CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador
Referee: J. Cabero
Cobresal
Match Timeline
O'Higgins
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
J. Brea · Assist: B. A. Carvallo U.
Cobresal
🔄
46'
F. Bechtholdt ↔ J. Tiznado
Cobresal
🔄
46'
J. Fuentes ↔ E. Valencia
Cobresal
🔄
46'
C. Yanis ↔ R. Huerta
Cobresal
🟨
47'
Renato Huerta
Cobresal
48'
A. Castillo
O'Higgins
69'
J. Tiznado · Assist: B. A. Carvallo U.
Cobresal
🔄
70'
B. Rabello ↔ T. Vecino
O'Higgins
🔄
70'
Martin Sarrafiore ↔ M. Maturana
O'Higgins
74'
T. Vecino · Assist: L. Diaz
O'Higgins
78'
T. Vecino · Assist: F. Gonzalez
O'Higgins
VAR
81'
Thiago Vecino
O'Higgins
🔄
85'
F. Gonzalez ↔ C. Morales
O'Higgins
🟨
90'
Guillermo Pacheco
Cobresal
🔄
90+2'
L. Diaz ↔ B. Rojas
O'Higgins

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Cobresal Win 52.5%
Draw 14.6%
O'Higgins Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobresal1.44
O'Higgins1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobresal Cobresal
WWDLW
15 GF / 22 GA
O'Higgins O'Higgins
WLDWL
18 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.29
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
4.11
Shots on Goal
3.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobresal Cobresal 10 matches
O'Higgins O'Higgins 14 matches
Cobresal Statistic O'Higgins
3 Wins 7
1 Draws 1
6 Losses 6
15 Goals For 18
22 Goals Against 19
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
7 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
4.11 Shots On Goal 3.77
12.67 Total Shots 12.08
5.44 Corners 4.54
45.8% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward O'Higgins. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cobresal expected to line up in 4-4-2 and O'Higgins in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward O'Higgins having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Cobresal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cobresal Analysis

Cobresal sit 14 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 14:17, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Steffan Pino (4 goals), A. Nadruz (2 goals), Franco Frías (2 goals), with creative support from B. A. Carvallo U. (3 assists), G. Pacheco (2 assists), Julián Brea (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

