Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
64.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Colchester Win 35.8%
Draw 26%
Rochdale Win 38.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colchester2
Rochdale1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colchester
WWDLW
15 GF / 11 GA
Rochdale
WLDWL
8 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
3
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
1.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Colchester
9 matches
Rochdale
6 matches
| Colchester | Statistic | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 0 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 15 | Goals For | 8 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.5 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 1.5 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 57.5% | Ball Possession | 61% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Colchester won 1 times, Rochdale won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Colchester's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.
1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74%)
Predicted formations: Colchester 4-2-3-1 / Rochdale 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Colchester wins 1, draws 4, Rochdale wins 5
Last matches: Colchester
22.08.26
Lea
Colchester
Oldham
0
1
L
15.08.26
Lea
Colchester
Accrington ST
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Colchester
Stevenage
0
1
L
28.07.26
Fri
Colchester
Charlton
0
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Colchester
West Ham United U21
2
2
D
21.07.26
Fri
Colchester
Peterborough
2
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Colchester
Harlow Town
5
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Colchester
Heybridge Swifts
4
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Colchester
Norwich
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Colchester
Cheltenham
4
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Notts County
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Harrogate Town
0
1
L
14.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Accrington ST
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Swindon Town
3
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Tranmere
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Oldham
1
3
L
28.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Walsall
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Bromley
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons
0
1
L
13.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Crawley Town
0
0
D
Last matches: Rochdale
22.08.26
Lea
Rochdale
Crawley Town
1
2
L
15.08.26
Lea
Rochdale
Newport County
0
3
L
28.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Farnham Town
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Al-Rayyan SC
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
United of Manchester
0
2
L
10.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
03.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
York
1
1
D
18.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Braintree
2
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Wealdstone
2
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
4
L
28.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
2
D
21.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
3
2
W
17.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
3
1
W
07.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
1
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Brackley Town
3
2
W
H2H: Colchester vs Rochdale
14.01.23
H2H
Rochdale
Colchester
1
2
W
24.09.22
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
0
1
L
01.02.22
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
1
1
D
27.08.21
H2H
Rochdale
Colchester
1
1
D
08.05.16
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
1
2
L
19.12.15
H2H
Rochdale
Colchester
3
1
L
07.03.15
H2H
Rochdale
Colchester
2
1
L
13.12.14
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
1
4
L
25.02.12
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
0
0
D
15.10.11
H2H
Rochdale
Colchester
2
2
D
Last matches: Colchester
22.08.26
Lea
Colchester
Oldham
0
1
L
28.07.26
Fri
Colchester
Charlton
0
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Colchester
West Ham United U21
2
2
D
21.07.26
Fri
Colchester
Peterborough
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Notts County
0
1
L
14.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Accrington ST
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Swindon Town
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Oldham
1
3
L
28.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Walsall
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Crawley Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Salford City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Barnet
4
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Grimsby
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Fleetwood Town
2
1
W
01.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
W
20.12.25
Lea
Colchester
Newport County
4
1
W
06.12.25
Lea
Colchester
Gillingham
0
0
D
29.11.25
Lea
Colchester
Cheltenham
2
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Colchester
Bromley
0
2
L
H2H at home: Colchester
24.09.22
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
0
1
L
01.02.22
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
1
1
D
08.05.16
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
1
2
L
13.12.14
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
1
4
L
25.02.12
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
0
0
D
Last matches: Rochdale
15.08.26
Lea
Rochdale
Newport County
0
3
L
14.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
United of Manchester
0
2
L
10.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
18.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Braintree
2
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
2
D
17.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
3
1
W
28.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
14.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
21.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
1
0
W
17.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Gateshead
2
0
W
13.01.26
FA
Rochdale
Tamworth
1
1
D
26.12.25
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
1
W
19.12.25
Nat
Rochdale
Altrincham
3
0
W
13.12.25
FA
Rochdale
Leamington
1
0
W
22.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
2
1
W
11.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
York
1
4
L
H2H away: Rochdale
24.09.22
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
0
1
W
01.02.22
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
1
1
D
08.05.16
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
1
2
W
13.12.14
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
1
4
W
25.02.12
H2H
Colchester
Rochdale
0
0
D
Standings
League Two
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 11 |
Colchester
Home
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 23 |
Rochdale
Away
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League