ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Referee: F. Maresca
Cremonese
Match Timeline
Como
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
-5'
David Okereke
Cremonese
🟥
-5'
Milan Đurić
Cremonese
🔄
16'
Y. Maleh ↔ J. Vandeputte
Cremonese
🟨
20'
Jesús Rodriguez
Como
🟨
21'
Morten Thorsby
Cremonese
36'
J. Rodriguez
Como
🔄
46'
M. Thorsby ↔ M. Collocolo
Cremonese
🔄
46'
A. Zerbin ↔ R. Floriani
Cremonese
🟨
49'
Alberto Moreno
Como
51'
A. Douvikas · Assist: J. Rodriguez
Como
55'
F. Bonazzoli
Cremonese
🟨
61'
Jamie Vardy
Cremonese
🔄
64'
J. Rodriguez ↔ M. Caqueret
Como
VAR
68'
Anastasios Douvikas
Como
🟨
71'
Matteo Bianchetti
Cremonese
🟥
71'
Alberto Grassi
Cremonese
74'
L. Da Cunha
Como
🟨
76'
Jari Vandeputte
Cremonese
🔄
76'
A. Moreno ↔ I. Van der Brempt
Como
81'
L. Da Cunha · Assist: M. Caqueret
Como
🔄
83'
F. Terracciano ↔ T. Barbieri
Cremonese
🔄
83'
A. Douvikas ↔ A. Morata
Como
🔄
83'
A. Diao ↔ M. Vojvoda
Como
🔄
83'
M. Baturina ↔ S. Roberto
Como
🔄
85'
F. Bonazzoli ↔ S. Lottici Tessadri
Cremonese

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cremonese Win 20.3%
Draw 4.2%
Como Win 75.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese0.81
Como1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cremonese Cremonese
WWDLW
31 GF / 53 GA
Como Como
WLDWL
73 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
15
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
20
3.26
Shots on Goal
5.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cremonese Cremonese 38 matches
Como Como 43 matches
Cremonese Statistic Como
8 Wins 22
11 Draws 13
19 Losses 8
31 Goals For 73
53 Goals Against 34
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
15 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 31
16 Over 2.5 20
8 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 21
18 Failed To Score 10
3.26 Shots On Goal 5.23
9.11 Total Shots 14.21
3.55 Corners 4.65
47% Ball Possession 60.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Como's more proactive style and Cremonese's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Como. Como carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 68 points while Cremonese sit 18 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cremonese expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Como in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Como having the stronger overall control.

Cremonese Analysis

Cremonese approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 34 points from 37 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 31:53, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Bonazzoli (9 goals), Jamie Vardy (7 goals), Filippo Terracciano (4 goals), with creative support from J. Vandeputte (5 assists), A. Zerbin (3 assists), F. Bonazzoli (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Como Analysis

