MEXICO › LIGA MX

22.08.2026 03:10

Club Queretaro

1 - 2

Toluca

Estadio La Corregidora

Referee: Yonatan Peinado Aguirre, Mexico

Club Queretaro

Match Timeline

Toluca

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

🟨

VAR

🟥

⚽

VAR

🟨

🔄

🟨

🔄

⚽

🔄

🟨

🔄

⚽

🟨

🔄

🟨

🔄

⚽

Club Queretaro vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 56.5%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	56.5%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Club Queretaro Win 56.5%

Draw 6.2%

Toluca Win 37.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Club Queretaro1.32

Toluca1.63

Recent Form (Last 5)

Club Queretaro

WWDLW

10 GF / 6 GA

Toluca

WLDWL

28 GF / 15 GA

Key Stats

1.43

Average Goals Scored

2.15

0.86

Average Goals Conceded

1.15

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

6.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Queretaro 7 matches

Toluca 13 matches

Club Queretaro	Statistic	Toluca
4	Wins	6
2	Draws	3
1	Losses	4
10	Goals For	28
6	Goals Against	15
1.43	Avg Goals Scored	2.15
0.86	Avg Goals Conceded	1.15
3	BTTS Yes	7
4	Over 1.5	11
3	Over 2.5	9
2	Over 3.5	6
3	Clean Sheets	5
2	Failed To Score	2
4	Shots On Goal	6.55
12.75	Total Shots	18
3.75	Corners	4.82
38.5%	Ball Possession	60.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Queretaro won 4 times, Toluca won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:28 from Club Queretaro's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)

Predicted formations: Club Queretaro 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Club Queretaro wins 4, draws 4, Toluca wins 7

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Club America	10	6	3	1	22:11	11	21	D W D L W
2	Toluca Away	11	6	2	3	25:15	10	20	L D L W W
3	Club Queretaro Home	10	6	2	2	15:8	7	20	W W D W W
4	Guadalajara Chivas	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19	D L D W W
5	Leon	11	5	3	3	15:12	3	18	D W D W L
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18	D W D L D
7	Cruz Azul	11	5	2	4	22:21	1	17	D D L W W
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15	D L D L W
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15	D L D L W
10	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14	D L W D L
11	CF Pachuca	11	3	4	4	18:14	4	13	D L D W W
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	11	3	4	4	17:19	-2	13	D L D L W
13	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13:15	-2	13	W W L D D
14	Santos Laguna	11	4	1	6	12:16	-4	13	W W W W L
15	Atletico San Luis	11	3	3	5	15:20	-5	12	L W W L L
16	Atlante FC	11	2	5	4	12:17	-5	11	L W D L D
17	Necaxa	11	2	3	6	15:23	-8	9	D L L L D
18	FC Juarez	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4	D L W L L

Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)