Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
57.8%
|
- |
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Coritiba
11 matches
Atletico-MG
11 matches
| Coritiba | Statistic | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 5 |
| 13 | Goals For | 14 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.18 | Shots On Goal | 4.09 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 13.09 |
| 3.36 | Corners | 5.09 |
| 39.6% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Coritiba appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Atletico-MG. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coritiba expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico-MG in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico-MG having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico-MG.
From their first 11 matches, Coritiba have collected 16 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:12 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Breno Lopes (4 goals), J. Lavega (3 goals), Pedro Rocha (2 goals), with creative support from Josué (4 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Breno Lopes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Pedro Morisco, Rodrigo Rodrigues, Keno, Wallisson unavailable.
From their first 11 matches, Atletico-MG have collected 14 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 14:13 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Victor Hugo (3 goals), Cuello (2 goals), Dudu (2 goals), with creative support from Hulk (3 assists), Victor Hugo (1 assists), Cuello (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Minda, Patrick Silva, Indio unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 4 times, Atletico-MG won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:22 from Coritiba's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Coritiba
2
7
0
9
0
7
Lineups
Coritiba
Flamengo
Coritiba
Bahia
Coritiba
Santos
Coritiba
Internacional
Coritiba
Vitoria
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Remo
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Remo
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Coritiba
Bahia
Coritiba
Internacional
Coritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Remo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 |
Coritiba
Home
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 |
Atletico-MG
Away
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
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|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
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| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
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