Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
64.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Corinthians
18 matches
Sao Paulo
14 matches
| Corinthians | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 3 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 17 | Goals For | 19 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.93 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.93 |
| 10.61 | Total Shots | 12.07 |
| 4.72 | Corners | 6.79 |
| 55.1% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sao Paulo's more proactive style and Corinthians's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sao Paulo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 24 points while Corinthians sit 17 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sao Paulo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Corinthians sit 17 with 15 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 10:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Matheus Bidu (2 goals), Andre (1 goals), Breno Bidon (1 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (4 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), Kaio César (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sao Paulo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 24 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 19:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jonathan Calleri (6 goals), Ferreira (4 goals), Luciano (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), Marcos Antonio (2 assists), Jonathan Calleri (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 4 times, Sao Paulo won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:25 from Corinthians's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Corinthians
6
4
5
0
4
3
Lineups
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Rosario Central
Corinthians
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Bahia
Corinthians
Remo
Corinthians
Cascavel
Corinthians
Gremio
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Botafogo
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Mirassol
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vitoria
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Platense
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Santos
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Remo
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Internacional
Corinthians
Flamengo
Corinthians
Coritiba
Corinthians
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Santos
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Corinthians
Home
|
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|