PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Referee: A. Menendez
Comerciantes Unidos
Match Timeline
Alianza Lima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
F. Girotti
Alianza Lima
16'
E. Castillo · Assist: R. Garces
Alianza Lima
🟨
38'
G. Chavez
Alianza Lima
🟨
40'
F. Gaibor
Alianza Lima
45+2'
M. Sen · Assist: M. P. Carpio Ferro
Comerciantes Unidos
50'
J. Herrera · Assist: R. Vilca
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
59'
G. Chavez ↔ A. Cantero
Alianza Lima
🟨
60'
R. Garces
Alianza Lima
🔄
66'
M. P. Carpio Ferro ↔ O. Pinto
Comerciantes Unidos
66'
E. Castillo
Alianza Lima
🔄
79'
J. Velez ↔ C. Neira
Alianza Lima
🔄
79'
J. Herrera ↔ W. Ayovi
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
79'
J. Parodi ↔ A. Rodriguez
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
90'
A. Arias ↔ J. Olivares
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
90+4'
F. Girotti ↔ G. Motta
Alianza Lima
🟨
90+8'
W. Ayovi
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
90+8'
F. Rojas
Comerciantes Unidos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.99
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.7%
1.99
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
2.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.4%
1.48
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Comerciantes Unidos Win 32.3%
Draw 15.1%
Alianza Lima Win 52.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Comerciantes Unidos0.87
Alianza Lima1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
WWDLW
21 GF / 24 GA
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
WLDWL
36 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.59
11
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
8
4.17
Shots on Goal
5.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 20 matches
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 22 matches
Comerciantes Unidos Statistic Alianza Lima
5 Wins 14
8 Draws 5
7 Losses 3
21 Goals For 36
24 Goals Against 13
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.59
11 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 4
4.17 Shots On Goal 5.15
12.89 Total Shots 14.3
3.72 Corners 4
44.7% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Alianza Lima's more proactive style and Comerciantes Unidos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alianza Lima. Comerciantes Unidos have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Alianza Lima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Comerciantes Unidos sit 9 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Comerciantes Unidos expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Alianza Lima in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Lima having the stronger overall control.

Comerciantes Unidos Analysis

Comerciantes Unidos sit 9 with 21 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a 18:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Matías Sen (2 goals), Josuee Herrera (1 goals), Juan Rodríguez (1 goals), with creative support from Josuee Herrera (2 assists), Juan Rodríguez (1 assists), Thiago Salinas (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Alianza Lima Analysis

