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10.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Gunther Vogel
Referee: C. Benitez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Match Timeline
Sportivo Trinidense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Néstor Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense
⚽
25'
J. Barrios
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
27'
J. Barrios
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
45'
Junior Samuel Gamarra Figueredo ↔ Nicolás Maná
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
45'
Tomás Ezequiel Rayer ↔ Luis Carlos Abreu Benegas
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
60'
R. Amarilla ↔ Ángel Benítez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
60'
Kevin Ferreira Gonzalez ↔ Gastón Gerzel
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
61'
Néstor Camacho ↔ Clementino González
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
61'
Cesar Benitez ↔ Fabrizio Baruja
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
68'
Alan Tobias Morinigo ↔ Oscar Gimenez
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
72'
K. Fernández ↔ Elias Ortiz
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
72'
I Fretes ↔ Carlos Daniel Meza Montiel
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
77'
Fabrizio Baruja
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
89'
Gastón Gerzel
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
90'
Héctor Villamayor ↔ Alexis Doldán
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
⚽
90+4'
Gustavo Viera
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
90+5'
Agustín Da Silveira Muñoa
Sportivo Trinidense

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win 6%
Draw 6%
Sportivo Trinidense Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Sp. San Lorenzo0.73
Sportivo Trinidense1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo
D D L L L
2 GF / 7 GA
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
W W L W L
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.51
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
13
BTTS Yes
24
13
Over 2.5
20
1.71
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo 35 matches
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 35 matches
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Statistic Sportivo Trinidense
3 Wins 15
9 Draws 10
23 Losses 10
18 Goals For 53
63 Goals Against 37
0.51 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
13 BTTS Yes 24
22 Over 1.5 27
13 Over 2.5 20
6 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 8
19 Failed To Score 6
1.71 Shots On Goal 4.29
7.34 Total Shots 12.03
2.91 Corners 4.23
26.5% Ball Possession 39.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sportivo Trinidense's more proactive style and Club Sp. San Lorenzo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Trinidense. Club Sp. San Lorenzo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sportivo Trinidense in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sportivo Trinidense having the stronger overall control. Sportivo Trinidense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 23 points while Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Analysis

Club Sp. San Lorenzo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 3 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats with a 4:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Aragón (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sportivo Trinidense Analysis

Sportivo Trinidense come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 23 points after 13 matches. The return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 23:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. Rayer (3 goals), L. Abreu (3 goals), A. Morinigo (2 goals), with creative support from A. Morinigo (2 assists), N. Camacho (2 assists), N. Maná (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Club Sp. San Lorenzo won 4 times, Sportivo Trinidense won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from Club Sp. San Lorenzo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
Predicted formations: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 4-4-2 / Sportivo Trinidense 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Club Sp. San Lorenzo wins 4, draws 4, Sportivo Trinidense wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 9 3 3 25:10 15 30
W D D W W
2 15 8 5 2 23:8 15 29
W W D D W
3 15 8 4 3 17:16 1 28
L W W D L
4 15 8 3 4 25:14 11 27
W D W W L
5 15 8 3 4 23:17 6 27
L D W L D
6 15 5 7 3 16:14 2 22
L D D W W
7 15 6 3 6 20:16 4 21
D W L L W
8 15 4 7 4 17:18 -1 19
D L L D D
9 15 5 1 9 17:29 -12 16
W L L L W
10 15 3 4 8 15:25 -10 13
L D W D L
11 15 3 2 10 15:27 -12 11
W L L D L
12 15 0 4 11 7:26 -19 4
L D D D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)