BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
28.08.2026 18:15
Bistritsa Stadium
Referee: Lyuboslav Lyubomirov, Bulgaria
CSKA 1948
Match Timeline
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Lucas Ryan
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
34'
Adrián Cova
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
35'
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
45'
B. Tsonev · Assist: H. Cuellar
CSKA 1948
🔄
60'
D. Ali ↔ R. Leijten
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
69'
M. Diallo ↔ A. Iliev
CSKA 1948
🔄
69'
J. Meyer ↔ P. Vitanov
CSKA 1948
🟨
76'
Héctor Cuellar
CSKA 1948
🔄
84'
B. Tsonev ↔ D. Tarasenko
CSKA 1948
🔄
84'
S. Idriz ↔ A. Aleksandrov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
84'
C. Longville ↔ M. Petrovic
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
90+3'
G. Rusev ↔ K. Strinski
CSKA 1948
90'
E. Franco · Assist: G. Rusev
CSKA 1948

CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSKA 1948 Win 73.7%
Draw 5.1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win 21.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA 19481.29
Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
WWDLW
38 GF / 26 GA
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
15
BTTS Yes
3
15
Over 2.5
2
1.14
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 23 matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 12 matches
CSKA 1948 Statistic Lokomotiv Plovdiv
10 Wins 5
6 Draws 2
7 Losses 5
38 Goals For 10
26 Goals Against 9
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
15 BTTS Yes 3
17 Over 1.5 6
15 Over 2.5 2
6 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 5
1.14 Shots On Goal 0
5.57 Total Shots 0
2.29 Corners 0
18.6% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by CSKA 1948's more proactive style and Lokomotiv Plovdiv's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. CSKA 1948 arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 13 points compared to Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 11 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. CSKA 1948 come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

CSKA 1948 Analysis

CSKA 1948 come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 5 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 13:6 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Analysis

With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 11, Lokomotiv Plovdiv still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 3:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA 1948 won 10 times, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:10 from CSKA 1948's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: CSKA 1948 4-2-3-1 / Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CSKA 1948 wins 10, draws 4, Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins 1

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 21:6 15 20
W D W W W
3 8 6 2 0 14:6 8 20
W D D W W
4 9 6 1 2 17:9 8 19
W L W L W
5 9 5 1 3 14:11 3 16
L L W W W
6 9 4 1 4 13:14 -1 13
W W L L L
7 9 2 5 2 8:6 2 11
D W L D D
8 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 10
D D D L L
9 9 2 2 5 7:17 -10 8
D W L W L
10 8 2 2 4 7:13 -6 8
L D W W L
11 9 2 0 7 4:12 -8 6
L W L L L
12 9 1 2 6 10:19 -9 5
D L L W L
13 8 0 4 4 10:16 -6 4
D L D L L
14 9 1 1 7 8:17 -9 4
L L D L W
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