ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio de Colegiales

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colegiales Win 56%
Draw 4.8%
Midland Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colegiales0.85
Midland1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colegiales Colegiales
WWDLW
18 GF / 20 GA
Midland Midland
WLDWL
24 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
7
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colegiales Colegiales 20 matches
Midland Midland 22 matches
Colegiales Statistic Midland
6 Wins 9
5 Draws 7
9 Losses 6
18 Goals For 24
20 Goals Against 17
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
7 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Midland's more proactive style and Colegiales's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Midland. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Colegiales have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Midland having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Midland carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 30 points while Colegiales sit 14 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Colegiales Analysis

With 23 points from 20 games and a place of 14, Colegiales still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 18:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Midland Analysis

Midland come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 30 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 21:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Colegiales won 0 times, Midland won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Colegiales's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Colegiales wins 0, draws 1, Midland wins 2
Last matches: Colegiales
14.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atlanta
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Quilmes
3
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Agropecuario
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Club Atlético Güemes
4
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Chacarita Juniors
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin S.J.
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Temperley
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Almagro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Miguel
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Patronato
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Midland
0
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atlanta
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
Last matches: Midland
12.07.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Midland
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Midland
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
23.04.26
Cop
Midland
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Midland
Nueva Chicago
2
2
D
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Midland
Colegiales
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
0
0
D
H2H: Colegiales vs Midland
01.03.26
H2H
Midland
Colegiales
2
0
L
15.09.24
H2H
Midland
Colegiales
2
1
L
27.04.24
H2H
Colegiales
Midland
1
1
D
Last matches: Colegiales
04.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Quilmes
3
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Agropecuario
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Club Atlético Güemes
4
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin S.J.
2
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Temperley
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Almagro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Miguel
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atlanta
1
0
W
16.11.24
Pri
Colegiales
Los Andes
2
0
W
03.11.24
Pri
Colegiales
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
20.10.24
Pri
Colegiales
Liniers
2
0
W
05.10.24
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
W
21.09.24
Pri
Colegiales
Fénix
2
0
W
10.09.24
Pri
Colegiales
Los Andes
2
0
W
24.08.24
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Laferrere
3
0
W
11.08.24
Pri
Colegiales
Sacachispas
0
1
L
27.07.24
Pri
Colegiales
Acassuso
0
0
D
16.07.24
Pri
Colegiales
UAI Urquiza
1
0
W
H2H at home: Colegiales
27.04.24
H2H
Colegiales
Midland
1
1
D
Last matches: Midland
21.06.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Midland
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Midland
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
23.04.26
Cop
Midland
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Midland
Nueva Chicago
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
22.01.26
Cop
Midland
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
15.11.25
Pri
Midland
Flandria
0
1
L
01.11.25
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Laferrere
4
1
W
12.10.25
Pri
Midland
Comunicaciones
0
0
D
30.09.25
Pri
Midland
San Martín Burzaco
0
1
L
16.09.25
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
30.08.25
Pri
Midland
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
17.08.25
Pri
Midland
UAI Urquiza
2
0
W
25.07.25
Pri
Midland
Excursionistas
0
1
L
13.07.25
Pri
Midland
Brown DE Adrogue
2
1
W
H2H away: Midland
27.04.24
H2H
Colegiales
Midland
1
1
D