ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

29.08.2026 14:00

Colchester

1 - 0

Rochdale

Colchester Community Stadium

Referee: D. Bourne

Colchester

Match Timeline

Rochdale

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Colchester vs Rochdale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away or Draw

Probability 64.2%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away or Draw	64.2%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	82.4%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Colchester Win 35.8%

Draw 26%

Rochdale Win 38.2%

Expected Goals (xG)

Colchester2.13

Rochdale1.29

Recent Form (Last 5)

Colchester

WWDLW

17 GF / 11 GA

Rochdale

WLDWL

8 GF / 15 GA

Key Stats

1.89

Average Goals Scored

1.33

1.22

Average Goals Conceded

2.5

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.5

Shots on Goal

1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colchester 9 matches

Rochdale 6 matches

Colchester	Statistic	Rochdale
3	Wins	0
3	Draws	2
3	Losses	4
17	Goals For	8
11	Goals Against	15
1.89	Avg Goals Scored	1.33
1.22	Avg Goals Conceded	2.5
4	BTTS Yes	4
7	Over 1.5	6
6	Over 2.5	5
5	Over 3.5	3
3	Clean Sheets	0
3	Failed To Score	2
4.5	Shots On Goal	1.5
12	Total Shots	6
6	Corners	5.5
57%	Ball Possession	61%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Colchester won 1 times, Rochdale won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Colchester's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (74%)

Predicted formations: Colchester 4-2-3-1 / Rochdale 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Colchester wins 1, draws 4, Rochdale wins 5

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Salford City	10	6	1	3	15:10	5	19	W W W W D
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	20:11	9	18	W W W D D
3	Crewe	10	4	6	0	12:7	5	18	W W D D D
4	Gillingham	10	4	4	2	15:10	5	16	W D L W W
5	York	9	4	3	2	17:11	6	15	D W L W D
6	Walsall	9	3	6	0	12:6	6	15	D D W D D
7	Chesterfield	10	4	3	3	17:14	3	15	D W L W W
8	Cheltenham	10	4	3	3	16:16	0	15	L L W D W
9	Bristol Rovers	10	5	0	5	15:17	-2	15	L L W L L
10	Rochdale Away	10	4	2	4	11:12	-1	14	D W W W D
11	Grimsby	10	3	4	3	13:11	2	13	L L L W W
12	Newport County	10	3	4	3	13:12	1	13	W D W D D
13	Tranmere	10	2	6	2	13:13	0	12	D L D D L
14	Exeter City	10	3	3	4	6:6	0	12	W W L D L
15	Accrington ST	10	2	5	3	13:14	-1	11	D W D D L
16	Fleetwood Town	10	2	5	3	10:11	-1	11	D L L L D
17	Swindon Town	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11	L L D L L
18	Shrewsbury	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11	L W D D W
19	Colchester Home	9	2	4	3	10:13	-3	10	L D D D L
20	Rotherham	10	2	4	4	12:16	-4	10	L L D W D
21	Oldham	9	2	2	5	9:13	-4	8	D L L L L
22	Port Vale	8	2	2	4	4:9	-5	8	W L W L L
23	Northampton	8	1	4	3	4:7	-3	7	D L L W D
24	Crawley Town	8	1	2	5	8:15	-7	5	D L L L D

Promotion - League One

Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Relegation - National League