ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colon Santa Fe Win 75.6%
Draw 5.4%
Patronato Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colon Santa Fe1.11
Patronato0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
WWDLW
28 GF / 19 GA
Patronato Patronato
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 23 matches
Patronato Patronato 22 matches
Colon Santa Fe Statistic Patronato
9 Wins 4
9 Draws 11
5 Losses 7
28 Goals For 16
19 Goals Against 21
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
10 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colon Santa Fe's more proactive style and Patronato's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Patronato. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Colon Santa Fe arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 36 points compared to Patronato in 16 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patronato having the stronger overall control.

Colon Santa Fe Analysis

Placed 3 with 36 points from 23 outings, Colon Santa Fe continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, while the 28:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Patronato Analysis

Patronato sit 16 with 23 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats with a 16:21 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Colon Santa Fe won 4 times, Patronato won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:6 from Colon Santa Fe's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
H2H summary: Colon Santa Fe wins 4, draws 2, Patronato wins 4
Last matches: Colon Santa Fe
01.08.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Acassuso
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Chaco For Ever
0
1
L
17.07.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Central Norte
4
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Deportivo Madryn
2
1
W
20.06.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Chaco For Ever
0
1
L
13.06.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Defensores De Belgrano
3
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Almirante Brown
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
All Boys
3
2
W
02.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Los Andes
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Racing Cordoba
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
San Miguel
3
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
San Telmo
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Acassuso
1
0
W
Last matches: Patronato
01.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Quilmes
3
3
D
26.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Midland
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
05.07.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
21.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Midland
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
07.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Agropecuario
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Tristan Suarez
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Club Atlético Güemes
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Temperley
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Almagro
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colegiales
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Quilmes
0
3
L
03.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Atlanta
0
0
D
H2H: Colon Santa Fe vs Patronato
29.03.26
H2H
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
2
W
14.07.24
H2H
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
1
0
L
25.02.24
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
4
0
W
05.10.22
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
1
0
W
22.06.22
H2H
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
31.10.21
H2H
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
2
0
L
27.07.19
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
0
1
L
11.08.18
H2H
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
0
D
23.04.18
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
4
0
W
22.10.16
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
0
1
L
Last matches: Colon Santa Fe
26.07.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Chaco For Ever
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Central Norte
4
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
All Boys
3
2
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Racing Cordoba
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
San Miguel
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Acassuso
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Deportivo Madryn
2
1
W
H2H at home: Colon Santa Fe
25.02.24
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
4
0
W
05.10.22
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
1
0
W
27.07.19
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
0
1
L
23.04.18
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
4
0
W
22.10.16
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
0
1
L
Last matches: Patronato
26.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Midland
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Agropecuario
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Club Atlético Güemes
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Temperley
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Almagro
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Quilmes
0
3
L
03.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Atlanta
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
H2H away: Patronato
25.02.24
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
4
0
L
05.10.22
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
1
0
L
27.07.19
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
0
1
W
23.04.18
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
4
0
L
22.10.16
H2H
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
0
1
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 13 4 6 26:21 5 43
L L W W W
2 22 11 5 6 33:21 12 38
L W D L L
3 23 9 9 5 28:19 9 36
D L L W W
4 23 9 8 6 17:13 4 35
W D D D W
5 22 9 7 6 25:19 6 34
W W W L L
6 23 8 10 5 21:19 2 34
L W D L W
7 22 8 9 5 19:9 10 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 9 5 29:22 7 33
W D D L W
9 23 8 8 7 20:19 1 32
D L D W D
10 23 7 6 10 22:28 -6 27
L W L W D
11 22 5 11 6 17:22 -5 26
L D L D W
12 22 5 10 7 15:19 -4 25
D D L W L
13 23 5 10 8 22:27 -5 25
W D W L D
14 22 5 8 9 18:23 -5 23
W L L L W
15 23 4 11 8 13:22 -9 23
L D D D D
16 22 5 7 10 20:26 -6 22
W W W D W
17 22 5 7 10 14:23 -9 22
W L L D W
18 22 5 6 11 16:24 -8 21
D D L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation