BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
CSA
Match Timeline
São Luiz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
29'
Matheus Melo
CSA
VAR
63'
Camacho
CSA
82'
Brandao
São Luiz
90+6'
Cadu
CSA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.01
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.8%
1.36
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.01
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
CSA Win 69.8%
Draw 4.8%
São Luiz Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSA1.68
São Luiz0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSA CSA
WWDLW
32 GF / 10 GA
São Luiz São Luiz
WLDWL
16 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSA CSA 15 matches
São Luiz São Luiz 16 matches
CSA Statistic São Luiz
8 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
2 Losses 5
32 Goals For 16
10 Goals Against 16
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 0-0, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward São Luiz. CSA arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 21 points compared to São Luiz in 4 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward São Luiz having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

CSA Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, CSA arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 21 points after 10 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 25:8 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

São Luiz Analysis

São Luiz come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 15 points from 10 matches. With 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:9, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, CSA won 0 times, São Luiz won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from CSA's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: CSA wins 0, draws 1, São Luiz wins 0
Last matches: CSA
19.07.26
Ser
CSA
São Luiz
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
4
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
7
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
Last matches: São Luiz
19.07.26
Ser
São Luiz
CSA
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
São Luiz
Velo Clube
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
São Luiz
Velo Clube
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Blumenau
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Blumenau
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
4
4
D
11.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
São Luiz
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Azuriz
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Barra
0
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
H2H: CSA vs São Luiz
19.07.26
H2H
São Luiz
CSA
0
0
D
Last matches: CSA
13.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
4
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
Last matches: São Luiz
04.07.26
Ser
São Luiz
Velo Clube
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Blumenau
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Azuriz
0
0
D
13.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
1
2
L
02.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Marcílio Dias
0
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Sao Jose
0
3
L
26.04.25
Ser
São Luiz
Barra
0
3
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.08
Draw 4.06
Home 1.36
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.40
Over 2.0 1.53
Over 2.25 1.79
Over 2.5 2.01
Over 2.75 2.29
Over 3.0 2.80
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 1.75 2.71
Under 2.0 2.38
Under 2.25 1.98
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 2.75 1.55
Under 3.0 1.38
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 4.00
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 2.20
Home 1.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.60
Home 1.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 10.50
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.05
Draw 4.05
Home 1.34
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.65
Draw 2.11
Home 1.92
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.65
Draw 2.62
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.17
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.49
Over 2.25 1.76
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 2.75 2.28
Over 3.0 2.74
Over 3.25 3.08
Over 3.5 3.34
Over 4.0 5.90
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 7.80
Under 1.0 6.80
Under 1.25 4.00
Under 1.5 3.04
Under 1.75 2.66
Under 2.0 2.30
Under 2.25 1.93
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 2.75 1.54
Under 3.0 1.35
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 4.0 1.07
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.10
Draw 3.85
Home 1.46
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 2.25
Home 2.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 2.63
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 3.5 3.40
Under 1.5 3.15
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.24

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1
CSA Home
10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)