PERU › PRIMERA DIVISIóN

25.04.2026 20:30

Comerciantes Unidos

1 - 0

Sporting Cristal

Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra

Referee: Jordi Espinoza, Peru

Comerciantes Unidos

Match Timeline

Sporting Cristal

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 95.3%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 80%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 71.5%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	95.3%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	80%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71.5%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Comerciantes Unidos Win 51.5%

Draw 4.8%

Sporting Cristal Win 43.7%

Expected Goals (xG)

Comerciantes Unidos1.36

Sporting Cristal1.49

Recent Form (Last 5)

Comerciantes Unidos

WWDLW

17 GF / 17 GA

Sporting Cristal

WLDWL

29 GF / 26 GA

Key Stats

1.31

Average Goals Scored

1.61

1.31

Average Goals Conceded

1.44

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.82

Shots on Goal

4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Comerciantes Unidos 13 matches

Sporting Cristal 18 matches

Comerciantes Unidos	Statistic	Sporting Cristal
4	Wins	7
5	Draws	4
4	Losses	7
17	Goals For	29
17	Goals Against	26
1.31	Avg Goals Scored	1.61
1.31	Avg Goals Conceded	1.44
9	BTTS Yes	13
9	Over 1.5	15
6	Over 2.5	13
4	Over 3.5	7
3	Clean Sheets	5
2	Failed To Score	1
3.82	Shots On Goal	4.53
11.18	Total Shots	13.82
3.45	Corners	5.18
42.9%	Ball Possession	59.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 3 times, Sporting Cristal won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:25 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)

Predicted formations: Comerciantes Unidos 5-3-2 / Sporting Cristal 4-3-3

H2H summary: Comerciantes Unidos wins 3, draws 3, Sporting Cristal wins 7

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Alianza Lima	24	15	7	2	40:15	25	52	L D W D W
2	Universitario	24	13	6	5	39:24	15	45	W W W D L
3	Deportivo Garcilaso	24	12	6	6	31:21	10	42	W W D W W
4	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	24	12	5	7	34:37	-3	41	L L L D W
5	FBC Melgar	24	11	6	7	40:28	12	39	L D W L D
6	Cusco	24	12	3	9	36:36	0	39	W L W L W
7	Cienciano	24	11	4	9	39:35	4	37	L L D L W
8	Alianza Atletico	24	9	7	8	34:29	5	34	W W D W L
9	Sport Boys	24	9	7	8	26:23	3	34	W W D D W
10	Sporting Cristal Away	24	8	5	11	38:38	0	29	L L W D W
11	Comerciantes Unidos Home	24	7	8	9	32:33	-1	29	L W L W L
12	Atletico Grau	24	8	5	11	20:23	-3	29	W W W D L
13	Juan Pablo II College	24	7	6	11	35:50	-15	27	W W L D L
14	Sport Huancayo	24	7	5	12	31:41	-10	26	W L L D W
15	UCV Moquegua	24	6	7	11	23:33	-10	25	L W D L D
16	FC Cajamarca	24	6	6	12	36:44	-8	24	W L L W L
17	ADT	24	5	7	12	27:36	-9	22	L L D D L
18	UTC Cajamarca	24	4	8	12	27:42	-15	15	L L L D L

Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)

Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)

Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)

Relegation - Liga 2