ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.6%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.6%
1.33
BTTS Yes
82.5%
2.62
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.1%
1.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.36
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Colon Santa Fe Win 39.8%
Draw 15.4%
Ciudad de Bolívar Win 44.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colon Santa Fe0.94
Ciudad de Bolívar0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
WWDLW
18 GF / 13 GA
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
WLDWL
13 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.56
8
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 15 matches
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 16 matches
Colon Santa Fe Statistic Ciudad de Bolívar
6 Wins 6
7 Draws 8
2 Losses 2
18 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 9
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.56
8 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
6 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ciudad de Bolívar. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ciudad de Bolívar having the stronger overall control.

Colon Santa Fe Analysis

Colon Santa Fe come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 25 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 18:13 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Ciudad de Bolívar Analysis

Ciudad de Bolívar arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 26 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 1 losses, while the 13:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Last matches: Colon Santa Fe
30.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Almirante Brown
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
All Boys
3
2
W
02.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Los Andes
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Racing Cordoba
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
San Miguel
3
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Patronato
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
San Telmo
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Acassuso
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Central Norte
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Deportivo Madryn
2
1
W
Last matches: Ciudad de Bolívar
31.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
San Miguel
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
San Telmo
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Acassuso
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Chaco For Ever
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Ferro Carril Oeste
2
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Central Norte
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Racing Cordoba
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Agropecuario
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
All Boys
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Los Andes
1
1
D
18.02.26
Cop
Ciudad de Bolívar
River Plate
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Godoy Cruz
1
1
D
Last matches: Colon Santa Fe
24.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
All Boys
3
2
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Racing Cordoba
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
San Miguel
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Acassuso
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Colon Santa Fe
Deportivo Madryn
2
1
W
Last matches: Ciudad de Bolívar
23.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
San Telmo
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Chaco For Ever
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Central Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Racing Cordoba
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
All Boys
0
0
D
18.02.26
Cop
Ciudad de Bolívar
River Plate
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Godoy Cruz
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.26
Draw 3.15
Home 1.74
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.70
Draw 1.94
Home 2.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.25 1.42
Over 1.5 1.64
Over 1.75 1.84
Over 2.0 2.20
Over 2.25 2.58
Over 2.5 2.94
Over 3.5 6.13
Under 0.5 5.86
Under 1.25 2.89
Under 1.5 2.29
Under 1.75 2.00
Under 2.0 1.69
Under 2.25 1.51
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 3.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 3.30
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 1.95
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.10
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.57
Over 2.5 2.88
Over 3.5 6.00
Over 4.5 15.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.25
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.86
Draw 3.10
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.28
Draw 1.82
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.18
Draw 2.14
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.14
Over 1.25 1.38
Over 1.5 1.58
Over 1.75 1.73
Over 2.0 2.05
Over 2.25 2.46
Over 2.5 2.74
Over 2.75 3.42
Over 3.0 4.90
Over 3.25 5.35
Over 3.5 5.80
Over 3.75 8.60
Over 4.0 9.20
Over 4.5 12.00
Over 5.5 20.00
Under 0.5 5.80
Under 0.75 5.10
Under 1.0 4.40
Under 1.25 2.80
Under 1.5 2.23
Under 1.75 1.90
Under 2.0 1.62
Under 2.25 1.48
Under 2.5 1.35
Under 2.75 1.23
Under 3.0 1.11
Under 3.25 1.09
Under 3.5 1.07
Under 3.75 1.03
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.20
Draw 3.20
Home 1.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.75
Draw 2.02
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.23
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.0 1.14
Over 1.25 1.32
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 1.75 1.67
Over 2.0 1.95
Over 2.25 2.28
Over 2.5 2.60
Over 2.75 3.15
Over 3.0 4.25
Over 3.25 4.60
Over 3.5 4.90
Under 0.5 5.75
Under 1.0 4.60
Under 1.25 2.95
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 1.75 2.07
Under 2.0 1.76
Under 2.25 1.55
Under 2.5 1.42
Under 2.75 1.30
Under 3.0 1.18
Under 3.25 1.15
Under 3.5 1.13

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 4 3 23:13 10 28
?
1 16 9 3 4 21:10 11 30
?
2 16 6 8 2 12:4 8 26
?
2 15 8 3 4 21:18 3 27
?
3 15 6 8 1 13:8 5 26
?
3 16 6 8 2 15:10 5 26
?
4 15 6 7 2 18:13 5 25
?
4 16 7 4 5 17:11 6 25
?
5 15 7 4 4 15:11 4 25
?
5 16 7 4 5 14:12 2 25
?
6 15 6 5 4 20:15 5 23
?
6 15 6 3 6 22:18 4 21
?
7 15 5 7 3 16:11 5 22
?
7 15 5 6 4 14:12 2 21
?
8 16 4 8 4 12:12 0 20
?
8 15 5 5 5 15:16 -1 20
?
9 15 5 5 5 9:10 -1 20
?
9 16 5 5 6 16:18 -2 20
?
10 16 5 5 6 10:13 -3 20
?
10 15 4 8 3 12:15 -3 20
?
11 16 4 8 4 12:17 -5 20
?
11 14 4 6 4 13:12 1 18
?
12 16 5 3 8 11:15 -4 18
?
12 15 5 3 7 14:17 -3 18
?
13 15 3 8 4 16:15 1 17
?
13 15 4 6 5 10:13 -3 18
?
14 15 4 4 7 13:18 -5 16
?
14 15 4 5 6 14:11 3 17
?
15 15 3 6 6 12:16 -4 15
?
15 16 4 5 7 12:16 -4 17
?
16 15 3 6 6 8:15 -7 15
?
16 15 4 5 6 12:17 -5 17
?
17 16 3 5 8 10:16 -6 14
?
17 16 4 4 8 11:18 -7 16
?
18 15 1 6 8 11:20 -9 9
?
18 15 4 4 7 15:23 -8 16
?