Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
43.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
27 matches
Botafogo
23 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 37 | Goals For | 36 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 13.09 |
| 4.84 | Corners | 4.04 |
| 55.5% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Botafogo's more proactive style and Cruzeiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botafogo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cruzeiro expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Botafogo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Cruzeiro are currently 13 in the standings with 24 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Christian (4 goals), Kaio Jorge (4 goals), Matheus Pereira (3 goals), with creative support from Christian (3 assists), Lucas Romero (3 assists), Matheus Pereira (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Botafogo sit 9 with 25 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 33:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Danilo (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), with creative support from Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo (2 assists), Edenilson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 5 times, Botafogo won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Cruzeiro
6
4
4
2
6
2
Lineups
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Internacional
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Santos
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
Gremio
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 |
Cruzeiro
Home
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Botafogo
Away
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|