URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
16.08.2026 23:30
Colón
Match Timeline
La Luz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
R. Quintana
Colón
🟥
31'
A. Olivera
Colón
42'
F. Fernandez
Colón
83'
F. Sosa
La Luz

Colón vs La Luz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
-
BTTS Yes
66.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colón Win 68.3%
Draw 5.8%
La Luz Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colón1.1
La Luz0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colón Colón
WWDLW
22 GF / 21 GA
La Luz La Luz
WLDWL
16 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colón Colón 19 matches
La Luz La Luz 19 matches
Colón Statistic La Luz
7 Wins 5
6 Draws 9
6 Losses 5
22 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 19
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Colón's more proactive style and La Luz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors La Luz. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward La Luz having the stronger overall control.

Colón Analysis

Colón come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:5 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

La Luz Analysis

La Luz are currently 9 in the standings with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 5:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Colón won 5 times, La Luz won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:2 from Colón's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
H2H summary: Colón wins 5, draws 2, La Luz wins 0

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D