro Naressi
Ludogorets
🟨
69'
Erick Marcus
Ludogorets
🟨
72'
Petar Vitanov
CSKA 1948
🔄
76'
B. Tekpetey ↔ I. Yordanov
Ludogorets
🟨
79'
Son
Ludogorets
🟨
81'
Atanas Iliev
CSKA 1948
🔄
84'
O. Gasevic ↔ J. Carrion
CSKA 1948
🔄
87'
P. Stanic ↔ A. Salido Tajero
Ludogorets
🟨
90+11'
Pedro Naressi
Ludogorets
🟨
90+11'
Ivajlo Chochev
Ludogorets
🟨
90+5'
Son
Ludogorets
🟥
90+5'
Son
Ludogorets
🔄
90+7'
F. Krebs ↔ A. Hoffmann
CSKA 1948
90'
L. Dvali
CSKA 1948

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
68.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.2%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSKA 1948 Win 30%
Draw 17.3%
Ludogorets Win 52.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA 19481.33
Ludogorets1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
WWDLW
53 GF / 35 GA
Ludogorets Ludogorets
WLDWL
85 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.98
16
BTTS Yes
24
18
Over 2.5
27
3.39
Shots on Goal
3.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 34 matches
Ludogorets Ludogorets 52 matches
CSKA 1948 Statistic Ludogorets
19 Wins 25
6 Draws 14
9 Losses 13
53 Goals For 85
35 Goals Against 51
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.98
16 BTTS Yes 24
23 Over 1.5 37
18 Over 2.5 27
8 Over 3.5 13
12 Clean Sheets 22
9 Failed To Score 13
3.39 Shots On Goal 3.94
8.65 Total Shots 11.67
3.68 Corners 4.49
38.6% Ball Possession 42.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ludogorets. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CSKA 1948 expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ludogorets in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ludogorets having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Ludogorets arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

CSKA 1948 Analysis

CSKA 1948 approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 62 points after 33 outings. The return of 19 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 52:34, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Diallo (17 goals), A. Iliev (6 goals), E. Franco (6 goals), with creative support from Frederic (6 assists), G. Rusev (6 assists), B. Tsonev (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Ludogorets Analysis

Ludogorets approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 63 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats with a 59:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Chochev (16 goals), P. Stanic (9 goals), K. Duah (8 goals), with creative support from P. Stanic (9 assists), I. Chochev (5 assists), Erick Marcus (5 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA 1948 won 3 times, Ludogorets won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:32 from CSKA 1948's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: CSKA 1948 4-4-2 / Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CSKA 1948 wins 3, draws 4, Ludogorets wins 8

Lineups

CSKA 1948
Formation
Ludogorets
P. Marinov
P. Marinov
D. Grivic
D. Grivic
E. Parkhomenko
E. Parkhomenko
L. Dvali
L. Dvali
O. Gasevic
O. Gasevic
B. Tsonev
B. Tsonev
F. Krebs
F. Krebs
P. Vitanov
P. Vitanov
G. Rusev
G. Rusev
E. Franco
E. Franco
M. Diallo
M. Diallo
H. Bonmann
H. Bonmann
Son
Son
I. Nachmias
I. Nachmias
A. Nedyalkov
A. Nedyalkov
Vinicius Nogueira
Vinicius Nogueira
F. Kaloc
F. Kaloc
I. Chochev
I. Chochev
Erick Marcus
Erick Marcus
P. Stanic
P. Stanic
B. Tekpetey
B. Tekpetey
K. Duah
K. Duah
CSKA 1948 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
P. Marinov
G
96
D. Grivic
D
6
E. Parkhomenko
D
21
L. Dvali
⚽ 90'
D
22
O. Gasevic
↓ 84'
D
10
B. Tsonev
🟨 56'
M
23
F. Krebs
↓ 90+7'
M
34
P. Vitanov
🟨 72'
M
11
G. Rusev
↓ 46'
M
77
E. Franco
↓ 46'
M
93
M. Diallo
↓ 46'
Substitutes
13
D. Sheytanov
G
88
A. Traore
D
4
A. Hoffmann
↑ 90+7'
D
9
A. Iliev
↑ 46' 🟨 81'
F
20
B. Sobrero
↑ 46'
14
K. Strinski
19
M. Boychev
67
Frederic
↑ 46'
M
3
J. Carrion
↑ 84'
Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
39
H. Bonmann
G
17
Son
🟨 79' 🟨 90+5' 🟥 90+5'
D
55
I. Nachmias
D
3
A. Nedyalkov
🟨 3'
D
27
Vinicius Nogueira
D
26
F. Kaloc
↓ 56' 🟨 55'
M
18
I. Chochev
🟨 90+11'
M
77
Erick Marcus
🟨 69'
M
14
P. Stanic
↓ 87'
M
37
B. Tekpetey
↓ 76'
M
9
K. Duah
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Padt
G
5
G. Terziev
D
7
A. Salido Tajero
↑ 87'
F
15
E. Kurtulus
D
23
D. Duarte
M
29
E. Bile
↑ 56'
F
30
Pedro Naressi
↑ 56' 🟨 90+11'
M
75
E. Syrov
82
I. Yordanov
↑ 76'
M
Last matches: CSKA 1948
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
0
D
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
02.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
1
W
15.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
4
0
W
10.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
05.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
0
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
05.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
22.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
06.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Montana
1
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Gangwon FC
3
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Slovan Bratislava
2
1
W
22.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Spartak Trnava
0
1
L
19.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
Last matches: Ludogorets
29.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
13.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
09.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
19.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
1
W
14.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Montana
3
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
02.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
26.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
23.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Beroe
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
H2H: CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets
16.05.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
0
W
25.04.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
W
05.04.26
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
L
27.10.25
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
5
4
W
07.04.25
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
3
L
16.12.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
3
L
28.10.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
L
11.04.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
0
1
L
03.03.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
2
0
L
29.02.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
1
L
10.02.24
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
28.05.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
2
D
24.05.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
3
L
13.11.22
H2H
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
22.07.22
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
2
D
Last matches: CSKA 1948
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
0
D
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
10.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
01.02.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Gangwon FC
3
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Slovan Bratislava
2
1
W
22.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Spartak Trnava
0
1
L
19.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
15.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Lask Linz
1
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Göztepe
1
2
L
08.12.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Dobrudzha
0
0
D
29.11.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Beroe
2
1
W
09.11.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
27.10.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
5
4
W
04.10.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
20.09.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4
0
W
15.09.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
3
1
W
H2H at home: CSKA 1948
16.05.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
0
W
27.10.25
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
5
4
W
07.04.25
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
3
L
16.12.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
3
L
11.04.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
0
1
L
28.05.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
2
D
24.05.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
3
L
22.07.22
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
2
D
Last matches: Ludogorets
09.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
19.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
1
W
09.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Montana
3
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
23.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Rangers
0
1
L
14.01.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Raków Częstochowa
2
2
D
11.01.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Paks
3
2
W
19.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Beroe
4
0
W
04.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
23.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
1
3
L
02.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
27.10.25
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
4
5
L
23.10.25
UEF
Ludogorets
BSC Young Boys
2
3
L
05.10.25
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
24.09.25
UEF
Ludogorets
Malmo FF
2
1
W
H2H away: Ludogorets
16.05.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
0
L
27.10.25
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
5
4
L
07.04.25
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
3
W
16.12.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
3
W
11.04.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
0
1
W
28.05.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
2
D
24.05.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
3
W
22.07.22
H2H
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
2
D

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
efbet League (Relegation Group)