MEXICO LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Caliente
Referee: A. Escobedo Gonzalez
Club Tijuana
Match Timeline
CF Pachuca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Cristobal Alfaro
CF Pachuca
34'
G. Mora
Club Tijuana
37'
D. Abreu · Assist: R. Arciga
Club Tijuana
🔄
46'
A. Dominguez ↔ G. Alvarez
CF Pachuca
🔄
58'
C. Rivera ↔ V. Guzman
CF Pachuca
🟨
62'
Víctor Guzmán
CF Pachuca
🟨
64'
Rafael Fernández
Club Tijuana
🔄
67'
P. N. Ortiz Orozco ↔ U. Bilbao
Club Tijuana
🔄
67'
G. Mora ↔ D. Blanco
Club Tijuana
🔄
67'
R. Arciga ↔ A. Preciado
Club Tijuana
🔄
74'
L. Quinones ↔ S. Rondon
CF Pachuca
🔄
74'
A. Bautista ↔ Kenedy
CF Pachuca
🔄
77'
D. Abreu ↔ J. Martinez
Club Tijuana
🔄
77'
K. Castaneda ↔ F. Boya
Club Tijuana
🟨
79'
Sergio Rodríguez
CF Pachuca
82'
J. Martinez
Club Tijuana
🟨
84'
Rafael Fernández
Club Tijuana
🟥
84'
Rafael Fernández
Club Tijuana
🟨
87'
Iván Tona
Club Tijuana
🟨
87'
Enner Valencia
CF Pachuca
🔄
88'
Eduardo Bauermann ↔ J. Berlanga
CF Pachuca
🟨
90+1'
Enner Valencia
CF Pachuca
🟥
90+1'
Enner Valencia
CF Pachuca
90'
V. Guzman
CF Pachuca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Club Tijuana Win 28.9%
Draw 0%
CF Pachuca Win 71.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Tijuana1.32
CF Pachuca1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
WWDLW
51 GF / 45 GA
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WLDWL
49 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
18
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
18
3.83
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 35 matches
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 34 matches
Club Tijuana Statistic CF Pachuca
12 Wins 16
13 Draws 8
10 Losses 10
51 Goals For 49
45 Goals Against 38
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
18 BTTS Yes 19
28 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 10
3.83 Shots On Goal 4.56
11.6 Total Shots 14.12
3.46 Corners 4.62
46.8% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Pachuca's more proactive style and Club Tijuana's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pachuca. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Tijuana expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Pachuca in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pachuca having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Pachuca carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 31 points while Club Tijuana sit 10 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Club Tijuana Analysis

So far, Club Tijuana have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 19 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Castaneda (13 goals), E. Bullaude (7 goals), F. Boya (6 goals), with creative support from K. Castaneda (7 assists), R. Arciga (7 assists), Jesús Vega (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

CF Pachuca Analysis

Pachuca come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 31 points after 15 matches. With 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:13, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Kenedy (8 goals), E. Valencia (6 goals), Oussama Idrissi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Guzman (7 assists), Brian García (4 assists), Oussama Idrissi (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Tijuana won 6 times, CF Pachuca won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:33 from Club Tijuana's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1 / CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Club Tijuana wins 6, draws 2, CF Pachuca wins 7
Stats
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 16
6 Offsides 0
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
512 Total passes 385
428 Passes accurate 302
3.05 expected_goals 0.57
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Club Tijuana
Formation
CF Pachuca
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
R. Inzunza
R. Inzunza
J. Porozo
J. Porozo
A. Gomez
A. Gomez
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
I. Tona
I. Tona
R. Arciga
🎯
R. Arciga
K. Castaneda
K. Castaneda
I. Rivero
I. Rivero
G. Mora
G. Mora
D. Abreu
D. Abreu
C. Moreno
C. Moreno
R. Lopez
R. Lopez
Eduardo Bauermann
Eduardo Bauermann
C. Alfaro
C. Alfaro
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
S. Rodriguez
S. Rodriguez
C. Rivera
C. Rivera
L. Quinones
L. Quinones
A. Bautista
A. Bautista
A. Dominguez
A. Dominguez
E. Valencia
E. Valencia
Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
2
A. Rodriguez
G
3
R. Inzunza
🟨 64' 🟨 84' 🟥 84'
D
12
J. Porozo
D
6
A. Gomez
D
33
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
↓ 67'
D
8
I. Tona
🟨 87'
M
17
R. Arciga
🎯 37' ↓ 67'
M
10
K. Castaneda
↓ 77'
M
22
I. Rivero
M
19
G. Mora
⚽ 34' ↓ 67'
M
31
D. Abreu
⚽ 37' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
29
J. Hernandez
G
30
J. Martinez
⚽ 82' ↑ 77'
F
4
U. Bilbao
↑ 67'
D
34
F. Boya
↑ 77'
M
20
A. Zapata
M
16
A. Vega
D
26
A. Perez
M
27
D. Blanco
↑ 67'
M
9
M. El Ghezouani
F
11
A. Preciado
↑ 67'
F
CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
C. Moreno
G
21
R. Lopez
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
↓ 88'
D
184
C. Alfaro
🟨 31'
D
12
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
D
188
S. Rodriguez
16
C. Rivera
↓ 58'
M
7
L. Quinones
↓ 74'
M
26
A. Bautista
↓ 74'
M
18
A. Dominguez
↓ 46'
M
10
E. Valencia
🟨 87' 🟨 90+1' 🟥 90+1'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Eulogio
G
23
S. Rondon
↑ 74'
F
11
O. Idrissi
F
187
G. Alvarez
↑ 46'
F
13
J. Berlanga
↑ 88'
D
29
Kenedy
↑ 74'
M
8
V. Guzman
⚽ 90' ↑ 58' 🟨 62'
M
2
S. D. Barreto
D
5
P. Pedraza
M
14
C. Sanchez
D
Last matches: Club Tijuana
17.07.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Club Tijuana
El Salvador
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Club Tijuana
San Jose Earthquakes
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
FC Juarez
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Necaxa
0
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Leon
3
0
W
09.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Santos Laguna
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Atlas
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Mazatlán
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Toluca
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Puebla
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Monterrey
2
2
D
18.01.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Club Queretaro
2
1
W
10.01.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Club America
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
0
5
L
Last matches: CF Pachuca
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CF Pachuca
Puebla
3
1
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
15.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
4
2
W
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atlas
3
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
19.01.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club America
0
0
D
H2H: Club Tijuana vs CF Pachuca
23.04.26
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
1
W
17.08.25
H2H
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
0
2
W
17.03.25
H2H
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
4
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
2
1
W
04.02.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
3
2
L
11.11.23
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
2
3
L
27.02.23
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
2
0
W
12.09.22
H2H
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
6
1
L
12.04.22
H2H
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
07.11.21
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
03.07.21
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
3
D
09.03.21
H2H
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
2
1
L
31.10.20
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
14.03.20
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
22.09.19
H2H
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
4
1
L
Last matches: Club Tijuana
17.07.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Club Tijuana
El Salvador
2
2
D
04.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
1
0
W
09.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Santos Laguna
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Mazatlán
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
10.01.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Club America
0
0
D
27.11.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
21.11.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
FC Juarez
3
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Atlas
2
0
W
23.10.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Toluca
0
0
D
06.10.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Monterrey
2
2
D
29.09.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
2
0
W
20.09.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Leon
5
0
W
01.09.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Necaxa
3
0
W
23.08.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas
3
3
D
26.07.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
FC Juarez
1
1
D
12.07.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Club Queretaro
1
0
W
H2H at home: Club Tijuana
23.04.26
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
1
W
05.10.24
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
2
1
W
11.11.23
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
2
3
L
27.02.23
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
2
0
W
07.11.21
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
03.07.21
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
3
D
31.10.20
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
14.03.20
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
Last matches: CF Pachuca
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
10.01.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
24.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
0
1
L
27.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
2
2
D
04.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
1
0
W
24.09.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
2
D
31.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club America
0
2
L
23.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Leon
1
1
D
10.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atlas
3
0
W
20.07.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
H2H away: CF Pachuca
23.04.26
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
2
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
2
3
W
27.02.23
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
2
0
L
07.11.21
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
2
L
03.07.21
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
3
D
31.10.20
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
0
2
W
14.03.20
H2H
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
2
L

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs