BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
FT
1 - 1
CSA
Match Timeline
ASA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
30'
Alex Bruno
ASA
38'
Rayan
CSA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 60%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
60%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSA Win 51.3%
Draw 19.8%
ASA Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSA1.66
ASA1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSA CSA
WWDLW
16 GF / 5 GA
ASA ASA
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.29
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSA CSA 7 matches
ASA ASA 7 matches
CSA Statistic ASA
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
16 Goals For 9
5 Goals Against 5
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
4 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ASA having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring ASA.

CSA Analysis

CSA come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 7 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 16:5, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Rian Santana (6 goals), Ailton Santos (2 goals), Dudu Figueiredo (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

ASA Analysis

ASA come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 13 points after 7 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 9:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Alex Bruno (5 goals), Allef (1 goals), Arthurzinho (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSA won 5 times, ASA won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from CSA's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
H2H summary: CSA wins 5, draws 6, ASA wins 4
Last matches: CSA
19.07.26
Ser
CSA
São Luiz
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
4
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
7
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
Last matches: ASA
18.07.26
Ser
ASA
Cianorte
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
4
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
2
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
1
0
W
H2H: CSA vs ASA
23.05.26
H2H
CSA
ASA
1
1
D
19.04.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
1
L
01.04.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
3
W
17.01.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
0
0
D
22.02.25
H2H
CSA
ASA
1
0
W
16.02.25
H2H
ASA
CSA
1
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
CSA
ASA
0
0
D
15.12.24
H2H
ASA
CSA
0
1
W
07.02.24
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
0
L
16.01.23
H2H
CSA
ASA
0
0
D
26.02.22
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
2
D
27.03.21
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
2
D
29.07.20
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
0
L
14.03.19
H2H
CSA
ASA
3
1
W
24.03.18
H2H
CSA
ASA
2
1
W
Last matches: CSA
13.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
4
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
H2H at home: CSA
23.05.26
H2H
CSA
ASA
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
CSA
ASA
1
0
W
01.02.25
H2H
CSA
ASA
0
0
D
16.01.23
H2H
CSA
ASA
0
0
D
14.03.19
H2H
CSA
ASA
3
1
W
24.03.18
H2H
CSA
ASA
2
1
W
Last matches: ASA
18.07.26
Ser
ASA
Cianorte
1
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
16.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
ASA
Jequié
0
0
D
13.07.25
Ser
ASA
Penedense
1
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
ASA
Barcelona BA
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
ASA
União Carmolandense
4
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
ASA
Lagarto
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
2
1
W
20.04.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W
H2H away: ASA
23.05.26
H2H
CSA
ASA
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
CSA
ASA
1
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
CSA
ASA
0
0
D
16.01.23
H2H
CSA
ASA
0
0
D
14.03.19
H2H
CSA
ASA
3
1
L
24.03.18
H2H
CSA
ASA
2
1
L

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1
CSA Home
10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3
ASA Away
10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)