BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Bistritsa Stadium
Referee: D. Dimitrov
CSKA 1948
Match Timeline
CSKA Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
58'
M. Brahimi · Assist: J. Eto'o
CSKA Sofia
🔄
62'
E. Franco ↔ G. Rusev
CSKA 1948
🔄
62'
O. Gasevic ↔ F. Soltani
CSKA 1948
🟨
65'
Florian Krebs
CSKA 1948
🔄
67'
M. Brahimi ↔ I. Pittas
CSKA Sofia
🟨
72'
Teodor Ivanov
CSKA Sofia
🔄
76'
F. Krebs ↔ M. Boychev
CSKA 1948
🔄
80'
M. Diallo ↔ A. Iliev
CSKA 1948
🟨
81'
James Eto'o
CSKA Sofia
🟨
82'
Leandro Godoy
CSKA Sofia
🟨
83'
Léo Pereira
CSKA Sofia
🔄
84'
L. Godoy ↔ A. Yordanov
CSKA Sofia
🔄
84'
Leo Pereira ↔ A. Piedrahita
CSKA Sofia
🔄
88'
J. Eto'o ↔ I. Solet
CSKA Sofia
🟨
90+1'
Fedor Lapoukhov
CSKA Sofia
🟨
90+1'
Max Ebong
CSKA Sofia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSKA 1948 Win 35.1%
Draw 22.5%
CSKA Sofia Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA 19481.3
CSKA Sofia1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
WWDLW
52 GF / 33 GA
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WLDWL
45 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
15
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
11
3.62
Shots on Goal
3.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 32 matches
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 32 matches
CSKA 1948 Statistic CSKA Sofia
19 Wins 17
5 Draws 8
8 Losses 7
52 Goals For 45
33 Goals Against 26
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
15 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 21
18 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 8
3.62 Shots On Goal 3.52
9.24 Total Shots 12.21
3.93 Corners 4.62
41.2% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CSKA Sofia. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CSKA 1948 expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and CSKA Sofia in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA Sofia having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

CSKA 1948 Analysis

CSKA 1948 come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 62 points after 32 matches. They have recorded 19 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a 52:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on M. Diallo (17 goals), A. Iliev (6 goals), E. Franco (6 goals), with creative support from Frederic (6 assists), G. Rusev (6 assists), B. Tsonev (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

CSKA Sofia Analysis

CSKA Sofia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 59 points after 32 outings. With 17 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Pittas (8 goals), J. Eto'o (4 goals), Mohamed Brahimi (3 goals), with creative support from J. Eto'o (9 assists), Pastor (4 assists), I. Pittas (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA 1948 won 2 times, CSKA Sofia won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from CSKA 1948's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)
Predicted formations: CSKA 1948 4-2-3-1 / CSKA Sofia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: CSKA 1948 wins 2, draws 3, CSKA Sofia wins 10

Lineups

CSKA 1948
Formation
CSKA Sofia
D. Sheytanov
D. Sheytanov
D. Medina
D. Medina
A. Hoffmann
A. Hoffmann
L. Dvali
L. Dvali
O. Gasevic
O. Gasevic
B. Tsonev
B. Tsonev
F. Krebs
F. Krebs
P. Vitanov
P. Vitanov
B. Sobrero
B. Sobrero
E. Franco
E. Franco
M. Diallo
M. Diallo
F. Lapoukhov
F. Lapoukhov
Pastor
Pastor
T. Ivanov
T. Ivanov
F. Rodriguez
F. Rodriguez
L. Dellova
L. Dellova
M. Brahimi
M. Brahimi
M. Ebong
M. Ebong
P. Panayotov
P. Panayotov
Leo Pereira
Leo Pereira
J. Eto'o
🎯
J. Eto'o
L. Godoy
L. Godoy
CSKA 1948 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
D. Sheytanov
G
2
D. Medina
D
4
A. Hoffmann
D
21
L. Dvali
D
22
O. Gasevic
↓ 62'
D
10
B. Tsonev
M
23
F. Krebs
↓ 76' 🟨 65'
M
34
P. Vitanov
M
20
B. Sobrero
77
E. Franco
↓ 62'
M
93
M. Diallo
↓ 80'
Substitutes
1
P. Marinov
G
9
A. Iliev
↑ 80'
F
11
G. Rusev
↑ 62'
M
6
E. Parkhomenko
D
14
K. Strinski
19
M. Boychev
↑ 76'
67
Frederic
M
15
F. Soltani
↑ 62'
D
3
J. Carrion
CSKA Sofia 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
21
F. Lapoukhov
2
Pastor
D
14
T. Ivanov
🟨 72'
D
32
F. Rodriguez
D
5
L. Dellova
D
11
M. Brahimi
⚽ 58' ↓ 67'
M
10
M. Ebong
🟨 90+1'
M
30
P. Panayotov
M
38
Leo Pereira
↓ 84' 🟨 83'
M
99
J. Eto'o
🎯 58' ↓ 88'
9
L. Godoy
↓ 84' 🟨 82'
F
Substitutes
25
D. Evtimov
G
3
A. Yordanov
↑ 84'
D
4
A. Lapena
D
7
O. Skarsem
M
19
I. Turitsov
D
28
I. Pittas
↑ 67'
F
73
I. Iliev
M
77
A. Piedrahita
↑ 84'
M
94
I. Solet
↑ 88'
M
Last matches: CSKA 1948
22.07.26
UEF
CSKA 1948
Spartak Trnava
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
2
D
07.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Maribor
3
3
D
29.06.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
FK Partizan
3
0
W
21.06.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Drita
4
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
0
D
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
0
W
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
2
1
W
15.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
4
0
W
10.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
05.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
0
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
05.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
23.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
20.07.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Odra Opole
3
2
W
24.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Polessya
0
4
L
20.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Brinje-Grosuplje
2
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
03.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
13.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
08.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
22.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
3
L
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
H2H: CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia
13.05.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
08.05.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
14.02.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
10.02.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
L
24.08.25
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
1
W
07.12.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
2
D
07.11.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
31.05.24
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
2
W
09.03.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
17.09.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
L
03.06.23
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
29.08.22
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
1
L
08.11.21
H2H
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
L
25.07.21
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
2
4
L
Last matches: CSKA 1948
01.07.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Maribor
3
3
D
29.06.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
FK Partizan
3
0
W
21.06.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Drita
4
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
0
0
D
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
1
0
W
10.04.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
08.03.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fir
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
01.02.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Gangwon FC
3
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Slovan Bratislava
2
1
W
22.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Spartak Trnava
0
1
L
19.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
15.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Lask Linz
1
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
CSKA 1948
Göztepe
1
2
L
08.12.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Dobrudzha
0
0
D
29.11.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Beroe
2
1
W
09.11.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
27.10.25
Fir
CSKA 1948
Ludogorets
5
4
W
H2H at home: CSKA 1948
08.05.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
14.02.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
07.11.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
09.03.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
12.03.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
25.07.21
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
2
4
L
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
23.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
20.07.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
2
1
W
28.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Odra Opole
3
2
W
20.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Brinje-Grosuplje
2
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
08.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
W
06.12.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
29.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
0
W
08.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
19.10.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
27.09.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
22.09.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
18.09.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
30.08.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
2
D
H2H away: CSKA Sofia
08.05.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
W
14.02.26
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
2
W
07.11.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
3
W
09.03.24
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
1
2
W
12.03.23
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
0
1
W
25.07.21
H2H
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
2
4
W

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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