03.10.2026 16:00

Croatia vs England Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Croatia Win 41.8%
Draw 6.8%
England Win 51.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Croatia1.32
England2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Croatia Croatia
WWDLW
14 GF / 19 GA
England England
WLDWL
29 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
8
3.2
Shots on Goal
6.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Croatia Croatia 10 matches
England England 14 matches
Croatia Statistic England
5 Wins 9
0 Draws 2
5 Losses 3
14 Goals For 29
19 Goals Against 17
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
8 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
3.2 Shots On Goal 6.14
9 Total Shots 16.86
3.3 Corners 6.36
46.5% Ball Possession 58.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Croatia won 1 times, England won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Croatia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Croatia 4-2-3-1 / England 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Croatia wins 1, draws 1, England wins 3

Standings

League A - Group C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
3 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
4 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation