Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
67.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
79%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Concepción
Huachipato
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Concepción
13 matches
Huachipato
15 matches
| Concepción | Statistic | Huachipato |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 9 | Goals For | 22 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 0.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.83 | Shots On Goal | 5.14 |
| 11.83 | Total Shots | 12.93 |
| 4.58 | Corners | 3.64 |
| 48.4% | Ball Possession | 49% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Huachipato's more proactive style and Concepción's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Huachipato. Huachipato look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Huachipato carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 22 points while Concepción sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Concepción expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Huachipato in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Huachipato having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Concepción sit 16 with 8 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 8:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Larrivey (3 goals), C. Waterman (2 goals), I. S. Mesias Gonzalez (2 goals), with creative support from J. Larrivey (1 assists), C. Waterman (1 assists), A. Diaz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Huachipato come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 22 points after 12 matches. With 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:15, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Altamirano (5 goals), C. Martinez (3 goals), M. Gutierrez (3 goals), with creative support from M. Rodriguez (3 assists), N. Vargas (2 assists), Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Concepción won 3 times, Huachipato won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:9 from Concepción's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 52 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 28:17 | 11 | 36 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 33 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 |
Concepción
Home
|
21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 32:34 | -2 | 27 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Huachipato
Away
|
20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 22 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:34 | -18 | 22 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 21 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17:38 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
L
L
L
|