ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Referee: M. Fabbri
Cremonese
Match Timeline
Torino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
60'
J. Vandeputte ↔ D. Okereke
Cremonese
🔄
60'
R. Floriani ↔ A. Zerbin
Cremonese
VAR
64'
Federico Baschirotto
Cremonese
🔄
68'
G. Maripan ↔ L. Marianucci
Torino
🔄
68'
G. Simeone ↔ A. Njie
Torino
🔄
73'
A. Grassi ↔ M. Payero
Cremonese
🔄
76'
R. Obrador ↔ C. Biraghi
Torino
🔄
76'
N. Vlasic ↔ F. Anjorin
Torino
🟨
78'
Saúl Coco
Torino
🟨
80'
Enzo Ebosse
Torino
🟨
80'
Alieu Njie
Torino
🔄
84'
A. Sanabria ↔ M. Djuric
Cremonese
🔄
84'
S. Luperto ↔ T. Barbieri
Cremonese
🔄
90'
↔ S. Kulenovic
Torino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
86.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Cremonese Win 13.5%
Draw 0%
Torino Win 86.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese1.12
Torino1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cremonese Cremonese
WWDLW
26 GF / 47 GA
Torino Torino
WLDWL
43 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
14
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
22
3.06
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cremonese Cremonese 33 matches
Torino Torino 36 matches
Cremonese Statistic Torino
6 Wins 14
10 Draws 6
17 Losses 16
26 Goals For 43
47 Goals Against 58
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
14 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 22
7 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 13
16 Failed To Score 9
3.06 Shots On Goal 4.19
8.94 Total Shots 12
3.3 Corners 4.08
46.1% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cremonese expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Torino in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Torino having the stronger overall control. Cremonese have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Torino. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Cremonese Analysis

Cremonese sit 17 with 27 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats with a 26:47 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Bonazzoli (7 goals), Jamie Vardy (5 goals), Filippo Terracciano (3 goals), with creative support from J. Vandeputte (4 assists), F. Bonazzoli (2 assists), Jamie Vardy (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Collocolo, Y. Maleh, M. Thorsby unavailable.

