URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Colón
Match Timeline
Paysandu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
T. Lerman
Colón
18'
L. Lopez
Paysandu
48'
L. Gomez
Paysandu
80'
V. Pesce
Paysandu
90+2'
R. Quintana
Colón

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.8%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colón Win 48.9%
Draw 19.9%
Paysandu Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colón1.23
Paysandu0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colón Colón
WWDLW
18 GF / 14 GA
Paysandu Paysandu
WLDWL
16 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
7
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colón Colón 16 matches
Paysandu Paysandu 16 matches
Colón Statistic Paysandu
6 Wins 4
6 Draws 2
4 Losses 10
18 Goals For 16
14 Goals Against 22
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Colón's more proactive style and Paysandu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paysandu having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Paysandu. Colón arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 15 points compared to Paysandu in 13 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Paysandu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Colón Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 15 points from 10 games, Colón bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Paysandu Analysis

With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 13, Paysandu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 12:15, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Colón won 1 times, Paysandu won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Colón's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
H2H summary: Colón wins 1, draws 0, Paysandu wins 1
Last matches: Colón
03.08.26
Seg
Colón
Atenas
1
4
L
11.07.26
Seg
Colón
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
05.07.26
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
2
1
W
13.06.26
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
1
D
07.06.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
2
0
W
30.05.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
1
3
L
24.05.26
Seg
Colón
Tacuarembo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Colón
La Luz
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
4
2
W
04.04.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
1
2
L
23.03.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
0
D
13.03.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
0
W
15.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
08.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
26.10.25
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
1
0
W
Last matches: Paysandu
03.08.26
Seg
Paysandu
Oriental
2
1
W
13.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Fenix
1
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
2
1
W
27.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
3
L
20.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
14.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
2
L
06.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
La Luz
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Cerrito
0
1
L
23.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Atenas
2
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
26.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
1
2
L
17.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
10.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
0
1
L
05.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Oriental
0
1
L
27.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
0
W
13.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Colón
0
2
L
H2H: Colón vs Paysandu
25.07.26
H2H
Colón
Paysandu
2
3
L
13.03.26
H2H
Paysandu
Colón
0
2
W
Last matches: Colón
05.07.26
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
2
1
W
13.06.26
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
1
D
30.05.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
1
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
12.04.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
4
2
W
04.04.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
1
2
L
15.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.10.25
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
1
0
W
04.10.25
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
0
D
21.09.25
Seg
Colón
Albion FC
2
1
W
07.09.25
Seg
Colón
Rampla Juniors
1
1
D
24.08.25
Seg
Colón
Central Espanol
0
0
D
15.08.25
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
4
0
W
26.07.25
Seg
Colón
Artigas
1
1
D
20.07.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
05.07.25
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
5
1
W
22.06.25
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
3
L
08.06.25
Seg
Colón
Atenas
0
1
L
H2H at home: Colón
25.07.26
H2H
Colón
Paysandu
2
3
L
Last matches: Paysandu
04.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
2
1
W
20.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
06.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
La Luz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Atenas
2
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
0
1
L
26.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
1
2
L
17.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
05.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Oriental
0
1
L
H2H away: Paysandu
25.07.26
H2H
Colón
Paysandu
2
3
W

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D