Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
67.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Comerciantes Unidos
17 matches
Deportivo Garcilaso
15 matches
| Comerciantes Unidos | Statistic | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 19 | Goals For | 17 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.73 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 11.53 | Total Shots | 12.2 |
| 3.67 | Corners | 3.67 |
| 42% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Garcilaso. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Comerciantes Unidos expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Deportivo Garcilaso in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Garcilaso having the stronger overall control. Deportivo Garcilaso look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
So far, Comerciantes Unidos have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 20 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Matias Sen (5 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), Maximiliano Perez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), J. Herrera (2 assists), A. Cossio (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Deportivo Garcilaso are currently 6 in the standings with 22 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 17:17 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Da Silva (5 goals), C. Olivares (4 goals), F. Arancibia (3 goals), with creative support from B. Da Silva (3 assists), Kevin Sandoval (2 assists), C. Olivares (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 times, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Comerciantes Unidos
9
1
14
3
4
3
Lineups
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 32:9 | 23 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 33 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 32 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 |
Deportivo Garcilaso
Away
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:23 | 1 | 24 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 22 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Home
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
| 11 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 20 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 24:42 | -18 | 17 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 13 |
L
D
D
L
L
|