Torino Analysis

Torino sit 12 with 39 points after 32 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, while the 37:54 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Simeone (9 goals), Nikola Vlašić (7 goals), C. Adams (5 goals), with creative support from Nikola Vlašić (3 assists), C. Adams (2 assists), Ardian Ismajli (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Ismajli, N. Nkounkou, Z. Aboukhlal unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cremonese won 1 times, Torino won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Cremonese's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cremonese 4-4-2 / Torino 3-5-2
Missing players: Cremonese 5, Torino 5
H2H summary: Cremonese wins 1, draws 4, Torino wins 3
Stats
Cremonese Cremonese
Torino Torino
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 2
5 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
493 Total passes 278
415 Passes accurate 214
0.64 expected_goals 0.14
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cremonese
Formation
Torino
E. Audero
E. Audero
F. Terracciano
F. Terracciano
F. Baschirotto
F. Baschirotto
S. Luperto
S. Luperto
G. Pezzella
G. Pezzella
R. Floriani
R. Floriani
W. Bondo
W. Bondo
A. Grassi
A. Grassi
J. Vandeputte
J. Vandeputte
F. Bonazzoli
F. Bonazzoli
A. Sanabria
A. Sanabria
A. Paleari
A. Paleari
S. Coco
S. Coco
G. Maripan
G. Maripan
E. Ebosse
E. Ebosse
M. Pedersen
M. Pedersen
C. Casadei
C. Casadei
G. Gineitis
G. Gineitis
R. Obrador
R. Obrador
N. Vlasic
N. Vlasic
G. Simeone
G. Simeone
C. Adams
C. Adams
Cremonese 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Audero
G
24
F. Terracciano
D
6
F. Baschirotto
D
5
S. Luperto
↓ 84'
D
3
G. Pezzella
D
22
R. Floriani
↓ 60'
M
38
W. Bondo
M
33
A. Grassi
↓ 73'
M
27
J. Vandeputte
↓ 60'
M
90
F. Bonazzoli
F
99
A. Sanabria
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
16
M. Silvestri
G
69
L. Nava
G
9
M. Djuric
↑ 84'
F
77
D. Okereke
↑ 60'
F
32
M. Payero
↑ 73'
M
55
F. Folino
D
21
S. Lottici Tessadri
M
23
F. Ceccherini
D
15
M. Bianchetti
D
7
A. Zerbin
↑ 60'
F
4
T. Barbieri
↑ 84'
D
30
M. Faye
D
Torino 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
A. Paleari
G
23
S. Coco
🟨 78'
D
13
G. Maripan
↓ 68'
D
77
E. Ebosse
🟨 80'
D
16
M. Pedersen
M
22
C. Casadei
M
66
G. Gineitis
M
33
R. Obrador
↓ 76'
M
10
N. Vlasic
↓ 76'
F
18
G. Simeone
↓ 68'
F
19
C. Adams
F
Substitutes
81
F. Israel
G
99
L. Siviero
G
61
A. Tameze
M
34
C. Biraghi
↑ 76'
D
20
V. Lazaro
D
17
S. Kulenovic
↑ 90'
F
14
F. Anjorin
↑ 76'
M
4
M. Prati
M
6
E. Ilkhan
M
35
L. Marianucci
↑ 68'
D
8
I. Ilic
M
92
A. Njie
↑ 68' 🟨 80'
F
Last matches: Cremonese
24.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Como
1
4
L
17.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Udinese
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Pisa
3
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lazio
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Napoli
0
4
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Bologna
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Parma
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lecce
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
AC Milan
0
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
AS Roma
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Genoa
0
0
D
09.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Atalanta
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Inter
0
2
L
25.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Sassuolo
0
1
L
19.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
12.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Juventus
0
5
L
08.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
2
2
D
04.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
0
1
L
Last matches: Torino
24.05.26
Ser
Torino
Juventus
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Torino
Cagliari
1
2
L
08.05.26
Ser
Torino
Sassuolo
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Torino
Udinese
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Torino
Inter
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Torino
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Torino
Pisa
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Torino
AC Milan
2
3
L
13.03.26
Ser
Torino
Parma
4
1
W
06.03.26
Ser
Torino
Napoli
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Torino
Lazio
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
Torino
Genoa
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Torino
Bologna
1
2
L
07.02.26
Ser
Torino
Fiorentina
2
2
D
04.02.26
Cop
Torino
Inter
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Torino
Lecce
1
0
W
24.01.26
Ser
Torino
Como
0
6
L
18.01.26
Ser
Torino
AS Roma
0
2
L
13.01.26
Cop
Torino
AS Roma
3
2
W
10.01.26
Ser
Torino
Atalanta
0
2
L
H2H: Cremonese vs Torino
19.04.26
H2H
Cremonese
Torino
0
0
D
13.12.25
H2H
Torino
Cremonese
1
0
L
26.07.25
H2H
Torino
Cremonese
4
1
L
27.07.24
H2H
Torino
Cremonese
1
2
W
20.02.23
H2H
Torino
Cremonese
2
2
D
23.12.22
H2H
Torino
Cremonese
0
0
D
27.08.22
H2H
Cremonese
Torino
1
2
L
15.08.21
H2H
Torino
Cremonese
0
0
D
Last matches: Cremonese
24.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Como
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Pisa
3
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lazio
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Bologna
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
1
4
L
01.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
AC Milan
0
2
L
15.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Genoa
0
0
D
01.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Inter
0
2
L
19.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
08.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
2
2
D
28.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Napoli
0
2
L
07.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Lecce
2
0
W
23.11.25
Ser
Cremonese
AS Roma
1
3
L
01.11.25
Ser
Cremonese
Juventus
1
2
L
25.10.25
Ser
Cremonese
Atalanta
1
1
D
20.10.25
Ser
Cremonese
Udinese
1
1
D
21.09.25
Ser
Cremonese
Parma
0
0
D
29.08.25
Ser
Cremonese
Sassuolo
3
2
W
16.08.25
Cop
Cremonese
Palermo
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cremonese
19.04.26
H2H
Cremonese
Torino
0
0
D
27.08.22
H2H
Cremonese
Torino
1
2
L
Last matches: Torino
17.05.26
Ser
Torino
Cagliari
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Torino
Udinese
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Torino
Pisa
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Torino
AC Milan
2
3
L
06.03.26
Ser
Torino
Napoli
1
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Torino
Genoa
0
3
L
07.02.26
Ser
Torino
Fiorentina
2
2
D
04.02.26
Cop
Torino
Inter
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ser
Torino
Como
0
6
L
13.01.26
Cop
Torino
AS Roma
3
2
W
10.01.26
Ser
Torino
Atalanta
0
2
L
04.01.26
Ser
Torino
Hellas Verona
3
0
W
21.12.25
Ser
Torino
Sassuolo
1
0
W
30.11.25
Ser
Torino
Lecce
1
2
L
08.11.25
Ser
Torino
Juventus
0
0
D
29.10.25
Ser
Torino
Bologna
0
0
D
04.10.25
Ser
Torino
Lazio
3
3
D
29.09.25
Ser
Torino
Parma
1
2
L
14.09.25
Ser
Torino
AS Roma
1
0
W
25.08.25
Ser
Torino
Inter
0
5
L
H2H away: Torino
19.04.26
H2H
Cremonese
Torino
0
0
D
27.08.22
H2H
Cremonese
Torino
1
2
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L

Missing Players

Cremonese 5 missing
-
M. Collocolo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Y. Maleh
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
M. Thorsby
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Moumbagna
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Vardy
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Torino 5 missing
-
A. Ismajli
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
N. Nkounkou
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Z. Aboukhlal
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Zapata
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Z. Savva
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT