CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
19.04.2026 19:30
El Cobre
Referee: Jose Cabero Rebolledo, Chile
Cobresal
Match Timeline
O'Higgins
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
J. Brea · Assist: B. A. Carvallo U.
Cobresal
🔄
46'
F. Bechtholdt ↔ J. Tiznado
Cobresal
🔄
46'
J. Fuentes ↔ E. Valencia
Cobresal
🔄
46'
C. Yanis ↔ R. Huerta
Cobresal
🟨
47'
Renato Huerta
Cobresal
48'
A. Castillo
O'Higgins
69'
J. Tiznado · Assist: B. A. Carvallo U.
Cobresal
🔄
70'
B. Rabello ↔ T. Vecino
O'Higgins
🔄
70'
Martin Sarrafiore ↔ M. Maturana
O'Higgins
74'
T. Vecino · Assist: L. Diaz
O'Higgins
78'
T. Vecino · Assist: F. Gonzalez
O'Higgins
VAR
81'
Thiago Vecino
O'Higgins
🔄
85'
F. Gonzalez ↔ C. Morales
O'Higgins
🟨
90'
Guillermo Pacheco
Cobresal
🔄
90+2'
L. Diaz ↔ B. Rojas
O'Higgins

Cobresal vs O'Higgins Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Cobresal Win 52.5%
Draw 14.6%
O'Higgins Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobresal1.44
O'Higgins1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobresal Cobresal
WWDLW
15 GF / 22 GA
O'Higgins O'Higgins
WLDWL
18 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.29
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
4.11
Shots on Goal
3.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobresal Cobresal 10 matches
O'Higgins O'Higgins 14 matches
Cobresal Statistic O'Higgins
3 Wins 7
1 Draws 1
6 Losses 6
15 Goals For 18
22 Goals Against 19
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
7 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
4.11 Shots On Goal 3.77
12.67 Total Shots 12.08
5.44 Corners 4.54
45.8% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward O'Higgins. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cobresal expected to line up in 4-4-2 and O'Higgins in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward O'Higgins having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Cobresal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cobresal Analysis

Cobresal sit 14 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 14:17, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Steffan Pino (4 goals), A. Nadruz (2 goals), Franco Frías (2 goals), with creative support from B. A. Carvallo U. (3 assists), G. Pacheco (2 assists), Julián Brea (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

O'Higgins Analysis

So far, O'Higgins have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 13 points from 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 12:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Castillo (2 goals), F. Gonzalez (2 goals), Martín Sarrafiore (2 goals), with creative support from F. Gonzalez (3 assists), Bryan Rabello (1 assists), Felipe Ogaz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 5 times, O'Higgins won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Cobresal's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Cobresal 4-4-2 / O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cobresal wins 5, draws 5, O'Higgins wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 47:21 26 52
W W D W W
2 21 11 3 7 46:31 15 36
W W L W L
3 21 10 6 5 28:17 11 36
L L W W W
4 21 9 6 6 34:23 11 33
W W D W L
5 21 10 3 8 32:29 3 33
L W W L W
6 20 8 8 4 26:24 2 32
L W W D W
7 21 9 3 9 24:24 0 30
W D W W W
8 20 8 5 7 27:24 3 29
W L D D L
9 20 8 3 9 38:34 4 27
L W L W L
10 21 6 9 6 32:34 -2 27
W D W D L
11 21 7 3 11 26:34 -8 24
L L D L W
12 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
13 21 5 7 9 24:31 -7 22
L D D D W
14 21 6 4 11 16:35 -19 22
L W L L L
15 21 6 3 12 31:39 -8 21
W D L L W
16 21 3 5 13 17:38 -21 14
L D L L L