Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Club Nacional
Juventud
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Club Nacional
24 matches
Juventud
23 matches
| Club Nacional | Statistic | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 11 |
| 36 | Goals For | 29 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 9.83 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 39.5% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Club Nacional's more proactive style and Juventud's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juventud. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Nacional expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Juventud in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventud having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
So far, Club Nacional have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 26:21 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by M. Gomez (11 goals), T. Veron (4 goals), Agustín Rogel (2 goals), with creative support from T. Veron (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
With 15 points from 15 games and a place of 14, Juventud still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 17:22 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on F. Mimbacas (7 goals), Alejo Cruz (3 goals), Ramiro Peralta (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Nacional won 10 times, Juventud won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:11 from Club Nacional's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Lineups
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Cerro
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Juventud
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Albion FC
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Central Espanol
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Cerro
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Penarol
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Penarol
Club Nacional
Miramar
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Boston River
Club Nacional
Progreso
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Danubio
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Club Nacional
Home
|
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Juventud
Away
|
18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|