Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Corinthians
21 matches
Atletico-MG
16 matches
| Corinthians | Statistic | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 22 | Goals For | 21 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.57 | Shots On Goal | 4.69 |
| 11.71 | Total Shots | 13.94 |
| 4.71 | Corners | 5.25 |
| 55.8% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico-MG. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Corinthians expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico-MG in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico-MG having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Corinthians sit 17 with 18 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 14:18, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Breno Bidon (2 goals), Matheus Bidu (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (6 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), André Carrillo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atletico-MG are currently 10 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, while the 21:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Victor Hugo (3 goals), A. Minda (2 goals), Cuello (2 goals), with creative support from Hulk (3 assists), R. Lodi (2 assists), Victor Hugo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 5 times, Atletico-MG won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Corinthians's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Corinthians
4
2
4
4
2
5
Lineups
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Bahia
Corinthians
Remo
Corinthians
Cascavel
Corinthians
Gremio
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Botafogo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Mirassol
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vitoria
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Internacional
Corinthians
Fluminense
Corinthians
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Remo
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Remo
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Internacional
Corinthians
Flamengo
Corinthians
Coritiba
Corinthians
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
Bahia
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 |
Corinthians
Home
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
Away
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
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