URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds 3.04
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds 2.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
3.04
BTTS Yes
66.8%
2.11
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
2.62
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Colón Win 68.3%
Draw 5.8%
La Luz Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colón1.1
La Luz0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colón Colón
WWDLW
22 GF / 21 GA
La Luz La Luz
WLDWL
16 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colón Colón 19 matches
La Luz La Luz 19 matches
Colón Statistic La Luz
7 Wins 5
6 Draws 9
6 Losses 5
22 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 19
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Colón's more proactive style and La Luz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors La Luz. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward La Luz having the stronger overall control.

Colón Analysis

Colón come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:5 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

La Luz Analysis

La Luz are currently 9 in the standings with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 5:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Colón won 4 times, La Luz won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:1 from Colón's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
H2H summary: Colón wins 4, draws 2, La Luz wins 0
Last matches: Colón
08.08.26
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
1
0
W
03.08.26
Seg
Colón
Atenas
1
4
L
25.07.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
3
L
11.07.26
Seg
Colón
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
05.07.26
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
2
1
W
13.06.26
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
1
D
07.06.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
2
0
W
30.05.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
1
3
L
24.05.26
Seg
Colón
Tacuarembo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Colón
La Luz
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
4
2
W
04.04.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
1
2
L
23.03.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
0
D
13.03.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
0
W
15.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
Last matches: La Luz
08.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
01.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Rentistas
2
5
L
26.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Miramar
1
0
W
13.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
28.06.26
Seg
La Luz
CA River Plate
0
0
D
21.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
2
0
W
14.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
0
4
L
06.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Paysandu
1
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
24.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
2
0
W
17.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
0
D
09.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Colón
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
0
0
D
11.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
2
1
W
28.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
22.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
17.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
26.10.25
Seg
La Luz
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
H2H: Colón vs La Luz
09.05.26
H2H
La Luz
Colón
0
0
D
10.08.25
H2H
La Luz
Colón
0
1
W
17.05.25
H2H
Colón
La Luz
1
0
W
13.04.25
H2H
Colón
La Luz
1
1
D
16.11.24
H2H
Colón
La Luz
5
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
La Luz
Colón
0
1
W
Last matches: Colón
08.08.26
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
1
0
W
25.07.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
3
L
05.07.26
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
2
1
W
13.06.26
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
1
D
30.05.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
1
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
12.04.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
4
2
W
04.04.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
1
2
L
15.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.10.25
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
1
0
W
04.10.25
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
0
D
21.09.25
Seg
Colón
Albion FC
2
1
W
07.09.25
Seg
Colón
Rampla Juniors
1
1
D
24.08.25
Seg
Colón
Central Espanol
0
0
D
15.08.25
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
4
0
W
26.07.25
Seg
Colón
Artigas
1
1
D
20.07.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
05.07.25
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
5
1
W
H2H at home: Colón
17.05.25
H2H
Colón
La Luz
1
0
W
13.04.25
H2H
Colón
La Luz
1
1
D
16.11.24
H2H
Colón
La Luz
5
0
W
Last matches: La Luz
08.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
26.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Miramar
1
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
28.06.26
Seg
La Luz
CA River Plate
0
0
D
14.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
0
4
L
31.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
0
0
D
22.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
17.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
26.10.25
Seg
La Luz
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
11.10.25
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
0
0
D
27.09.25
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
2
0
W
13.09.25
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
3
2
W
30.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
20.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Artigas
1
1
D
16.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
0
1
L
26.07.25
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
2
2
D
13.07.25
Seg
La Luz
Albion FC
0
3
L
28.06.25
Seg
La Luz
Rampla Juniors
0
4
L
H2H away: La Luz
17.05.25
H2H
Colón
La Luz
1
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Colón
La Luz
1
1
D
16.11.24
H2H
Colón
La Luz
5
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.26
Draw 2.88
Home 3.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.34
Over 1.5 1.52
Over 1.75 1.69
Over 2.0 2.00
Over 2.25 2.32
Over 2.5 2.62
Over 2.75 3.17
Under 1.25 2.90
Under 1.5 2.30
Under 1.75 2.03
Under 2.0 1.75
Under 2.25 1.53
Under 2.5 1.41
Under 2.75 1.29
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.88
Home 3.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 1.91
Home 4.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.44
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.31
Draw 2.88
Home 3.11
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.12
Draw 1.82
Home 4.17
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.11
Home 3.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 1.75 1.64
Over 2.0 1.90
Over 2.25 2.25
Over 2.5 2.58
Over 2.75 3.08
Over 3.0 4.25
Over 3.25 4.65
Over 3.5 5.05
Over 4.0 9.20
Over 4.5 12.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 0.5 6.10
Under 0.75 5.10
Under 1.0 4.80
Under 1.25 2.97
Under 1.5 2.30
Under 1.75 2.02
Under 2.0 1.73
Under 2.25 1.56
Under 2.5 1.43
Under 2.75 1.28
Under 3.0 1.15
Under 3.25 1.12
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 4.0 1.00
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.63
Draw 2.88
Home 2.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 1.96
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.35
Under 1.5 2.43
Under 2.5 1.47

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D