17.05.2026 19:00
Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador
Referee: F. Jimenez Lazo
Cobresal
Match Timeline
Universidad de Chile
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Aaron Astudillo
Cobresal
🟨
28'
Steffan Pino
Cobresal
🔄
46'
F. Frias ↔ B. A. Carvallo U.
Cobresal
🔄
46'
B. Valenzuela ↔ G. Pacheco
Cobresal
🔄
67'
J. Lucero ↔ J. Altamirano
Universidad de Chile
🔄
67'
C. Aranguiz ↔ Eduardo Vargas
Universidad de Chile
🔄
67'
M. G. Guerrero Pena ↔ L. Assadi
Universidad de Chile
🔄
71'
A. Astudillo ↔ E. Valencia
Cobresal
🔄
71'
R. Sandoval ↔ A. Castillo
Cobresal
🟨
73'
Franco Calderón
Universidad de Chile
🔄
74'
A. Arce ↔ L. Barrera
Universidad de Chile
⚽
76'
S. Pino
Cobresal
🔄
83'
D. Vargas ↔ F. Salomoni
Universidad de Chile
🔄
90+7'
J. Brea ↔ C. Moreno
Cobresal

Cobresal vs Universidad de Chile Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cobresal Win 30.9%
Draw 13.3%
Universidad de Chile Win 55.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobresal1.2
Universidad de Chile1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobresal Cobresal
WWDLW
18 GF / 28 GA
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
WLDWL
11 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.92
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
9
BTTS Yes
3
8
Over 2.5
4
4.27
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobresal Cobresal 12 matches
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 12 matches
Cobresal Statistic Universidad de Chile
3 Wins 4
1 Draws 5
8 Losses 3
18 Goals For 11
28 Goals Against 9
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
9 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 5
8 Over 2.5 4
8 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 5
4.27 Shots On Goal 3.82
13 Total Shots 11.18
5.55 Corners 5.45
45.2% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Universidad de Chile's more proactive style and Cobresal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cobresal expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Universidad de Chile in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad de Chile having the stronger overall control. Cobresal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad de Chile. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Universidad de Chile carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 17 points while Cobresal sit 14 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cobresal Analysis

With 10 points from 11 games and a place of 14, Cobresal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 17:23, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Steffan Pino (5 goals), A. Nadruz (2 goals), Franco Frías (2 goals), with creative support from B. A. Carvallo U. (5 assists), G. Pacheco (2 assists), Julián Brea (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Universidad de Chile Analysis

So far, Universidad de Chile have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 17 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, while the 11:6 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Eduardo Vargas (2 goals), J. Altamirano (2 goals), M. G. Guerrero Pena (2 goals), with creative support from Eduardo Vargas (1 assists), M. G. Guerrero Pena (1 assists), A. Arce (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 8 times, Universidad de Chile won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Cobresal's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Cobresal 4-4-2 / Universidad de Chile 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cobresal wins 8, draws 5, Universidad de Chile wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
13 21 7 4 10 29:39 -10 25
W D L L L
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 22 6 4 12 17:37 -20 22
L L W L L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L