BRAZIL SERIE B
27.09.2026 19:00

CRB vs Cuiaba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 61.4%
Draw 3.9%
Cuiaba Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.19
Cuiaba1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
42 GF / 41 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
27 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
16
BTTS Yes
11
17
Over 2.5
6
5.83
Shots on Goal
4.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 29 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 28 matches
CRB Statistic Cuiaba
13 Wins 9
6 Draws 13
10 Losses 6
42 Goals For 27
41 Goals Against 22
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
16 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 17
17 Over 2.5 6
9 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 11
5.83 Shots On Goal 4.04
18.07 Total Shots 12.86
5.03 Corners 5.04
52% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cuiaba. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Cuiaba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

CRB Analysis

So far, CRB have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 45 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 42:40 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mikael (13 goals), Crystopher (4 goals), Thiaguinho (3 goals), with creative support from Mikael (4 assists), Dadá Belmonte (4 assists), Crystopher (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba sit 12 with 40 points after 28 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 27:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kauan (2 goals), João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (3 assists), Kauan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 2 times, Cuiaba won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:17 from CRB's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-1-4-1 / Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: CRB wins 2, draws 3, Cuiaba wins 6

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7
CRB Home
29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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