URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colón Win 45.9%
Draw 21%
Paysandu Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colón1.23
Paysandu0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colón Colón
WWDLW
18 GF / 14 GA
Paysandu Paysandu
WLDWL
16 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
7
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colón Colón 16 matches
Paysandu Paysandu 16 matches
Colón Statistic Paysandu
6 Wins 4
6 Draws 2
4 Losses 10
18 Goals For 16
14 Goals Against 22
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Paysandu. Colón arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 12 points compared to Paysandu in 13 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paysandu having the stronger overall control. Paysandu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Colón Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Colón have collected 12 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu sit 13 with 7 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 11:15 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Colón won 1 times, Paysandu won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Colón's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79%)
H2H summary: Colón wins 1, draws 0, Paysandu wins 0
Last matches: Colón
11.07.26
Seg
Colón
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
05.07.26
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
2
1
W
13.06.26
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
1
D
07.06.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
2
0
W
30.05.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
1
3
L
24.05.26
Seg
Colón
Tacuarembo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Colón
La Luz
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
4
2
W
04.04.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
1
2
L
23.03.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
0
D
13.03.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
0
W
15.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
08.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
26.10.25
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
1
0
W
18.10.25
Seg
Colón
Artigas
0
2
L
Last matches: Paysandu
13.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Fenix
1
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
2
1
W
27.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
3
L
20.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
14.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
2
L
06.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
La Luz
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Cerrito
0
1
L
23.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Atenas
2
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
26.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
1
2
L
17.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
10.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
0
1
L
05.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Oriental
0
1
L
27.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
0
W
13.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Colón
0
2
L
H2H: Colón vs Paysandu
13.03.26
H2H
Paysandu
Colón
0
2
W
Last matches: Colón
05.07.26
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
2
1
W
13.06.26
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
1
D
30.05.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
1
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
12.04.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
4
2
W
04.04.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
1
2
L
15.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.10.25
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
1
0
W
04.10.25
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
0
D
21.09.25
Seg
Colón
Albion FC
2
1
W
07.09.25
Seg
Colón
Rampla Juniors
1
1
D
24.08.25
Seg
Colón
Central Espanol
0
0
D
15.08.25
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
4
0
W
26.07.25
Seg
Colón
Artigas
1
1
D
20.07.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
05.07.25
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
5
1
W
22.06.25
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
3
L
08.06.25
Seg
Colón
Atenas
0
1
L
Last matches: Paysandu
04.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
2
1
W
20.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
06.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
La Luz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Atenas
2
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
0
1
L
26.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
1
2
L
17.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
05.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Oriental
0
1
L

Standings

Segunda Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 7 6 3 23:21 2 27
W D W L L
2 16 7 4 5 19:13 6 25
L W L L W
3 16 6 7 3 23:18 5 25
D L D D W
4 15 6 6 3 27:18 9 24
W L D D W
5 16 6 6 4 18:14 4 24
W W D W D
6 16 7 2 7 23:22 1 23
L D W W W
7 16 6 5 5 17:18 -1 23
W L W W L
8 16 5 7 4 17:18 -1 22
L L L W W
9 16 6 3 7 23:29 -6 21
W W D L W
10 16 4 6 6 17:19 -2 18
L D W L W
11 16 4 5 7 17:20 -3 17
D L W L L
12 15 3 8 4 11:14 -3 17
L D W L L
13 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L W L W
14 15 3 2 10 15:22 -7 11
W L L L W
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)