TURKEY › 1. LIG
07.05.2026 17:00
Corum Stadyumu
Referee: O. Guldibi
Çorum FK
Match Timeline
Keçiörengücü
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
17'
Pedrinho
Çorum FK
⚽
20'
Fredy
Çorum FK
🔄
46'
B. Samudio ↔ M. Thiam
Çorum FK
🔄
51'
O. Roshi ↔ E. Rroca
Keçiörengücü
🔄
60'
A. Dere ↔ S. Lus
Keçiörengücü
🔄
64'
S. Gurler ↔ B. Coban
Çorum FK
🔄
64'
A. Ildiz ↔ F. Yazgan
Çorum FK
VAR
68'
Burak Çoban
Çorum FK
🟨
69'
Mame Thiam
Çorum FK
🔄
83'
I. Karaogul ↔ A. Akman
Keçiörengücü
🔄
83'
H. Ayan ↔ E. Yilmaz
Keçiörengücü
🟨
85'
Ibrahim Šehić
Çorum FK
🔄
90+5'
Y. Erdogan ↔ K. Kalafat
Çorum FK
🔄
90+2'
Pedrinho ↔ J. Attamah
Çorum FK

Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Çorum FK Win 54.3%
Draw 12.1%
Keçiörengücü Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Çorum FK1.45
Keçiörengücü1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Çorum FK Çorum FK
WWDLW
63 GF / 39 GA
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
WLDWL
73 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
22
BTTS Yes
24
19
Over 2.5
23
5.13
Shots on Goal
4.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Çorum FK Çorum FK 38 matches
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 38 matches
Çorum FK Statistic Keçiörengücü
21 Wins 16
8 Draws 12
9 Losses 10
63 Goals For 73
39 Goals Against 43
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
22 BTTS Yes 24
30 Over 1.5 28
19 Over 2.5 23
13 Over 3.5 15
11 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 7
5.13 Shots On Goal 4.97
13.47 Total Shots 13.34
6.61 Corners 4.24
59.6% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Çorum FK hold an advantage after winning the first leg 1-0, so Keçiörengücü now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Çorum FK had more of the ball in the first leg (64% possession compared to 36%). Çorum FK were also more accurate in attack, recording 4 shots on target to 3. Çorum FK also attempted more passes (470 to 261) and completed 406. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Çorum FK expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Keçiörengücü in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Keçiörengücü having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Keçiörengücü.

Çorum FK Analysis

Çorum FK enter this tie with a season profile built on 71 points from 38 matches, placing them 4 in their league. Their record of 21 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats with goals at 63:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on B. Coban (12 goals), E. Eze (10 goals), Braian Samudio (9 goals), with creative support from Yusuf Erdoğan (10 assists), Braian Samudio (5 assists), B. Coban (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Keçiörengücü Analysis

Keçiörengücü come into this tie placed 7 in their league with 60 points from 38 matches. The return of 16 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 73:43 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by M. Diouf (17 goals), J. Fernandes (13 goals), F. Ezeh (11 goals), with creative support from I. Akdag (9 assists), F. Ezeh (7 assists), Odise Roshi (7 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Çorum FK won 7 times, Keçiörengücü won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Çorum FK's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Çorum FK 4-1-4-1 / Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Çorum FK wins 7, draws 1, Keçiörengücü wins 1

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
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