🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
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ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.74
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.8%
1.74
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.61
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.6%
1.30
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.75
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 71.8%
Draw 13.5%
CF Montreal Win 14.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.65
CF Montreal1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WWDLW
32 GF / 34 GA
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WLDWL
35 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
16
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
16
3.74
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 22 matches
CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic CF Montreal
6 Wins 6
6 Draws 5
10 Losses 13
32 Goals For 35
34 Goals Against 47
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
16 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 8
3.74 Shots On Goal 4.42
10.37 Total Shots 12.37
4.63 Corners 4.95
51.2% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CF Montreal. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and CF Montreal in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CF Montreal having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Columbus Crew Analysis

Columbus Crew are currently 11 in the standings with 20 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 26:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Dániel Gazdag (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), Mohamed Farsi (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

CF Montreal Analysis

CF Montreal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 16 points from 18 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 24:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Prince Owusu (5 goals), Matthew Longstaff (2 goals), Daniel Rios (2 goals), with creative support from Prince Owusu (5 assists), Matthew Longstaff (3 assists), Victor Loturi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 7 times, CF Montreal won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 3-4-2-1 / CF Montreal 4-3-3
Missing players: Columbus Crew 3, CF Montreal 5
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 7, draws 4, CF Montreal wins 4
Last matches: Columbus Crew
15.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1
3
L
01.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
1
W
22.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Burnley
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
01.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
2
2
D
22.02.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
2
3
L
Last matches: CF Montreal
15.08.26
Maj
CF Montreal
DC United
1
1
D
01.08.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
0
1
L
23.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
0
1
L
16.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
0
0
D
23.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
DC United
4
4
D
16.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
09.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York City FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
4
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
14.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
28.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
San Diego
0
5
L
14.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0
2
L
H2H: Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal
14.05.25
H2H
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
W
15.05.24
H2H
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
1
3
W
27.04.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
0
0
D
22.10.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
W
02.09.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
2
4
W
09.09.22
H2H
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
03.08.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
L
25.09.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
W
01.05.21
H2H
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
07.10.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
L
20.07.19
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
W
13.04.19
H2H
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
1
0
L
06.10.18
H2H
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
3
0
L
10.03.18
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
3
2
W
Last matches: Columbus Crew
25.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
1
W
22.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Burnley
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
H2H at home: Columbus Crew
05.04.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
W
27.04.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
0
0
D
22.10.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
W
03.08.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
L
25.09.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
W
07.10.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
L
20.07.19
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
W
10.03.18
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
3
2
W
Last matches: CF Montreal
23.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
0
1
L
23.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
DC United
4
4
D
02.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
14.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
28.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
San Diego
0
5
L
14.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
1
W
29.01.26
Fri
CF Montreal
FC Kharkiv
2
3
L
23.01.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Slovan Liberec
2
3
L
H2H away: CF Montreal
05.04.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
L
27.04.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
0
0
D
22.10.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
L
03.08.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
W
25.09.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
L
07.10.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
W
20.07.19
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
2
1
L
10.03.18
H2H
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
3
2
L
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.51
Draw 4.17
Home 1.74
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.73
Draw 2.63
Home 2.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.25 1.47
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 1.75
Over 3.0 1.98
Over 3.25 2.24
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.46
Under 1.5 5.02
Under 2.25 2.72
Under 2.5 2.41
Under 2.75 2.16
Under 3.0 1.91
Under 3.25 1.70
Under 3.5 1.57
Under 4.5 1.22
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.90
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.50
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.75
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.38
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.35
Under 3.5 1.53
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 4.00
Home 1.66
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.35
Draw 2.35
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.88
Home 1.98
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.25 1.40
Over 2.5 1.60
Over 2.75 1.73
Over 3.0 1.95
Over 3.25 2.20
Over 3.5 2.48
Over 3.75 2.85
Over 4.0 3.30
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 8.50
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.70
Under 2.25 2.85
Under 2.5 2.30
Under 2.75 2.04
Under 3.0 1.80
Under 3.25 1.63
Under 3.5 1.52
Under 3.75 1.38
Under 4.0 1.30
Under 4.5 1.19
Under 5.5 1.05

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 4 2 39:15 24 43
W D L W W
2 19 11 5 3 46:36 10 38
L D W W W
3 18 10 2 6 34:24 10 32
W W L L W
4 19 9 3 7 29:25 4 30
L L D W D
5 19 8 4 7 32:28 4 28
W L W D W
6 19 7 6 6 46:45 1 27
D W L W W
7 19 7 5 7 33:27 6 26
L D W W L
8 19 7 4 8 30:41 -11 25
L W L L W
9 19 5 9 5 27:30 -3 24
D D W D D
10 19 6 3 10 31:48 -17 21
D L W W L
11 19 5 5 9 27:31 -4 20
L D W L W
12 19 4 8 7 26:33 -7 20
W D L D D
13 19 5 4 10 28:35 -7 19
W W W W L
14 19 4 5 10 25:36 -11 17
D D L L D
15 19 4 3 12 21:34 -13 15
W L L D L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Columbus Crew 3 missing
-
S. Bangoura
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
W. Abou Ali
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Thiare
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
CF Montreal 5 missing
-
E. Morales
Missing Fixture Toe Injury
OUT
-
A. Sanchez
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
B. Hidalgo
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
F. Amaya
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
W. Carmona
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT