MEXICO LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio La Corregidora
Referee: V. Arce
Club Queretaro
Match Timeline
Cruz Azul
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Gonzalo Piovi
Cruz Azul
9'
J. Marquez · Assist: W. Ditta
Cruz Azul
🟨
24'
Daniel Parra
Club Queretaro
🔄
29'
F. Venegas ↔ J. Cazares
Club Queretaro
🟨
45+4'
Bayron Duarte
Club Queretaro
🟨
45+3'
Santiago Homenchenko
Club Queretaro
🟨
45+2'
Agustín Palavecino
Cruz Azul
45'
J. Marquez
Club Queretaro
🔄
62'
J. Paradela ↔ C. Ebere
Cruz Azul
🔄
62'
A. Palavecino ↔ L. Romero
Cruz Azul
🔄
63'
J. Unjanque ↔ J. Gomez
Club Queretaro
🔄
63'
↔ F. Pena
Club Queretaro
🔄
71'
C. Rotondi ↔ A. Morales
Cruz Azul
🔄
78'
B. Duarte ↔ W. Madrid
Club Queretaro
🔄
78'
C. Garcia ↔ B. Parra
Club Queretaro
🔄
80'
J. Marquez ↔ M. Levy
Cruz Azul
🔄
80'
G. Piovi ↔ A. Garcia
Cruz Azul

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Club Queretaro Win 31.6%
Draw 17.4%
Cruz Azul Win 51.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Queretaro1.06
Cruz Azul1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
WWDLW
33 GF / 48 GA
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
WLDWL
63 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
15
BTTS Yes
25
16
Over 2.5
19
3.63
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 32 matches
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 36 matches
Club Queretaro Statistic Cruz Azul
9 Wins 19
9 Draws 13
14 Losses 4
33 Goals For 63
48 Goals Against 40
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
15 BTTS Yes 25
23 Over 1.5 31
16 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 3
3.63 Shots On Goal 6
10.75 Total Shots 17.28
4.06 Corners 5.53
35.9% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cruz Azul's more proactive style and Club Queretaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Cruz Azul carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 29 points while Club Queretaro sit 13 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cruz Azul. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Club Queretaro Analysis

So far, Club Queretaro have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 16 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 13:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ali Ávila (10 goals), Santiago Homenchenko (6 goals), Mateo Coronel (5 goals), with creative support from Lucas Rodríguez (5 assists), Jhojan Julio (2 assists), Pablo Barrera (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cruz Azul Analysis

Placed 4 with 29 points from 15 outings, Cruz Azul continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 25:15 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Fernandez (14 goals), A. Sepulveda (10 goals), José Paradela (8 goals), with creative support from José Paradela (7 assists), G. Fernandez (6 assists), Carlos Rodríguez (5 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Club Queretaro won 3 times, Cruz Azul won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Club Queretaro's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Club Queretaro 4-2-3-1 / Cruz Azul 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Club Queretaro wins 3, draws 3, Cruz Azul wins 8
Stats
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
7
2 Corner Kicks 7
17 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 2
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 7
1 Shots insidebox 13
9 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
258 Total passes 588
180 Passes accurate 503
0.37 expected_goals 2.10
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Club Queretaro
Formation
Cruz Azul
J. Hernandez
J. Hernandez
B. Duarte
B. Duarte
D. Reyes
D. Reyes
L. Abascia
L. Abascia
D. Parra
D. Parra
J. Unjanque
J. Unjanque
S. Homenchenko
S. Homenchenko
C. Garcia
C. Garcia
F. Venegas
F. Venegas
A. Avila
A. Avila
M. Coronel
M. Coronel
K. Mier
K. Mier
W. Ditta
🎯
W. Ditta
E. Lira
E. Lira
G. Piovi
G. Piovi
O. Campos
O. Campos
A. Palavecino
A. Palavecino
J. Marquez
⚽ 2
J. Marquez
C. Rotondi
C. Rotondi
J. Paradela
J. Paradela
G. Fernandez
G. Fernandez
C. Rodriguez
C. Rodriguez
Club Queretaro 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Hernandez
G
22
B. Duarte
↓ 78' 🟨 45+4'
D
9
D. Reyes
D
2
L. Abascia
D
27
D. Parra
🟨 24'
D
14
J. Unjanque
↓ 63'
M
6
S. Homenchenko
🟨 45+3'
M
4
C. Garcia
↓ 78'
M
17
F. Venegas
↓ 29'
M
31
A. Avila
F
37
M. Coronel
F
Substitutes
25
G. Allison
G
29
W. Madrid
↑ 78'
M
12
J. Gomez
↑ 63'
D
15
C. Villanueva
26
E. Perez
F
20
A. Alcala
M
23
J. Robles
M
21
F. Pena
↑ 63'
M
8
B. Parra
↑ 78'
M
190
J. Cazares
↑ 29'
M
Cruz Azul 3-4-3
Starting XI
23
K. Mier
G
4
W. Ditta
🎯 9'
D
6
E. Lira
D
33
G. Piovi
↓ 80' 🟨 5'
D
3
O. Campos
M
8
A. Palavecino
↓ 62' 🟨 45+2'
M
16
J. Marquez
⚽ 9' ⚽ 45' ↓ 80'
M
29
C. Rotondi
↓ 71'
M
20
J. Paradela
↓ 62'
F
21
G. Fernandez
F
19
C. Rodriguez
F
Substitutes
1
A. Gudino
G
209
J. Diaz
194
A. Morales
↑ 71'
M
214
M. Levy
↑ 80'
F
11
C. Ebere
↑ 62'
F
17
A. Garcia
↑ 80'
M
18
L. Romero
↑ 62'
F
170
A. Castro
193
K. Velazquez
M
Last matches: Club Queretaro
20.06.26
Fri
Club Queretaro
Reboceros La Piedad
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Puebla
2
1
W
18.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Mazatlán
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Necaxa
3
1
W
08.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
FC Juarez
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Toluca
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Atlas
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Club America
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Monterrey
0
4
L
28.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
14.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Atletico San Luis
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Leon
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
15.01.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
FC Juarez
2
1
W
02.11.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Mazatlán
1
0
W
26.10.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Santos Laguna
1
3
L
Last matches: Cruz Azul
25.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
14.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
3
2
W
27.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Necaxa
4
1
W
18.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
15.04.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club America
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Cruz Azul
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Mazatlán
1
1
D
18.03.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
11.03.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atletico San Luis
3
0
W
04.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
2
0
W
H2H: Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
22.04.26
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
25.09.25
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
2
2
D
24.02.25
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
1
0
L
24.08.24
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
03.02.24
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
1
3
L
25.09.23
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
1
3
W
30.03.23
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
27.08.22
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
2
1
L
22.04.22
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
20.09.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
2
0
L
31.01.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
4
1
L
13.08.20
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
1
0
W
19.04.20
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
03.08.19
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
3
0
W
06.04.19
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
3
0
L
Last matches: Club Queretaro
11.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Necaxa
3
1
W
08.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
FC Juarez
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Toluca
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Club America
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
07.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Leon
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
15.01.26
Lig
Club Queretaro
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
02.11.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Mazatlán
1
0
W
23.10.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
04.10.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Puebla
3
1
W
28.09.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
14.09.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Monterrey
0
1
L
23.08.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
17.08.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Atlas
3
3
D
26.07.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
17.04.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Atlas
1
2
L
05.04.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Leon
1
1
D
15.03.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Mazatlán
1
0
W
02.03.25
Lig
Club Queretaro
Puebla
2
0
W
H2H at home: Club Queretaro
22.04.26
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
24.08.24
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
03.02.24
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
1
3
L
30.03.23
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
22.04.22
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
13.08.20
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
1
0
W
03.08.19
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
3
0
W
Last matches: Cruz Azul
25.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
3
2
W
12.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club America
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Mazatlán
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
11.03.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
3
2
W
04.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Toluca
1
1
D
05.02.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Vancouver FC
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
FC Juarez
4
3
W
11.01.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Leon
1
2
L
05.01.26
Fri
Cruz Azul
CDS Tampico Madero
1
2
L
07.12.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
28.11.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
01.11.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Puebla
3
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Necaxa
1
1
D
05.10.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
H2H away: Cruz Azul
22.04.26
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
24.08.24
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
0
2
W
03.02.24
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
1
3
W
30.03.23
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
22.04.22
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
0
1
W
13.08.20
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
1
0
L
03.08.19
H2H
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
3
0
L

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs