CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
El Cobre
Referee: Mario Salvo Sepulveda, Chile
Cobresal
Match Timeline
Concepción
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Victor Manuel Campos Mella
Cobresal
🟨
37'
Fausto Grillo
Concepción
🔄
38'
Dilan Varas ↔ Cristian Riquelme
Concepción
🟨
39'
Julián Brea
Cobresal
🟨
42'
Cristian Riquelme
Concepción
45+1'
Norman Rodríguez · Assist: Jorge Henríquez
Concepción
🔄
46'
Diego Acosta ↔ Carlos Escobar
Concepción
🔄
57'
Joaquín Montecinos ↔ Misael Dávila
Concepción
🔄
57'
Jorge Henríquez ↔ Fernando Romero
Concepción
🔄
62'
Victor Manuel Campos Mella ↔ Benjamín Valenzuela
Cobresal
🔄
62'
Felipe Villagrán ↔ Bryan Carvallo
Cobresal
🔄
62'
Janpol Morales ↔ Franco Frías
Cobresal
🟨
70'
Juan Fuentes
Cobresal
🔄
74'
Juan Fuentes ↔ Esteban Valencia
Cobresal
🔄
78'
Ethan Espinoza ↔ Aldrix Jara
Concepción
90+2'
Aldrix Jara · Assist: Misael Dávila
Concepción

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cobresal Win 33.5%
Draw 11.3%
Concepción Win 55.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobresal1.19
Concepción1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobresal Cobresal
WWDLW
29 GF / 46 GA
Concepción Concepción
WLDWL
31 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
12
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
10
4.44
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobresal Cobresal 25 matches
Concepción Concepción 25 matches
Cobresal Statistic Concepción
5 Wins 11
4 Draws 3
16 Losses 11
29 Goals For 31
46 Goals Against 31
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
12 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 10
11 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 7
4.44 Shots On Goal 3.67
13.72 Total Shots 12.5
4.89 Corners 4.44
44.7% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Concepción. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Concepción look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cobresal expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Concepción in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Concepción having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cobresal Analysis

With 17 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Cobresal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats with a 26:34 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Steffan Pino (5 goals), Julián Brea (4 goals), Agustin Nadruz (2 goals), with creative support from Bryan Carvallo (3 assists), César Yanis (2 assists), Guillermo Pacheco (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Concepción Analysis

So far, Concepción have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 20 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 19:23 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Joaquín Larrivey (6 goals), Cecilio Waterman (3 goals), Mario Sandoval (2 goals), with creative support from Yerco Oyanedel (2 assists), Agustín Urzi (2 assists), Joaquín Larrivey (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 0 times, Concepción won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Cobresal's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
Predicted formations: Cobresal 4-4-2 / Concepción 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cobresal wins 0, draws 1, Concepción wins 1
Stats
Cobresal Cobresal
Concepción Concepción
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 2
18 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 9
7 Blocked Shots 4
15 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 9
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
513 Total passes 282
454 Passes accurate 216
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cobresal
Formation
Concepción
Matías Olguín
Matías Olguín
Victor Manuel Campos Mella
Victor Manuel Campos Mella
José Tiznado
José Tiznado
Christian Moreno
Christian Moreno
Antonio Castillo
Antonio Castillo
Juan Fuentes
Juan Fuentes
Julián Brea
Julián Brea
César Yanis
César Yanis
Felipe Villagrán
Felipe Villagrán
Janpol Morales
Janpol Morales
Steffan Pino
Steffan Pino
Nicolás Araya
Nicolás Araya
Ariel Cáceres
Ariel Cáceres
Norman Rodríguez
Norman Rodríguez
Fausto Grillo
Fausto Grillo
Dilan Varas
Dilan Varas
Joaquín Montecinos
Joaquín Montecinos
Yonathan Rodríguez
Yonathan Rodríguez
Mario Sandoval
Mario Sandoval
Ethan Espinoza
Ethan Espinoza
Diego Acosta
Diego Acosta
Jorge Henríquez
🎯
Jorge Henríquez
Cobresal 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
36
Matías Olguín
G
43
Victor Manuel Campos Mella
↓ 62' 🟨 22'
D
20
José Tiznado
D
18
Christian Moreno
D
15
Antonio Castillo
D
17
Juan Fuentes
↓ 74' 🟨 70'
M
11
Julián Brea
🟨 39'
M
7
César Yanis
M
38
Felipe Villagrán
↓ 62'
M
39
Janpol Morales
↓ 62'
M
8
Steffan Pino
F
Substitutes
13
Benjamín Valenzuela
↑ 62'
M
10
Bryan Carvallo
↑ 62'
M
32
Franco Frías
↑ 62'
F
6
Esteban Valencia
↑ 74'
M
44
Camilo Sepúlveda
G
23
Guillermo Pacheco
D
22
Aaron Astudillo
D
16
Franco Bechtholdt
D
37
Martín Espinoza
F
Concepción 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
Nicolás Araya
G
4
Ariel Cáceres
D
21
Norman Rodríguez
⚽ 45+1'
D
37
Fausto Grillo
🟨 37'
D
29
Dilan Varas
↓ 38'
D
15
Joaquín Montecinos
↓ 57'
M
18
Yonathan Rodríguez
M
16
Mario Sandoval
M
30
Ethan Espinoza
↓ 78'
M
27
Diego Acosta
↓ 46'
F
20
Jorge Henríquez
🎯 45+1' ↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
23
Cristian Riquelme
↑ 38' 🟨 42'
D
9
Carlos Escobar
↑ 46'
F
22
Misael Dávila
🎯 90+2' ↑ 57'
M
7
Fernando Romero
↑ 57'
F
19
Aldrix Jara
⚽ 90+2' ↑ 78'
F
12
Nery Veloso
G
3
Diego Carrasco
D
24
Matías Cavalleri
F
8
Fernando Martinez
M
Last matches: Cobresal
28.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Palestino
2
0
W
23.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
3
3
D
08.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
0
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Union La Calera
4
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
3
3
D
12.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
24.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Cobresal
Colo Colo
0
3
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
A. Italiano
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
Last matches: Concepción
23.08.26
Pri
Concepción
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
Concepción
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Concepción
U. Catolica
3
0
W
27.07.26
Pri
Concepción
O'Higgins
2
0
W
12.07.26
Cop
Concepción
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
06.07.26
Cop
Concepción
Deportes Temuco
2
0
W
02.07.26
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
2
1
W
29.06.26
Cop
Concepción
D. Puerto Montt
0
2
L
24.06.26
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
3
2
W
21.06.26
Cop
Concepción
Deportes Temuco
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Concepción
Deportes Limache
3
2
W
30.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Universidad de Chile
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Huachipato
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Everton de Vina
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Palestino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Concepción
D. La Serena
3
3
D
14.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Union La Calera
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Colo Colo
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pri
Concepción
A. Italiano
0
3
L
06.03.26
Pri
Concepción
Nublense
0
2
L
H2H: Cobresal vs Concepción
16.08.26
H2H
Cobresal
Concepción
0
2
L
20.02.26
H2H
Concepción
Cobresal
1
1
D
Last matches: Cobresal
28.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Palestino
2
0
W
01.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Union La Calera
4
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
1
0
W
06.04.25
Cop
Cobresal
San Marcos de Arica
3
0
W
08.02.25
Cop
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
0
2
L
27.01.25
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
1
2
L
14.07.24
Cop
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
29.06.24
Cop
Cobresal
Deportes Copiapo
3
1
W
20.08.23
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
1
3
L
22.06.23
Cop
Cobresal
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
19.08.22
Cop
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cobresal
16.08.26
H2H
Cobresal
Concepción
0
2
L
Last matches: Concepción
02.07.26
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
2
1
W
29.06.26
Cop
Concepción
D. Puerto Montt
0
2
L
21.06.26
Cop
Concepción
Deportes Temuco
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Universidad de Chile
1
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Palestino
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Union La Calera
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pri
Concepción
A. Italiano
0
3
L
28.02.26
Pri
Concepción
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Concepción
Universidad de Concepcion
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Concepción
U. Catolica
0
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
Concepción
O'Higgins
1
2
L
10.07.25
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
0
2
L
11.05.25
Cop
Concepción
Union Espanola
1
5
L
07.05.25
Cop
Concepción
A. Italiano
1
2
L
30.04.25
Cop
Concepción
Palestino
4
4
D
07.04.23
Cop
Concepción
Fernández Vial
1
1
D
30.06.21
Cop
Concepción
Palestino
0
4
L
24.06.21
Cop
Concepción
Santiago Wanderers
1
0
W
H2H away: Concepción
16.08.26
H2H
Cobresal
Concepción
0
2
W

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 1 3 42:20 22 49
W D W W W
2 20 10 6 4 27:15 12 36
L W W W W
3 20 10 3 7 43:29 14 33
W L W L D
4 21 10 3 8 32:29 3 33
L W W L W
5 19 8 8 3 26:23 3 32
W W D W D
6 20 8 6 6 31:23 8 30
W D W L D
7 19 8 3 8 38:31 7 27
W L W L L
8 20 8 3 9 23:24 -1 27
D W W W W
9 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D D L D
10 20 5 9 6 31:34 -3 24
D W D L D
11 20 7 3 10 24:31 -7 24
L D L W L
12 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
13 20 5 7 8 23:26 -3 22
D D D W L
14 21 6 3 12 31:39 -8 21
W D L L W
15 19 5 4 10 14:33 -19 19
L L L L L
16 20 3 5 12 17:37 -20 14
D L L L D