O'Higgins Analysis

So far, O'Higgins have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 13 points from 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 12:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Castillo (2 goals), F. Gonzalez (2 goals), Martín Sarrafiore (2 goals), with creative support from F. Gonzalez (3 assists), Bryan Rabello (1 assists), Felipe Ogaz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 5 times, O'Higgins won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Cobresal's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Cobresal 4-4-2 / O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cobresal wins 5, draws 5, O'Higgins wins 5
Stats
Cobresal Cobresal
O'Higgins O'Higgins
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
8 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 0
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
339 Total passes 473
272 Passes accurate 415
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cobresal
Formation
O'Higgins
J. Pinos
J. Pinos
G. Pacheco
G. Pacheco
F. Bechtholdt
F. Bechtholdt
C. Moreno
C. Moreno
A. Castillo
A. Castillo
C. Yanis
C. Yanis
A. Astudillo
A. Astudillo
J. Fuentes
J. Fuentes
J. Brea
J. Brea
S. Pino
S. Pino
B. A. Carvallo U.
🎯
B. A. Carvallo U.
O. Carabali
O. Carabali
F. Faundez
F. Faundez
N. Garrido
N. Garrido
J. Movillo
J. Movillo
L. Diaz
🎯
L. Diaz
Felipe Ogaz
Felipe Ogaz
J. Leiva
J. Leiva
F. Gonzalez
🎯
F. Gonzalez
B. Rabello
B. Rabello
Martin Sarrafiore
Martin Sarrafiore
A. Castillo
A. Castillo
Cobresal 4-4-2
Starting XI
30
J. Pinos
G
23
G. Pacheco
🟨 90'
D
16
F. Bechtholdt
↓ 46'
D
18
C. Moreno
D
15
A. Castillo
D
7
C. Yanis
↓ 46'
M
22
A. Astudillo
M
17
J. Fuentes
↓ 46'
M
11
J. Brea
⚽ 7'
M
8
S. Pino
F
10
B. A. Carvallo U.
🎯 7' 🎯 69'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Santander
4
R. Sandoval
27
M. Roki
20
J. Tiznado
⚽ 69' ↑ 46'
D
6
E. Valencia
↑ 46'
M
32
F. Frias
F
14
R. Huerta
↑ 46' 🟨 47'
F
24
B. Ramirez
F
13
B. Valenzuela
M
O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
O. Carabali
G
3
F. Faundez
D
21
N. Garrido
27
J. Movillo
D
20
L. Diaz
🎯 74' ↓ 90+2'
D
8
Felipe Ogaz
11
J. Leiva
M
24
F. Gonzalez
🎯 78' ↓ 85'
M
10
B. Rabello
↓ 70'
M
7
Martin Sarrafiore
↓ 70'
M
9
A. Castillo
⚽ 48'
F
Substitutes
1
Pena Jorge
G
29
B. Yanez
F
32
T. Vecino
⚽ 74' ⚽ 78' ↑ 70'
F
15
B. Rojas
↑ 90+2'
D
14
M. Maturana
↑ 70'
M
2
C. Morales
↑ 85'
5
G. Pinto
M
28
B. Schamine
M
30
J. Tapia
F
Last matches: Cobresal
12.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
24.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Cobresal
Colo Colo
0
3
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
A. Italiano
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Palestino
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Concepción
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
2
W
09.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
1
0
W
Last matches: O'Higgins
05.07.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Union Espanola
2
1
W
03.07.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
4
1
W
28.06.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Recoleta
1
1
D
25.06.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
2
3
L
22.06.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Union Espanola
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Everton de Vina
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Nublense
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Huachipato
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Union La Calera
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
U. Catolica
1
0
W
05.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Palestino
2
4
L
25.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
0
1
L
18.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
0
W
H2H: Cobresal vs O'Higgins
19.04.26
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
16.08.25
H2H
O'Higgins
Cobresal
1
0
L
16.03.25
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
0
0
D
02.11.24
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
3
1
W
26.05.24
H2H
O'Higgins
Cobresal
2
2
D
25.11.23
H2H
O'Higgins
Cobresal
0
0
D
10.05.23
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
1
0
W
21.10.22
H2H
O'Higgins
Cobresal
1
0
L
15.05.22
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
0
W
26.10.21
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
16.07.21
H2H
O'Higgins
Cobresal
1
1
D
04.12.20
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
1
1
D
08.10.20
H2H
O'Higgins
Cobresal
0
2
W
03.08.19
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
1
W
19.04.19
H2H
O'Higgins
Cobresal
2
0
L
Last matches: Cobresal
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
1
0
W
06.04.25
Cop
Cobresal
San Marcos de Arica
3
0
W
08.02.25
Cop
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
0
2
L
27.01.25
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
1
2
L
14.07.24
Cop
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
29.06.24
Cop
Cobresal
Deportes Copiapo
3
1
W
20.08.23
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
1
3
L
22.06.23
Cop
Cobresal
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
19.08.22
Cop
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
18.06.22
Cop
Cobresal
Barnechea
2
1
W
26.06.21
Cop
Cobresal
Fernández Vial
2
2
D
07.09.19
Cop
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
3
1
W
H2H at home: Cobresal
19.04.26
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
16.03.25
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
0
0
D
02.11.24
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
3
1
W
10.05.23
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
1
0
W
15.05.22
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
0
W
26.10.21
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
04.12.20
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
1
1
D
03.08.19
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
1
W
Last matches: O'Higgins
05.07.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Union Espanola
2
1
W
25.06.26
Cop
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Nublense
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Union La Calera
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Palestino
2
4
L
25.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Deportes Limache
1
2
L
11.05.25
Cop
O'Higgins
Rangers de Talca
0
1
L
21.03.25
Cop
O'Higgins
Huachipato
1
2
L
01.02.25
Cop
O'Higgins
Deportes Temuco
1
1
D
30.06.24
Cop
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
1
3
L
16.06.24
Cop
O'Higgins
Lautaro de Buin
1
0
W
19.08.23
Cop
O'Higgins
Magallanes
1
2
L
03.07.23
Cop
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
2
0
W
21.06.23
Cop
O'Higgins
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
08.04.23
Cop
O'Higgins
General Velásquez
2
1
W
22.08.22
Cop
O'Higgins
Union Espanola
0
1
L
H2H away: O'Higgins
19.04.26
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
W
16.03.25
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
0
0
D
02.11.24
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
3
1
L
10.05.23
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
1
0
L
15.05.22
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
0
L
26.10.21
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
W
04.12.20
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
1
1
D
03.08.19
H2H
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
1
L

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso