PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Referee: P. Lopez
Comerciantes Unidos
Match Timeline
Deportivo Garcilaso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Erick Canales
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
59'
Alexis Cossio
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
59'
A. Gonzalez ↔ F. Arancibia
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
70'
A. Rodriguez ↔ M. P. Carpio Ferro
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
73'
B. Da Silva ↔ A. Ascues
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
77'
Horacio Benincasa
Deportivo Garcilaso
VAR
80'
Horacio Benincasa
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
81'
J. Herrera ↔ T. Salinas
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
90+6'
Orlando Nuñez
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
90+1'
F. Alcedo ↔ E. M. Perez Azambuya
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
90'
J. Sinisterra ↔ O. Nunez
Deportivo Garcilaso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Comerciantes Unidos Win 58.3%
Draw 6.5%
Deportivo Garcilaso Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Comerciantes Unidos1.12
Deportivo Garcilaso1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso
WLDWL
17 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
10
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
5
3.73
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 matches
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 15 matches
Comerciantes Unidos Statistic Deportivo Garcilaso
5 Wins 6
6 Draws 4
6 Losses 5
19 Goals For 17
21 Goals Against 17
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
10 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
3.73 Shots On Goal 4.2
11.53 Total Shots 12.2
3.67 Corners 3.67
42% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Garcilaso. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Comerciantes Unidos expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Deportivo Garcilaso in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Garcilaso having the stronger overall control. Deportivo Garcilaso look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Comerciantes Unidos Analysis

So far, Comerciantes Unidos have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 20 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Matias Sen (5 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), Maximiliano Perez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), J. Herrera (2 assists), A. Cossio (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Garcilaso Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso are currently 6 in the standings with 22 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 17:17 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Da Silva (5 goals), C. Olivares (4 goals), F. Arancibia (3 goals), with creative support from B. Da Silva (3 assists), Kevin Sandoval (2 assists), C. Olivares (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 times, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Comerciantes Unidos 5-4-1 / Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Comerciantes Unidos wins 2, draws 2, Deportivo Garcilaso wins 1
Stats
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
14
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
64% Ball Possession 36%
27 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Goal 1
14 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 3
16 Shots insidebox 2
11 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 9
398 Total passes 226
313 Passes accurate 141
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Comerciantes Unidos
Formation
Deportivo Garcilaso
M. Cordova
M. Cordova
F. Rojas
F. Rojas
F. Alcedo
F. Alcedo
P. Guzman
P. Guzman
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
A. Cossio
A. Cossio
J. Herrera
J. Herrera
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
A. Arias
A. Arias
R. Vilca
R. Vilca
M. Sen
M. Sen
P. Zubczuk
P. Zubczuk
E. Canales
E. Canales
A. Salazar
A. Salazar
A. Gomez
A. Gomez
H. Benincasa
H. Benincasa
J. Sinisterra
J. Sinisterra
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
C. Torrejon
C. Torrejon
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
C. Olivares
C. Olivares
B. Da Silva
B. Da Silva
Comerciantes Unidos 5-4-1
Starting XI
17
M. Cordova
G
16
F. Rojas
D
40
F. Alcedo
↓ 90+1'
D
30
P. Guzman
D
6
J. Rodriguez
D
15
A. Cossio
🟨 59'
D
11
J. Herrera
↓ 81'
18
A. Rodriguez
↓ 70'
M
4
A. Arias
M
25
R. Vilca
M
9
M. Sen
F
Substitutes
99
J. Charun
13
E. M. Perez Azambuya
↑ 90+1'
F
3
C. Vasquez
D
28
O. Pinto
M
10
M. P. Carpio Ferro
↑ 70'
M
29
C. Saavedra
M
20
J. Parodi
M
19
D. Lino
D
14
T. Salinas
↑ 81'
M
Deportivo Garcilaso 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
P. Zubczuk
G
55
E. Canales
🟨 41'
D
2
A. Salazar
D
19
A. Gomez
D
13
H. Benincasa
🟨 77'
D
7
J. Sinisterra
↓ 90'
M
18
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
M
14
C. Torrejon
M
8
A. Gonzalez
↓ 59'
M
24
C. Olivares
F
30
B. Da Silva
↓ 73'
Substitutes
31
J. Barbieri
G
11
F. Arancibia
↑ 59'
F
6
I. A. Garrafa Tapia
M
22
J. Portales
D
33
S. Villacorta
D
35
J. Mendoza
M
16
O. Nunez
↑ 90' 🟨 90+6'
D
27
A. Ascues
↑ 73'
M
17
S. Ramirez
F
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
18.07.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
4
3
W
07.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
1
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
Last matches: Deportivo Garcilaso
17.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
4
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
2
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
1
0
W
23.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
3
2
W
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
08.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
2
3
L
23.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
H2H: Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso
25.05.26
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
27.07.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
16.02.25
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
L
25.08.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
W
28.03.24
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
1
2
W
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
10.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
02.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
H2H at home: Comerciantes Unidos
25.05.26
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
27.07.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
25.08.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
W
Last matches: Deportivo Garcilaso
17.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
0
W
23.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
08.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
0
1
L
23.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
H2H away: Deportivo Garcilaso
25.05.26
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
27.07.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
25.08.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
L

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 32:9 23 43
W D W W D
2 19 11 4 4 27:24 3 37
L W D L W
3 18 10 3 5 35:25 10 33
L W D L W
4 18 9 5 4 26:16 10 32
W W D L D
5 18 9 4 5 32:21 11 31
W W D W D
6 18 9 3 6 25:25 0 30
W W W L D
7 18 7 5 6 21:19 2 26
L W D W W
8 19 6 6 7 24:23 1 24
W L L D W
9 18 6 4 8 29:30 -1 22
W L W L D
10 18 5 7 6 20:22 -2 22
D L D L D
11 18 5 5 8 23:23 0 20
L L L W D
12 18 5 5 8 15:20 -5 20
L W D W D
13 18 5 4 9 15:19 -4 19
W W L W L
14 18 5 4 9 19:26 -7 19
D L D L D
15 18 4 6 8 25:30 -5 18
D D D W W
16 18 4 5 9 24:42 -18 17
D L D L L
17 18 4 4 10 22:33 -11 16
L L D L W
18 18 4 6 8 22:29 -7 13
L D D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)