Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.7%
|
1.99 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
41.9%
|
2.49 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
67.4%
|
1.48 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.50 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Comerciantes Unidos
20 matches
Alianza Lima
22 matches
| Comerciantes Unidos | Statistic | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 14 |
| 8 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 21 | Goals For | 36 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.59 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 5.15 |
| 12.89 | Total Shots | 14.3 |
| 3.72 | Corners | 4 |
| 44.7% | Ball Possession | 53.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Alianza Lima's more proactive style and Comerciantes Unidos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alianza Lima. Comerciantes Unidos have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Alianza Lima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Comerciantes Unidos sit 9 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Comerciantes Unidos expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Alianza Lima in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Lima having the stronger overall control.
Comerciantes Unidos sit 9 with 21 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a 18:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Matías Sen (2 goals), Josuee Herrera (1 goals), Juan Rodríguez (1 goals), with creative support from Josuee Herrera (2 assists), Juan Rodríguez (1 assists), Thiago Salinas (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Alianza Lima come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 40 points after 17 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 30:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Eryc Castillo (7 goals), Jairo Vélez (2 goals), Fernando Gaibor (2 goals), with creative support from Eryc Castillo (3 assists), Jairo Vélez (2 assists), Esteban Pavez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 times, Alianza Lima won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:31 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Comerciantes Unidos
6
6
8
8
1
3
Lineups
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Cali
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
Cusco
Alianza Lima
ADT
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
ADT
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
Away
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Home
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
W
D
L
D
L
|