Como come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 68 points after 37 matches. The return of 19 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 61:28, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Douvikas (13 goals), Nico Paz (12 goals), M. Baturina (6 goals), with creative support from J. Rodriguez (8 assists), Nico Paz (6 assists), M. Caqueret (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cremonese won 5 times, Como won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Cremonese's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Cremonese 4-4-2 / Como 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Cremonese 6, Como 2
H2H summary: Cremonese wins 5, draws 2, Como wins 1
Stats
Cremonese Cremonese
Como Como
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
6
2 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 3
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 6
4 Shots insidebox 12
2 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
208 Total passes 510
143 Passes accurate 455
1.06 expected_goals 2.47
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 3 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cremonese
Formation
Como
E. Audero
E. Audero
F. Terracciano
F. Terracciano
M. Bianchetti
M. Bianchetti
S. Luperto
S. Luperto
A. Zerbin
A. Zerbin
M. Thorsby
M. Thorsby
A. Grassi
A. Grassi
Y. Maleh
Y. Maleh
G. Pezzella
G. Pezzella
F. Bonazzoli
F. Bonazzoli
J. Vardy
J. Vardy
J. Butez
J. Butez
I. Smolcic
I. Smolcic
J. Ramon
J. Ramon
M. O. Kempf
M. O. Kempf
A. Moreno
A. Moreno
L. Da Cunha
⚽ 2
L. Da Cunha
M. Perrone
M. Perrone
A. Diao
A. Diao
M. Baturina
M. Baturina
J. Rodriguez
🎯
J. Rodriguez
A. Douvikas
A. Douvikas
Cremonese 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
E. Audero
G
24
F. Terracciano
↓ 83'
D
15
M. Bianchetti
🟨 71'
D
5
S. Luperto
D
7
A. Zerbin
↓ 46'
M
2
M. Thorsby
↓ 46' 🟨 21'
M
33
A. Grassi
🟥 71'
M
29
Y. Maleh
↓ 16'
M
3
G. Pezzella
M
90
F. Bonazzoli
⚽ 55' ↓ 85'
F
10
J. Vardy
🟨 61'
F
Substitutes
16
M. Silvestri
G
69
L. Nava
G
9
M. Djuric
🟥 -5'
F
27
J. Vandeputte
↑ 16' 🟨 76'
M
77
D. Okereke
🟥 -5'
F
18
M. Collocolo
↑ 46'
M
55
F. Folino
D
21
S. Lottici Tessadri
↑ 85'
M
23
F. Ceccherini
D
4
T. Barbieri
↑ 83'
D
22
R. Floriani
↑ 46'
D
26
T. Vigilati
Como 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Butez
G
28
I. Smolcic
D
14
J. Ramon
D
2
M. O. Kempf
D
18
A. Moreno
↓ 76' 🟨 49'
D
33
L. Da Cunha
⚽ 74' ⚽ 81'
M
23
M. Perrone
M
38
A. Diao
↓ 83'
M
20
M. Baturina
↓ 83'
M
17
J. Rodriguez
⚽ 36' 🎯 51' ↓ 64' 🟨 20'
M
11
A. Douvikas
⚽ 51' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
22
M. Vigorito
G
21
N. Tornqvist
G
7
A. Morata
↑ 83'
F
34
Diego Carlos
D
31
M. Vojvoda
↑ 83'
D
8
S. Roberto
↑ 83'
M
5
E. Goldaniga
D
6
M. Caqueret
🎯 81' ↑ 64'
M
19
N. Kuhn
F
77
I. Van der Brempt
↑ 76'
D
10
N. Paz
M
15
A. Lahdo
M
58
S. Pisati
M
49
R. Cassano
M
Last matches: Cremonese
17.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Udinese
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Pisa
3
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lazio
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Napoli
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Torino
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Bologna
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Parma
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lecce
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
AC Milan
0
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
AS Roma
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Genoa
0
0
D
09.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Atalanta
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Inter
0
2
L
25.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Sassuolo
0
1
L
19.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
12.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Juventus
0
5
L
08.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
2
2
D
04.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
0
1
L
Last matches: Como
17.05.26
Ser
Como
Parma
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Como
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Como
Napoli
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Como
Genoa
2
0
W
21.04.26
Cop
Como
Inter
2
3
L
17.04.26
Ser
Como
Sassuolo
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Como
Inter
3
4
L
06.04.26
Ser
Como
Udinese
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Como
Pisa
5
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Como
AS Roma
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ser
Como
Cagliari
2
1
W
03.03.26
Cop
Como
Inter
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Como
Lecce
3
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Como
Juventus
2
0
W
18.02.26
Ser
Como
AC Milan
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ser
Como
Fiorentina
1
2
L
10.02.26
Cop
Como
Napoli
1
1
D
01.02.26
Ser
Como
Atalanta
0
0
D
27.01.26
Cop
Como
Fiorentina
3
1
W
24.01.26
Ser
Como
Torino
6
0
W
H2H: Cremonese vs Como
24.05.26
H2H
Cremonese
Como
1
4
L
27.09.25
H2H
Como
Cremonese
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
Cremonese
Como
2
1
W
08.10.23
H2H
Como
Cremonese
1
3
W
06.05.22
H2H
como
Cremonese
1
2
W
15.01.22
H2H
Cremonese
como
2
0
W
04.04.17
H2H
Cremonese
como
3
1
W
20.11.16
H2H
como
Cremonese
2
2
D
Last matches: Cremonese
10.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Pisa
3
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lazio
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Torino
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Bologna
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
1
4
L
01.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
AC Milan
0
2
L
15.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Genoa
0
0
D
01.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Inter
0
2
L
19.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
08.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
2
2
D
28.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Napoli
0
2
L
07.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Lecce
2
0
W
23.11.25
Ser
Cremonese
AS Roma
1
3
L
01.11.25
Ser
Cremonese
Juventus
1
2
L
25.10.25
Ser
Cremonese
Atalanta
1
1
D
20.10.25
Ser
Cremonese
Udinese
1
1
D
21.09.25
Ser
Cremonese
Parma
0
0
D
29.08.25
Ser
Cremonese
Sassuolo
3
2
W
16.08.25
Cop
Cremonese
Palermo
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cremonese
24.05.26
H2H
Cremonese
Como
1
4
L
09.03.24
H2H
Cremonese
Como
2
1
W
15.01.22
H2H
Cremonese
como
2
0
W
04.04.17
H2H
Cremonese
como
3
1
W
Last matches: Como
10.05.26
Ser
Como
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Como
Genoa
2
0
W
21.04.26
Cop
Como
Inter
2
3
L
17.04.26
Ser
Como
Sassuolo
1
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Como
Udinese
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ser
Como
Cagliari
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Como
Juventus
2
0
W
18.02.26
Ser
Como
AC Milan
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cop
Como
Napoli
1
1
D
27.01.26
Cop
Como
Fiorentina
3
1
W
19.01.26
Ser
Como
Lazio
3
0
W
06.01.26
Ser
Como
Pisa
3
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Como
Lecce
3
0
W
15.12.25
Ser
Como
AS Roma
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ser
Como
Inter
0
4
L
24.11.25
Ser
Como
Torino
5
1
W
01.11.25
Ser
Como
Napoli
0
0
D
25.10.25
Ser
Como
Parma
0
0
D
04.10.25
Ser
Como
Atalanta
1
1
D
21.09.25
Ser
Como
Fiorentina
2
1
W
H2H away: Como
24.05.26
H2H
Cremonese
Como
1
4
W
09.03.24
H2H
Cremonese
Como
2
1
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como Away
38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Cremonese 6 missing
-
F. Baschirotto
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
M. Faye
Missing Fixture Illness
OUT
-
W. Bondo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Payero
Missing Fixture Illness
OUT
-
F. Moumbagna
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Sanabria
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Como 2 missing
-
J. Addai
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
A. Valle
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT