URUGUAY › PRIMERA DIVISIóN

25.04.2026 22:00

Club Nacional

1 - 2

Danubio

Gran Parque Central

Referee: M. De Armas

Club Nacional

Match Timeline

Danubio

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Club Nacional vs Danubio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 85.9%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 72.9%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 50%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	85.9%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	72.9%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Club Nacional Win 85.9%

Draw 7.3%

Danubio Win 6.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Club Nacional1.52

Danubio1.27

Recent Form (Last 5)

Club Nacional

WWDLW

23 GF / 18 GA

Danubio

WLDWL

15 GF / 16 GA

Key Stats

1.64

Average Goals Scored

1.25

1.29

Average Goals Conceded

1.33

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Nacional 14 matches

Danubio 12 matches

Club Nacional	Statistic	Danubio
7	Wins	3
2	Draws	6
5	Losses	3
23	Goals For	15
18	Goals Against	16
1.64	Avg Goals Scored	1.25
1.29	Avg Goals Conceded	1.33
9	BTTS Yes	7
11	Over 1.5	10
8	Over 2.5	5
5	Over 3.5	4
3	Clean Sheets	3
2	Failed To Score	3
4.5	Shots On Goal	0
10	Total Shots	0
6.5	Corners	0
37%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Nacional won 7 times, Danubio won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:11 from Club Nacional's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 1X (93.2%)

Predicted formations: Club Nacional 3-4-2-1 / Danubio 3-4-2-1

H2H summary: Club Nacional wins 7, draws 4, Danubio wins 4

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Penarol	29	18	5	6	48:24	24	58	W W W W L
2	Deportivo Maldonado	30	16	7	7	46:27	19	55	W W L W L
3	Atletico Torque	29	16	5	8	51:34	17	53	L W W W W
4	Racing Montevideo	30	14	11	5	36:24	12	53	L D W L W
5	Club Nacional Home	30	15	4	11	45:38	7	49	W W D D W
6	Wanderers	30	13	8	9	38:36	2	47	W D D L W
7	Liverpool Montevideo	30	12	10	8	39:28	11	46	W D L W D
8	Central Espanol	30	10	8	12	32:39	-7	38	L L D D L
9	Juventud	30	9	9	12	35:39	-4	36	D W D D W
10	Defensor Sporting	30	8	11	11	26:33	-7	35	W L W D L
11	Albion FC	30	9	7	14	38:40	-2	34	L L L L L
12	Cerro Largo	30	8	9	13	28:34	-6	33	L L D L D
13	Cerro	30	9	6	15	23:43	-20	33	D L W W D
14	Boston River	30	8	6	16	29:42	-13	30	L L L L D
15	Progreso	30	8	4	18	25:43	-18	28	W W L W W
16	Danubio Away	30	4	14	12	24:39	-15	26	L D D L L

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