ITALY › SERIE A
10.05.2026 13:00
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Referee: G. Ayroldi
Cremonese
Match Timeline
Pisa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Rosen Bozhinov
Pisa
🟨
23'
Rosen Bozhinov
Pisa
🟥
23'
Rosen Bozhinov
Pisa
⚽
31'
J. Vardy
Cremonese
🔄
37'
S. Moreo ↔ A. Calabresi
Pisa
🔄
37'
M. Leris ↔ S. Angori
Pisa
🟨
49'
Arturo Calabresi
Pisa
⚽
51'
F. Bonazzoli · Assist: J. Vandeputte
Cremonese
🟥
57'
Felipe Loyola
Pisa
🔄
59'
Y. Maleh ↔ M. Thorsby
Cremonese
🔄
59'
G. Pezzella ↔ A. Zerbin
Cremonese
🔄
65'
I. Vural ↔ M. Hojholt
Pisa
🔄
65'
F. Stojilkovic ↔ H. Meister
Pisa
🔄
72'
J. Vardy ↔ A. Sanabria
Cremonese
🔄
72'
J. Vandeputte ↔ D. Okereke
Cremonese
🔄
72'
E. Akinsanmiro ↔ G. Piccinini
Pisa
🔄
85'
S. Luperto ↔ F. Folino
Cremonese
⚽
86'
D. Okereke · Assist: A. Zerbin
Cremonese
🟨
89'
Malthe Højholt
Pisa

Cremonese vs Pisa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
28.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cremonese Win 45.5%
Draw 54.6%
Pisa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese1.14
Pisa1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cremonese Cremonese
WWDLW
27 GF / 53 GA
Pisa Pisa
WLDWL
25 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.68
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
15
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
17
3.17
Shots on Goal
2.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cremonese Cremonese 36 matches
Pisa Pisa 37 matches
Cremonese Statistic Pisa
6 Wins 2
11 Draws 13
19 Losses 22
27 Goals For 25
53 Goals Against 64
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
15 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 12
10 Clean Sheets 6
18 Failed To Score 21
3.17 Shots On Goal 2.81
9.14 Total Shots 9.76
3.42 Corners 3.65
46.4% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pisa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cremonese expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Pisa in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pisa having the stronger overall control.

Cremonese Analysis

Cremonese approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 28 points from 35 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 10 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 27:53 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Bonazzoli (8 goals), Jamie Vardy (5 goals), Filippo Terracciano (4 goals), with creative support from J. Vandeputte (4 assists), F. Bonazzoli (2 assists), Jamie Vardy (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pisa Analysis

Pisa sit 20 with 18 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 12 draws, and 21 losses, together with goals at 25:63, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through S. Moreo (6 goals), M. Nzola (4 goals), Antonio Caracciolo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Leris (3 assists), Matteo Tramoni (2 assists), S. Angori (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cremonese won 3 times, Pisa won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:27 from Cremonese's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Cremonese 4-4-2 / Pisa 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Cremonese 4, Pisa 2
H2H summary: Cremonese wins 3, draws 5, Pisa wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa Away
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B