Alianza Lima come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 40 points after 17 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 30:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Eryc Castillo (7 goals), Jairo Vélez (2 goals), Fernando Gaibor (2 goals), with creative support from Eryc Castillo (3 assists), Jairo Vélez (2 assists), Esteban Pavez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 times, Alianza Lima won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:31 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Comerciantes Unidos 5-4-1 / Alianza Lima 5-3-2
H2H summary: Comerciantes Unidos wins 2, draws 4, Alianza Lima wins 9
Stats
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
1 Corner Kicks 2
14 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 0
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 8
1 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
479 Total passes 265
417 Passes accurate 199
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Comerciantes Unidos
Formation
Alianza Lima
Matías Córdova
Matías Córdova
Fabio Rojas
Fabio Rojas
Piero Guzmán
Piero Guzmán
Juan Rodríguez
Juan Rodríguez
Alexis Cossio
Alexis Cossio
José Parodi
José Parodi
Alexis Arias
Alexis Arias
Josuee Herrera
Josuee Herrera
Mathías Carpio
🎯
Mathías Carpio
Rodrigo Vilca
🎯
Rodrigo Vilca
Matías Sen
Matías Sen
Alejandro Duarte
Alejandro Duarte
Luis Advíncula
Luis Advíncula
Gianfranco Chávez
Gianfranco Chávez
Renzo Garcés
🎯
Renzo Garcés
Mateo Antoni
Mateo Antoni
Marco Huamán
Marco Huamán
Fernando Gaibor
Fernando Gaibor
Esteban Pavez
Esteban Pavez
Jairo Vélez
Jairo Vélez
Federico Girotti
Federico Girotti
Eryc Castillo
⚽ 2
Eryc Castillo
Comerciantes Unidos 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
17
Matías Córdova
G
16
Fabio Rojas
🟨 90+8'
D
30
Piero Guzmán
D
6
Juan Rodríguez
D
15
Alexis Cossio
D
20
José Parodi
↓ 79'
M
4
Alexis Arias
↓ 90'
M
11
Josuee Herrera
M
10
Mathías Carpio
🎯 45+2' ↓ 66'
M
25
Rodrigo Vilca
🎯 50'
M
9
Matías Sen
⚽ 45+2'
F
Substitutes
99
José Charún
G
40
Flavio Alcedo
D
19
Daniel Lino
D
18
Agustín Rodriguez
↑ 79'
M
14
Thiago Salinas
M
28
Óscar Pinto
↑ 66'
M
8
Wilter Ayoví
↑ 79' 🟨 90+8'
F
50
Jean Carlo Olivares
F
13
Maximiliano Pérez
F
Alianza Lima 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
Alejandro Duarte
G
17
Luis Advíncula
D
4
Gianfranco Chávez
↓ 59' 🟨 38'
D
6
Renzo Garcés
🎯 16' 🟨 60'
D
3
Mateo Antoni
D
13
Marco Huamán
D
7
Fernando Gaibor
🟨 40'
M
5
Esteban Pavez
M
20
Jairo Vélez
↓ 79'
M
99
Federico Girotti
↓ 90+4' 🟨 6'
F
8
Eryc Castillo
⚽ 16' ⚽ 66'
F
Substitutes
12
Ángel de la Cruz
G
32
Jonathan García
D
2
Nicolás Díaz
D
22
Christian Neira
↑ 79'
M
29
Jean Pierre Archimbaud
M
15
Jesús Castillo
M
30
Geray Motta
↑ 90+4'
F
25
Gaspar Gentile
F
11
Alan Cantero
↑ 59'
F
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
18.07.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
0
1
L
25.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
4
3
W
07.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
1
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
Last matches: Alianza Lima
20.07.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
12.07.26
Fri
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Cusco
8
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
ADT
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Universitario
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
12.02.26
CON
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
W
05.02.26
CON
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
H2H: Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima
26.07.26
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
2
2
D
08.02.26
H2H
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
L
22.09.25
H2H
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
4
0
L
19.06.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
03.08.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
3
L
25.02.24
H2H
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
5
1
L
04.10.18
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
0
W
22.07.18
H2H
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
5
1
L
13.03.18
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
3
0
W
04.02.18
H2H
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
03.12.17
H2H
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
L
13.08.17
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
0
0
D
30.04.17
H2H
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
0
0
D
22.02.17
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
0
2
L
25.11.16
H2H
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
4
0
L
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
25.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
02.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
H2H at home: Comerciantes Unidos
26.07.26
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
2
2
D
19.06.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
03.08.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
3
L
04.10.18
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
0
W
13.03.18
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
3
0
W
13.08.17
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
0
0
D
22.02.17
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
0
2
L
Last matches: Alianza Lima
31.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
ADT
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Universitario
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
05.02.26
CON
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
H2H away: Alianza Lima
26.07.26
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
2
2
D
19.06.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
0
1
W
03.08.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
3
W
04.10.18
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
0
L
13.03.18
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
3
0
L
13.08.17
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
0
0
D
22.02.17
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.99
Draw 3.04
Home 4.07
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.58
Draw 1.96
Home 4.51
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 1.47
Over 1.75 1.62
Over 2.0 1.87
Over 2.25 2.19
Over 2.5 2.49
Over 2.75 2.97
Over 3.0 3.12
Under 1.25 3.29
Under 1.5 2.57
Under 1.75 2.26
Under 2.0 1.93
Under 2.25 1.66
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 2.75 1.36
Under 3.0 1.31
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 3.25
Home 3.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.00
Home 4.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.25
Home 4.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.40
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.99
Draw 3.04
Home 4.16
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.68
Draw 1.87
Home 5.21
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.33
Draw 2.22
Home 4.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.08
Over 1.0 1.11
Over 1.25 1.29
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 1.75 1.59
Over 2.0 1.80
Over 2.25 2.15
Over 2.5 2.45
Over 2.75 2.87
Over 3.0 3.72
Over 3.25 4.11
Over 3.5 4.40
Over 3.75 5.60
Over 4.0 8.00
Over 4.25 6.95
Over 4.5 8.70
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 0.75 5.45
Under 1.0 4.90
Under 1.25 3.10
Under 1.5 2.43
Under 1.75 2.18
Under 2.0 1.85
Under 2.25 1.67
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 2.75 1.36
Under 3.0 1.21
Under 3.25 1.17
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 3.75 1.08
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.25 1.04
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.04
Draw 3.05
Home 3.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 1.98
Home 4.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.25
Home 4.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.09
Over 1.0 1.13
Over 1.25 1.29
Over 1.5 1.45
Over 1.75 1.57
Over 2.0 1.79
Over 2.25 2.08
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 2.75 2.85
Over 3.0 3.70
Over 3.25 4.00
Over 3.5 4.35
Under 0.5 5.80
Under 1.0 4.90
Under 1.25 3.20
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 1.75 2.20
Under 2.0 1.89
Under 2.25 1.64
Under 2.5 1.49
Under 2.75 1.36
Under 3.0 1.22
Under 3.25 1.19
Under 3.5 1.16

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W D W W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
L W D L W
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
L L W D L
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W W W D L
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W W W D W
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
L W W W L
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W L W D W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
W L L D W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
D D L D L
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L L L W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W L W D W
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L W L
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D L D D L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
D D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
L D D D W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
L W W L W
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
W L L D L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
W D L D L
Play-offs